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Decision making and learning in the presence of uncertainty has attracted significant attention in view of the increasing need to achieve robust and reliable operations. In the case where uncertainty stems from the presence of adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 André Bertolace , Konstatinos Gatsis , Kostas Margellos

Machine-learning techniques are essential in modern collider research, yet their probabilistic outputs often lack calibrated uncertainty estimates and finite-sample guarantees, limiting their direct use in statistical inference and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-12-22 Jack Y. Araz , Michael Spannowsky

Given the widespread use of deep learning models in safety-critical applications, ensuring that the decisions of such models are robust against adversarial exploitation is of fundamental importance. In this thesis, we discuss recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Alexander Robey

Recent works on adversarial perturbations show that there is an inherent trade-off between standard test accuracy and adversarial accuracy. Specifically, they show that no classifier can simultaneously be robust to adversarial perturbations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-26 Arun Sai Suggala , Adarsh Prasad , Vaishnavh Nagarajan , Pradeep Ravikumar

Despite their impressive predictive performance in various computer vision tasks, deep neural networks (DNNs) tend to make overly confident predictions, which hinders their widespread use in safety-critical applications. While there have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Teodora Popordanoska , Aleksei Tiulpin , Matthew B. Blaschko

Recent studies have shown that regularization techniques using soft labels, e.g., label smoothing, Mixup, and CutMix, not only enhance image classification accuracy but also mitigate miscalibration due to overconfident predictions, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Jonghyun Park , Juyeop Kim , Jong-Seok Lee

Optimal decision making requires that classifiers produce uncertainty estimates consistent with their empirical accuracy. However, deep neural networks are often under- or over-confident in their predictions. Consequently, methods have been…

The question why deep learning algorithms generalize so well has attracted increasing research interest. However, most of the well-established approaches, such as hypothesis capacity, stability or sparseness, have not provided complete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Tom Zahavy , Bingyi Kang , Alex Sivak , Jiashi Feng , Huan Xu , Shie Mannor

Overconfidence and underconfidence in machine learning classifiers is measured by calibration: the degree to which the probabilities predicted for each class match the accuracy of the classifier on that prediction. How one measures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Jeremy Nixon , Mike Dusenberry , Ghassen Jerfel , Timothy Nguyen , Jeremiah Liu , Linchuan Zhang , Dustin Tran

In learning problems, the noise inherent to the task at hand hinders the possibility to infer without a certain degree of uncertainty. Quantifying this uncertainty, regardless of its wide use, assumes high relevance for security-sensitive…

Deep neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial examples, which becomes one of the most important research problems in the development of deep learning. While a lot of efforts have been made in recent years, it is of great significance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Yinpeng Dong , Qi-An Fu , Xiao Yang , Tianyu Pang , Hang Su , Zihao Xiao , Jun Zhu

Adversarially robust learning aims to design algorithms that are robust to small adversarial perturbations on input variables. Beyond the existing studies on the predictive performance to adversarial samples, our goal is to understand…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Yue Xing , Ruizhi Zhang , Guang Cheng

The field of adversarial robustness has attracted significant attention in machine learning. Contrary to the common approach of training models that are accurate in average case, it aims at training models that are accurate for worst case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Oriol Barbany Mayor

We present connections between the recent literature on multigroup fairness for prediction algorithms and classical results in computational complexity. Multiaccurate predictors are correct in expectation on each member of an arbitrary…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Sílvia Casacuberta , Cynthia Dwork , Salil Vadhan

Despite extraordinary progress, current machine learning systems have been shown to be brittle against adversarial examples: seemingly innocuous but carefully crafted perturbations of test examples that cause machine learning predictors to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Omar Montasser

Given a black-box classification model and an unlabeled evaluation dataset from some application domain, efficient strategies need to be developed to evaluate the model. Random sampling allows a user to estimate metrics like accuracy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Walter Bennette , Sally Dufek , Karsten Maurer , Sean Sisti , Bunyod Tusmatov

Neural networks lack adversarial robustness, i.e., they are vulnerable to adversarial examples that through small perturbations to inputs cause incorrect predictions. Further, trust is undermined when models give miscalibrated predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Yao Qin , Xuezhi Wang , Alex Beutel , Ed H. Chi

Accurate probabilistic predictions are essential for optimal decision making. While neural network miscalibration has been studied primarily in classification, we investigate this in the less-explored domain of regression. We conduct the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Victor Dheur , Souhaib Ben Taieb

With model trustworthiness being crucial for sensitive real-world applications, practitioners are putting more and more focus on improving the uncertainty calibration of deep neural networks. Calibration errors are designed to quantify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

Confidence calibration -- the problem of predicting probability estimates representative of the true correctness likelihood -- is important for classification models in many applications. We discover that modern neural networks, unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-04 Chuan Guo , Geoff Pleiss , Yu Sun , Kilian Q. Weinberger