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Increasing pressures on the environment are generating an ever-increasing need to manage animal and plant populations sustainably, and to protect and rebuild endangered populations. Effective management requires reliable mathematical…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-29 Stephen T. Buckland , Ken B. Newman , Carmen Fernández , Len Thomas , John Harwood

Previous works on depression detection use datasets collected in similar environments to train and test the models. In practice, however, the train and test distributions cannot be guaranteed to be identical. Distribution shifts can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Sri Harsha Dumpala , Chandramouli Shama Sastry , Rudolf Uher , Sageev Oore

Since 2012, tetrodotoxin (TTX) has been found in seafoods such as bivalve mollusks in temperate European waters. TTX contamination leads to food safety risks and economic losses, making early prediction of TTX contamination vital to the…

Understanding how epidemics spread in a system is a crucial step to prevent and control outbreaks, with broad implications on the system's functioning, health, and associated costs. This can be achieved by identifying the elements at higher…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-16 Eugenio Valdano , Chiara Poletto , Armando Giovannini , Diana Palma , Lara Savini , Vittoria Colizza

Low-rank approximation using time-dependent bases (TDBs) has proven effective for reduced-order modeling of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). In these techniques, the random field is decomposed to a set of deterministic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Prerna Patil , Hessam Babaee

In oncology dose-finding trials, due to staggered enrollment, it might be desirable to make dose-assignment decisions in real-time in the presence of pending toxicity outcomes, for example, when the dose-limiting toxicity is late-onset.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Tianjian Zhou , Yuan Ji

Reproduction data collected through standard bioassays are classically analyzed by regression in order to fit exposure-response curves and estimate ECx values (x% Effective Concentration). But regression is often misused on such data,…

In several practical applications, particularly healthcare, clinical data of each patient is individually recorded in a database at irregular intervals as required. This causes a sparse and irregularly sampled time series, which makes it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Mincheol Kim , Soo-Yong Shin

Theoretical ecologists have long leveraged empirical data in various forms to advance ecology. Recently increased volumes and access to ecological data present an expanding set of opportunities for theoreticians to inform model development,…

In this paper, we write the time-varying parameter (TVP) regression model involving K explanatory variables and T observations as a constant coefficient regression model with KT explanatory variables. In contrast with much of the existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-01 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , Luca Onorante

In randomized dose-finding trials, although drug exposure data form a part of key information for dose selection, the evaluation of the dose-response (DR) relationship often mainly uses DR data. We examine the benefit of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Jixian Wang , Zhiwei Zhang , Ram Tiwari

The empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and its variants have been extensively employed in the load and renewable forecasting literature. Using this multiresolution decomposition, time series (TS) related to the historical load and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-24 Nima Safari , George Price , Chi Yung Chung

Mendelian randomization is an instrumental variable method that utilizes genetic information to investigate the causal effect of a modifiable exposure on an outcome. In most cases, the exposure changes over time. Understanding the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Haodong Tian , Ashish Patel , Stephen Burgess

The decline in extent of wild pollinators in recent years has been partly associated with changing farm practices and in particular with increasing pesticide use. In this paper we combine ecological modelling with economic analysis of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-15 Adam Kleczkowski , Ciaran Ellis , Dave Goulson , Nick Hanley

In this paper, we extend the demographic eco-evolutionary game approach, based on explicit birth and death dynamics instead of abstract "fitness" interpreted as an abstract "Malthusian parameter", by the introduction of the delay resulting…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-07 Krzysztof Argasiński , Ryszard Rudnicki , Robert Szczelina

We study the Tangled Nature model of macro evolution and demonstrate that the co-evolutionary dynamics produces an increasingly correlated core of well occupied types. At the same time the entire configuration of types becomes increasing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-13 Dominic Jones , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Paolo Sibani

A major challenge in the deployment of hydrokinetic turbines in aquatic environments is the risk of fish collisions. Traditional fish collision models often oversimplify this risk by neglecting critical factors, such as the thickness of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-24 Eshwanth Asok , Ruo-Qian Wang

There have been significant efforts devoted to solving the longevity risk given that a continuous growth in population ageing has become a severe issue for many developed countries over the past few decades. The Cairns-Blake-Dowd (CBD)…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Distributed lag models are useful in environmental epidemiology as they allow the user to investigate critical windows of exposure, defined as the time period during which exposure to a pollutant adversely affects health outcomes. Recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Joseph Antonelli , Ander Wilson , Brent Coull

A backdoor attack in deep learning inserts a hidden backdoor in the model to trigger malicious behavior upon specific input patterns. Existing detection approaches assume a metric space (for either the original inputs or their latent…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Xiaoxing Mo , Yechao Zhang , Leo Yu Zhang , Wei Luo , Nan Sun , Shengshan Hu , Shang Gao , Yang Xiang