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The growing proliferation in solar deployment, especially at distribution level, has made the case for power system operators to develop more accurate solar forecasting models. This paper proposes a solar photovoltaic (PV) generation…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-10-12 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

Among several heliophysical and geophysical quantities, the accurate evolution of the solar irradiance is fundamental to forecast the evolution of the neutral and ionized components of the Earth's atmosphere.We developed an artificial…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-23 Luis Eduardo A. Vieira , Thierry Dudok de Wit , Matthieu Kretzschmar

Building design optimization often depends on physics-based simulation tools such as EnergyPlus, which, although accurate, are computationally expensive and slow. Surrogate models provide a faster alternative, yet most are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Piragash Manmatharasan , Girma Bitsuamlak , Katarina Grolinger

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

In this paper, we compare the effectiveness of a two-stage control strategy for the energy management system (EMS) of a grid-connected microgrid under uncertain solar irradiance and load demand using a real-world dataset from an island in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-01 Subrat Prasad Panda , Blaise Genest , Arvind Easwaran , Rémy Rigo-Mariani , PengFeng Lin

The estimation of total solar irradiance falling on the earth's surface is important in the field of solar energy generation and forecasting. Several clear-sky solar radiation models have been developed over the last few decades. Most of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-30 Soumyabrata Dev , Shilpa Manandhar , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Electricity production via solar energy is tackled via short-term forecasts and risk management. Our main tool is a new setting on time series. It allows the definition of "confidence bands" where the Gaussian assumption, which is not…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-23 Cédric Join , Michel Fliess , Cyril Voyant , Frédéric Chaxel

The increased usage of solar energy places additional importance on forecasts of solar radiation. Solar panel power production is primarily driven by the amount of solar radiation and it is therefore important to have accurate forecasts of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-04 Kilian Bakker , Kirien Whan , Wouter Knap , Maurice Schmeits

Rapid increase in the number of photo voltaic systems (PVSs) across the low voltage distribution systems required real-time monitoring of those systems. However, considering the necessary investment cost, real-time monitoring infrastructure…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-08 Soheil Pouraltafi-kheljan , Murat Göl

Wind and solar power are known to be highly influenced by weather events and may ramp up or down abruptly. Such events in the power production influence not only the availability of energy, but also the stability of the entire power grid.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-20 M. Anvari , G. Lohmann , M. Wächter , P. Milan , E. Lorenz , D. Heinemann , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar , Joachim Peinke

Climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme precipitation events, making weather disasters such as flooding and landslides more likely. The ability to accurately nowcast precipitation is therefore becoming more critical for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Daniel Seal , Rossella Arcucci , Salva Rühling-Cachay , César Quilodrán-Casas

The increasing frequency of heavy rainfall events, which are a major cause of urban flooding, underscores the urgent need for accurate precipitation forecasting - particularly in urban areas where localized events often go undetected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Rama Kassoumeh , David Rügamer , Henning Oppel

Estimating the amount of electricity that can be produced by rooftop photovoltaic systems is a time-consuming process that requires on-site measurements, a difficult task to achieve on a large scale. In this paper, we present an approach to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Daniel de Barros Soares , François Andrieux , Bastien Hell , Julien Lenhardt , Jordi Badosa , Sylvain Gavoille , Stéphane Gaiffas , Emmanuel Bacry

The engineering of solar power applications, such as photovoltaic energy (PV) or thermal solar energy requires the knowledge of the solar resource available for the solar energy system. This solar resource is generally obtained from…

Space Physics · Physics 2014-10-17 Jonathan Leloux , Luis Narvarte , Loreto Gonzalez-Bonilla

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

Climate change has led to an increase in frequency of extreme weather events. Early warning systems can prevent disasters and loss of life. Managing such events remain a challenge for both public and private institutions. Precipitation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-13 Ajitabh Kumar

Recent advances in Computer Vision and Deep Learning have enabled astonishing results in a variety of fields and applications. Motivated by this success, the SkyCam Dataset aims to enable image-based Deep Learning solutions for short-term,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Evangelos Ntavelis , Jan Remund , Philipp Schmid

The Sun is the main energy source to Earth, and understanding its variability is of direct relevance to climate studies. Measurements of total solar irradiance exist since 1978, but this is too short compared to climate-relevant time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-17 Theodosios Chatzistergos , Natalie A. Krivova , Kok Leng Yeo

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

Photovoltaic (PV) power generation has emerged as one of the lead renewable energy sources. Yet, its production is characterized by high uncertainty, being dependent on weather conditions like solar irradiance and temperature. Predicting PV…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Johan Mathe , Nina Miolane , Nicolas Sebastien , Jeremie Lequeux