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Cross-validation can be used to measure a model's predictive accuracy for the purpose of model comparison, averaging, or selection. Standard leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) requires that the observation model can be factorized into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-21 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

Cross-Validation (CV) is the default choice for evaluating the performance of machine learning models. Despite its wide usage, their statistical benefits have remained half-understood, especially in challenging nonparametric regimes. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Garud Iyengar , Henry Lam , Tianyu Wang

Few Bayesian methods for analyzing high-dimensional sparse survival data provide scalable variable selection, effect estimation and uncertainty quantification. Such methods often either sacrifice uncertainty quantification by computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-06 Michael Komodromos , Eric Aboagye , Marina Evangelou , Sarah Filippi , Kolyan Ray

For randomized controlled trials to be conclusive, it is important to set the target sample size accurately at the design stage. Comparing two normal populations, the sample size calculation requires specification of the variance other than…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Hirotada Maeda , Satoshi Hattori , Tim Friede

Length-biased data are a particular case of weighted data, which arise in many situations: biomedicine, quality control or epidemiology among others. In this paper we study the theoretical properties of kernel density estimation in the…

Analytical join queries over unstructured data are increasingly prevalent in data analytics. Applying machine learning (ML) models to label every pair in the cross product of tables can achieve state-of-the-art accuracy, but the cost of…

Databases · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Yuxuan Zhu , Tengjun Jin , Chenghao Mo , Daniel Kang

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

This study's first purpose is to provide quantitative evidence that would incentivize researchers to instead use the more robust method of nested cross-validation. The second purpose is to present methods and MATLAB codes for doing power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Hamzeh Ghasemzadeh , Robert E. Hillman , Daryush D. Mehta

Motivated by the latest effort to employ banded matrices to estimate a high-dimensional covariance $\Sigma$, we propose a test for $\Sigma$ being banded with possible diverging bandwidth. The test is adaptive to the "large $p$, small $n$"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-17 Yumou Qiu , Song Xi Chen

Semiparametric Bayesian networks (SPBNs) integrate parametric and non-parametric probabilistic models, offering flexibility in learning complex data distributions from samples. In particular, kernel density estimators (KDEs) are employed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Victor Alejandre , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

The adaptive lasso refers to a class of methods that use weighted versions of the $L_1$-norm penalty, with weights derived from an initial estimate of the parameter vector to be estimated. Irrespective of the method chosen to compute this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Ballout Nadim , Etievant Lola , Viallon Vivian

Bagging, a powerful ensemble method from machine learning, improves the performance of unstable predictors. Although the power of Bagging has been shown mostly in classification problems, we demonstrate the success of employing Bagging in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-03 Luoluo Liu , Sang Peter Chin , Trac D. Tran

Accuracy predictor is trained to predict the validation accuracy of an network from its architecture encoding. It can effectively assist in designing networks and improving Neural Architecture Search(NAS) efficiency. However, a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Ruyi Zhang , Ziwei Yang , Zhi Yang , Xubo Yang , Lei Wang , Zheyang Li

There is increasing interest in the use of diagnostic rules based on microarray data. These rules are formed by considering the expression levels of thousands of genes in tissue samples taken on patients of known classification with respect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 G. J. McLachlan , J. Chevelu , J. Zhu

Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Martin Jankowiak

Cross-validation (CV) is a popular method for model-selection. Unfortunately, it is not immediately obvious how to apply CV to unsupervised or exploratory contexts. This thesis discusses some extensions of cross-validation to unsupervised…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-17 Patrick O. Perry

In the Bayesian literature on model comparison, Bayes factors play the leading role. In the classical statistical literature, model selection criteria are often devised used cross-validation ideas. Amalgamating the ideas of Bayes factor and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Assuming a banded structure is one of the common practice in the estimation of high-dimensional precision matrix. In this case, estimating the bandwidth of the precision matrix is a crucial initial step for subsequent analysis. Although…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-29 Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) is a popular method for estimating out-of-sample predictive accuracy. However, computing LOO-CV criteria can be computationally expensive due to the need to fit the model multiple times. In the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-28 Luca Silva , Giacomo Zanella

Bayesian cross-validation (CV) is a popular method for predictive model assessment that is simple to implement and broadly applicable. A wide range of CV schemes is available for time series applications, including generic leave-one-out…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 Alex Cooper , Dan Simpson , Lauren Kennedy , Catherine Forbes , Aki Vehtari
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