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In coordination games and speculative over-the-counter financial markets, solutions depend on higher-order average expectations: agents' expectations about what counterparties, on average, expect their counterparties to think, etc. We offer…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-09-30 Benjamin Golub , Stephen Morris

Humans and other animals often follow the decisions made by others because these are indicative of the quality of possible choices, resulting in `social response rules': observed relationships between the probability that an agent will make…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-28 Richard P. Mann

The formation of collective opinion is a complex phenomenon that results from the combined effects of mass media exposure and social influence between individuals. The present work introduces a model of opinion formation specifically…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-07 Mehdi Moussaid

Game theory is used by all behavioral sciences, but its development has long centered around tools for relatively simple games and toy systems, such as the economic interpretation of equilibrium outcomes. Our contribution, compositional…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Seth Frey , Jules Hedges , Joshua Tan , Philipp Zahn

Research in cooperative games often assumes that agents know the coalitional values with certainty, and that they can belong to one coalition only. By contrast, this work assumes that the value of a coalition is based on an underlying…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Michalis Mamakos , Georgios Chalkiadakis

The thesis of this essay is that, in heterogeneous agent macroeconomics, the assumption of rational expectations about equilibrium prices is unrealistic and should be replaced. Rational expectations imply that decision makers forecast…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-29 Benjamin Moll

Causal reasoning is essential for understanding decision-making about the behaviour of complex `ecosystems' of systems that underpin modern society, with security -- including issues around correctness, safety, resilience, etc. -- typically…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Pinaki Chakraborty , Tristan Caulfield , David Pym

Modelling emotion has become a challenge nowadays. Therefore, several models have been produced in order to express human emotional activity. However, only a few of them are currently able to express the close relationship existing between…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-11-13 Karim Mahboub , Evelyne Clément , Cyrille Bertelle , Véronique Jay

This work explores dynamics existing in interactions between players. The dynamic system of games is a new attitude to modeling in which an event is modeled using several games. The model allows us to analyze the interplay capabilities and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-09 Gholamreza Askari , Madjid Eshaghi Gordji , Ali Zarei

Many real-world tasks require agents to coordinate their behavior to achieve shared goals. Successful collaboration requires not only adopting the same communicative conventions, but also grounding these conventions in the same…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-02 William P. McCarthy , Robert D. Hawkins , Haoliang Wang , Cameron Holdaway , Judith E. Fan

Large language models have achieved remarkable capabilities across domains, yet mechanisms underlying sophisticated reasoning remain elusive. Recent reasoning models outperform comparable instruction-tuned models on complex cognitive tasks,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Junsol Kim , Shiyang Lai , Nino Scherrer , Blaise Agüera y Arcas , James Evans

Filtering has had a profound impact as a device of perceiving information and deriving agent expectations in dynamic economic models. For an abstract economic system, this paper shows that the foundation of applying the filtering method…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-13 Zhengyuan Gao , Christian M. Hafner

By means of extensive computer simulations, the authors consider the entangled coevolution of actions and social structure in a new version of a spatial Prisoner's Dilemma model that naturally gives way to a process of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-16 Víctor M. Eguíluz , Martín G. Zimmermann , Camilo J. Cela-Conde , Maxi San Miguel

Social consensus is important for society. Sometimes the success of society depends on a consensus (e.g. the decision to pay taxes or to commit to the constitution). Examples for continuous opinion dynamics are discussions about tax rates…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-03-06 Jan Lorenz

Heralding the advent of autonomous vehicles and mobile robots that interact with humans, responsibility in spatial interaction is burgeoning as a research topic. Even though metrics of responsibility tailored to spatial interactions have…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Vassil Guenov , Ashwin George , Arkady Zgonnikov , David A. Abbink , Luciano Cavalcante Siebert

Providing a comprehensive view of the city operation and offering useful metrics for decision making is a well known challenge for urban risk analysis systems. Existing systems are, in many cases, generalizations of previous domain specific…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-01-10 David Carraminana , Ana M. Bernardos , Juan A. Besada , Jose R. Casar

Understanding cooperation in social systems is challenging because the ever-changing rules that govern societies interact with individual actions, resulting in intricate collective outcomes. In virtual-world experiments, we allowed people…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-25 Ofer Tchernichovski , Seth Frey , Dalton C. Conley , Nori Jacoby

In this paper, we argue that simulation platforms enable a novel type of embodied spatial reasoning, one facilitated by a formal model of object and event semantics that renders the continuous quantitative search space of an open-world,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-07 James Pustejovsky , Nikhil Krishnaswamy

In repeated interactions between individuals, we do not expect that exactly the same situation will occur from one time to another. Contrary to what is common in models of repeated games in the literature, most real situations may differ a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Anders Eriksson , Kristian Lindgren

Generative agents, which implement behaviors using a large language model (LLM) to interpret and evaluate an environment, has demonstrated the capacity to solve complex tasks across many social and technological domains. However, when these…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Atrisha Sarkar , Andrei Ioan Muresanu , Carter Blair , Aaryam Sharma , Rakshit S Trivedi , Gillian K Hadfield