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In the face of dataset shift, model calibration plays a pivotal role in ensuring the reliability of machine learning systems. Calibration error (CE) is an indicator of the alignment between the predicted probabilities and the classifier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Teodora Popordanoska , Gorjan Radevski , Tinne Tuytelaars , Matthew B. Blaschko

Statistical machine learning theory often tries to give generalization guarantees of machine learning models. Those models naturally underlie some fluctuation, as they are based on a data sample. If we were unlucky, and gathered a sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Alexander Mey

We propose a test for a change in the mean for a sequence of functional observations that are only partially observed on subsets of the domain, with no information available on the complement. The framework accommodates important scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Šárka Hudecová , Claudia Kirch

This book is about conformal prediction and related inferential techniques that build on permutation tests and exchangeability. These techniques are useful in a diverse array of tasks, including hypothesis testing and providing uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Rina Foygel Barber , Stephen Bates

Several hypothesis testing methods have been proposed to validate the assumption of isotropy in spatial point patterns. A majority of these methods are characterised by an unknown distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-09 Jakub J. Pypkowski , Adam M. Sykulski , James S. Martin

The network data has attracted considerable attention in modern statistics. In research on complex network data, one key issue is finding its underlying connection structure given a network sample. The methods that have been proposed in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-09 Kang Fu , Jianwei Hu , Seydou Keita

Two-sample tests evaluate whether two samples are realizations of the same distribution (the null hypothesis) or two different distributions (the alternative hypothesis). We consider a new setting for this problem where sample features are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Weizhi Li , Gautam Dasarathy , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy , Visar Berisha

A popular approach to significance testing proposes to decide whether the given hypothesized statistical model is likely to be true (or false). Statistical decision theory provides a basis for this approach by requiring every significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-08 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

Testing hypotheses of goodness-of-fit about mixture distributions on the basis of independent but not necessarily identically distributed random vectors is considered. The hypotheses are given by a specific distribution or by a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-21 Daniel Gaigall

Calibration is a frequently invoked concept when useful label probability estimates are required on top of classification accuracy. A calibrated model is a function whose values correctly reflect underlying label probabilities. Calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Alireza Torabian , Ruth Urner

Model misspecification is a long-standing enigma of the Bayesian inference framework as posteriors tend to get overly concentrated on ill-informed parameter values towards the large sample limit. Tempering of the likelihood has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-13 Owen Thomas , Jukka Corander

This work presents a content-based recommender system for machine learning classifier algorithms. Given a new data set, a recommendation of what classifier is likely to perform best is made based on classifier performance over similar known…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Marta Arias , Argimiro Arratia , Ariel Duarte-Lopez

Unsupervised person re-identification (re-ID) remains a challenging task. While extensive research has focused on the framework design and loss function, this paper shows that sampling strategy plays an equally important role. We analyze…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Xumeng Han , Xuehui Yu , Guorong Li , Jian Zhao , Gang Pan , Qixiang Ye , Jianbin Jiao , Zhenjun Han

System modeling is a classical approach to ensure their reliability since it is suitable both for a formal verification and for software testing techniques. In the context of model-based testing an approach combining random testing and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-06-14 Julien Bernard , Pierre-Cyrille Héam , Olga Kouchnarenko

The vulnerability of models to data aberrations and adversarial attacks influences their ability to demarcate distinct class boundaries efficiently. The network's confidence and uncertainty play a pivotal role in weight adjustments and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Utkarsh Uppal , Bharat Giddwani

Testing to see whether a given data set comes from some specified distribution is among the oldest types of problems in Statistics. Many such tests have been developed and their performance studied. The general result has been that while a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-07 Wolfgang Rolke

Scientists need to compare the support for models based on observed phenomena. The main goal of the evidential paradigm is to quantify the strength of evidence in the data for a reference model relative to an alternative model. This is done…

Empirical modelling often aims for the simplest model consistent with the data. A new technique is presented which quantifies the consistency of the model dynamics as a function of location in state space. As is well-known, traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

Many real-world classification problems are significantly class-imbalanced to detriment of the class of interest. The standard set of proper evaluation metrics is well-known but the usual assumption is that the test dataset imbalance equals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Jan Brabec , Tomáš Komárek , Vojtěch Franc , Lukáš Machlica

Invariance-based randomization tests -- such as permutation tests, rotation tests, or sign changes -- are an important and widely used class of statistical methods. They allow drawing inferences under weak assumptions on the data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Edgar Dobriban