English
Related papers

Related papers: A Bayesian model of information cascades

200 papers

In a diversified context with multiple social networking sites, heterogeneous activity patterns and different user-user relations, the concept of "information cascade" is all but univocal. Despite the fact that such information cascades can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-20 Raquel A Baños , Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Yamir Moreno

Complex learning agents are increasingly deployed alongside existing experts, such as human operators or previously trained agents. However, it remains unclear how should learners optimally incorporate certain forms of expert data, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Daniel Jarne Ornia , Joel Dyer , Nicholas Bishop , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

Information and individual activities often spread globally through the network of social ties. While social contagion phenomena have been extensively studied within the framework of threshold models, it is common to make an assumption that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-07 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

A common assumption in the literature on information diffusion is that populations are homogeneous regarding individuals' information acquisition and propagation process: Individuals update their informed and actively communicating state…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Flávio L. Pinheiro , Vítor V. Vasconcelos

In distributed processing, agents generally collect data generated by the same underlying unknown model (represented by a vector of parameters) and then solve an estimation or inference task cooperatively. In this paper, we consider the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Sheng-Yuan Tu , Ali H. Sayed

We study the problem of an agent continuously faced with the decision of placing or not placing trust in an institution. The agent makes use of Bayesian learning in order to estimate the institution's true trustworthiness and makes the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-06 Benedikt V. Meylahn , Arnoud V. den Boer , Michel Mandjes

When individuals in a social network learn about an unknown state from private signals and neighbors' actions, the network structure often causes information loss. We consider rational agents and Gaussian signals in the canonical sequential…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-20 Krishna Dasaratha , Kevin He

How does temporally structured private and social information shape collective decisions? To address this question we consider a network of rational agents who independently accumulate private evidence that triggers a decision upon reaching…

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

This study introduces a comprehensive framework that situates information cascades within the domain of higher-order interactions, utilizing a double-threshold hypergraph model. We propose that individuals (nodes) gain awareness of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-14 Lei Chen , Yanpeng Zhu , Jiadong Zhu , Zhongyuan Ruan , Michael Small , Kim Christensen , Run-Ran Liu , Fanyuan Meng

We consider the problem of estimating the latent structure of a social network based on the observed information diffusion events, or cascades, where the observations for a given cascade consist of only the timestamps of infection for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-27 Ming Yu , Varun Gupta , Mladen Kolar

Collective behavior in online social media and networks is known to be capable of generating non-intuitive dynamics associated with crowd wisdom and herd behaviour. Even though these topics have been well-studied in social science, the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-16 Fernando Rosas , Kwang-Cheng Chen , Deniz Gunduz

We compare how well agents aggregate information in two repeated social learning environments. In the first setting agents have access to a public data set. In the second they have access to the same data, and also to the past actions of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-20 Marina Agranov , Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

The Bayesian persuasion model studies communication between an informed sender and a receiver with a payoff-relevant action, emphasizing the ability of a sender to extract maximal surplus from his informational advantage. In this paper we…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Ronen Gradwohl , Niklas Hahn , Martin Hoefer , Rann Smorodinsky

A researcher observes a finite sequence of choices made by multiple agents in a binary-state environment. Agents maximize expected utilities that depend on their chosen alternative and the unknown underlying state. Agents learn about the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-11 Rahul Deb , Ludovic Renou

Optimizing recommender systems based on user interaction data is mainly seen as a problem of dealing with selection bias, where most existing work assumes that interactions from different users are independent. However, it has been shown…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Norman Knyazev , Harrie Oosterhuis

We build a model of information cascades on feed-based networks, taking into account the finite attention span of users, message generation rates and message forwarding rates. Using this model, we study through simulations, the effect of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-15 Sameet Sreenivasan , Kevin S. Chan , Ananthram Swami , Gyorgy Korniss , Boleslaw Szymanski

We study how a decision-maker can acquire more information from an agent by reducing her own ability to observe what the agent transmits. In a large class of binary-action games, opacity design is just as good as full commitment to actions…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-02-07 Mark Whitmeyer

We study strategic information transmission in a hierarchical setting where information gets transmitted through a chain of agents up to a decision maker whose action is of importance to every agent. This situation could arise whenever an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-07-14 Majid Mahzoon

Pairwise interactions between individuals are taken as fundamental drivers of collective behavior responsible for group cohesion and decision-making. While an individual directly influences only a few neighbors, over time indirect…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-12 Sulimon Sattari , Udoy S. Basak , Ryan G. James , James P. Crutchfield , Tamiki Komatsuzaki