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System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

We present a computational framework for efficient learning, sampling, and distribution of general Bayesian posterior distributions. The framework leverages a machine learning approach for the construction of normalizing flows for the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-10-10 Yukari Yamauchi , Landon Buskirk , Pablo Giuliani , Kyle Godbey

Balanced homodyning, heterodyning and unbalanced homodyning are the three well-known sampling techniques used in quantum optics to characterize all possible photonic sources in continuous-variable quantum information theory. We show that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-07-31 Yong Siah Teo , Hyunseok Jeong , Luis L. Sanchez-Soto

An important and often overlooked aspect of particle filtering methods is the estimation of unknown static parameters. A simple approach for addressing this problem is to augment the unknown static parameters as auxiliary states that are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-01 Xiaokun Zhao , Marija Iloska , Yousef El-Laham , Mónica F. Bugallo

The real-world data of power networks is often inaccessible due to privacy and security concerns, highlighting the need for tools to generate realistic synthetic network data. Existing methods leverage geographic tools like OpenStreetMap…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-17 Henrique O. Caetano , Rahul K. Gupta , Marco Aiello , Carlos Dias Maciel

Automated identification of protein conformational states from simulation of an ensemble of structures is a hard problem because it requires teaching a computer to recognize shapes. We adapt the naive Bayes classifier from the machine…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 David M. Rogers

We address the problem of searching for a change point in an anomalous process among a finite set of M processes. Specifically, we address a composite hypothesis model in which each process generates measurements following a common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Liad Lea Didi , Tomer Gafni , Kobi Cohen

Computer models are commonly used to represent a wide range of real systems, but they often involve some unknown parameters. Estimating the parameters by collecting physical data becomes essential in many scientific fields, ranging from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-27 Chih-Li Sung , Beau David Barber , Berkley J. Walker

Quantum process tomography (QPT) methods aim at identifying a given quantum process. The present paper focuses on the estimation of a unitary process. This class is of particular interest because quantum mechanics postulates that the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-01-23 François Verdeil , Yannick Deville

Model informed precision dosing (MIPD) is a Bayesian framework to individualize drug therapy based on prior knowledge and patient-specific monitoring data. Typically, prior knowledge results from controlled clinical trials with a more…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-27 Franziska Thoma , Niklas Hartung , Manfred Opper , Wilhelm Huisinga

Clustering observations across partially exchangeable groups of data is a routine task in Bayesian nonparametrics. Previously proposed models allow for clustering across groups by sharing atoms in the group-specific mixing measures.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Alessandro Carminati , Mario Beraha , Federico Camerlenghi , Alessandra Guglielmi

Model error covariances play a central role in the performance of data assimilation methods applied to nonlinear state-space models. However, these covariances are largely unknown in most of the applications. A misspecification of the model…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-06 María Magdalena Lucini , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Manuel Pulido

Metropolis Hastings nested sampling evolves a Markov chain, accepting new points along the chain according to a version of the Metropolis Hastings acceptance ratio, which has been modified to satisfy the nested sampling likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Kamran Javid

Cosmological fine-tuning has traditionally been associated with the narrowness of the intervals in which the parameters of the physical models must be located to make life possible. A more thorough approach focuses on the probability of the…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2022-04-26 Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , Ola Hössjer , Robert J. Marks

In this paper we introduce a new sampling algorithm which has the potential to be adopted as a universal replacement to the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm. It is related to the slice sampler, and motivated by an algorithm which is…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-19 Yanxin Li , Stephen G. Walker

Conventional approximations to Bayesian inference rely on either approximations by statistics such as mean and covariance or by point particles. Recent advances such as the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter have generalized these notions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Andrey A Popov

In this article, we propose a novel method for sampling potential functions based on noisy observation data of a finite number of observables in quantum canonical ensembles, which leads to the accurate sampling of a wide class of test…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Ziheng Chen , Zhennan Zhou

This paper introduces a concept for change-point detection based on normalized entropy as a fundamental metric, aiming to overcome the dependence of traditional entropy methods on assumptions about data distribution and absolute scales.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-18 Qingqing Song , Shaoliang Xia

Randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Nevertheless, in studies that are aimed at examining adverse effects of interventions, such trials are often impractical because of ethical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Anthony D. Scotina , Andrew R. Zullo , Robert J. Smith , Roee Gutman

Generally, natural scientific problems are so complicated that one has to establish some effective perturbation or nonperturbation theories with respect to some associated ideal models. In this Letter, a new theory that combines…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Yuan Gao , S. Y. Lou