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We consider the problem of model selection type aggregation in the context of density estimation. We first show that empirical risk minimization is sub-optimal for this problem and it shares this property with the exponential weights…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Pierre C. Bellec

Many problems on signal processing reduce to nonparametric function estimation. We propose a new methodology, piecewise convex fitting (PCF), and give a two-stage adaptive estimate. In the first stage, the number and location of the change…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-18 Kurt Riedel

We consider estimation and inference in a single index regression model with an unknown convex link function. We introduce a convex and Lipschitz constrained least squares estimator (CLSE) for both the parametric and the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Rohit K. Patra , Bodhisattva Sen

We study a likelihood ratio test for the location of the mode of a log-concave density. Our test is based on comparison of the log-likelihoods corresponding to the unconstrained maximum likelihood estimator of a log-concave density and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Charles R. Doss , Jon A. Wellner

The convergence of variable-step L1 scheme is studied for the time-fractional molecular beam epitaxy (MBE) model with slope selection.A novel asymptotically compatible $L^2$ norm error estimate of the variable-step L1 scheme is established…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Yin Yang , Jindi Wang , Yanping Chen , Hong-lin Liao

We consider 1-dimensional location estimation, where we estimate a parameter $\lambda$ from $n$ samples $\lambda + \eta_i$, with each $\eta_i$ drawn i.i.d. from a known distribution $f$. For fixed $f$ the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Shivam Gupta , Jasper C. H. Lee , Eric Price , Paul Valiant

We prove a \emph{query complexity} lower bound on rank-one principal component analysis (PCA). We consider an oracle model where, given a symmetric matrix $M \in \mathbb{R}^{d \times d}$, an algorithm is allowed to make $T$ \emph{exact}…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-18 Max Simchowitz , Ahmed El Alaoui , Benjamin Recht

We develop constrained Bayesian estimation methods for small area problems: those requiring smoothness with respect to similarity across areas, such as geographic proximity or clustering by covariates; and benchmarking constraints,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-28 Rebecca C. Steorts

We consider a linear model where the coefficients - intercept and slopes - are random with a law in a nonparametric class and independent from the regressors. Identification often requires the regressors to have a support which is the whole…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Christophe Gaillac , Eric Gautier

We consider the problem of estimating a regularization parameter, or a shrinkage coefficient $\alpha \in (0,1)$ for Regularized Tyler's M-estimator (RTME). In particular, we propose to estimate an optimal shrinkage coefficient by setting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Karim Abou-Moustafa

This article studies the recovery of graphons when they are convolution kernels on compact (symmetric) metric spaces. This case is of particular interest since it covers the situation where the probability of an edge depends only on some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Yohann De Castro , Claire Lacour , Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc

A scheme for locally adaptive bandwidth selection is proposed which sensitively shrinks the bandwidth of a kernel estimator at lowest density regions such as the support boundary which are unknown to the statistician. In case of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-25 Tim Patschkowski , Angelika Rohde

We consider a wavelet thresholding approach to adaptive variance function estimation in heteroscedastic nonparametric regression. A data-driven estimator is constructed by applying wavelet thresholding to the squared first-order differences…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-28 T. Tony Cai , Lie Wang

The James-Stein estimator is an estimator of the multivariate normal mean and dominates the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under squared error loss. The original work inspired great interest in developing shrinkage estimators for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Chun-Hao Yang , Hani Doss , Baba C. Vemuri

We give a non-adaptive algorithm that makes $2^{\tilde{O}(\sqrt{k\log(1/\varepsilon_2 - \varepsilon_1)})}$ queries to a Boolean function $f:\{\pm 1\}^n \rightarrow \{\pm 1\}$ and distinguishes between $f$ being $\varepsilon_1$-close to some…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Shivam Nadimpalli , Shyamal Patel

LLMs' overconfidence, particularly when hallucinating, poses a significant challenge for the deployment of the models in safety-critical settings and makes a reliable estimation of uncertainty necessary. Existing approaches for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Hamed Karimi , Vaishali Meyappan , Reza Samavi

We develop new adaptive algorithms for temporal integration of nonlinear evolution equations on tensor manifolds. These algorithms, which we call step-truncation methods, are based on performing one time step with a conventional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Abram Rodgers , Alec Dektor , Daniele Venturi

Classical discrete-time adaptive controllers provide asymptotic stabilization and tracking; neither exponential stabilization nor a bounded noise gain is typically proven. In recent work it has been shown, in both the pole placement…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Daniel E Miller , Mohamad T. Shahab

In large-scale modern data analysis, first-order optimization methods are usually favored to obtain sparse estimators in high dimensions. This paper performs theoretical analysis of a class of iterative thresholding based estimators defined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Yiyuan She

We study the sample complexity of stochastic convex optimization when problem parameters, e.g., the distance to optimality, are unknown. We pursue two strategies. First, we develop a reliable model selection method that avoids overfitting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Jared Lawrence , Ari Kalinsky , Hannah Bradfield , Yair Carmon , Oliver Hinder
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