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We consider the problem of estimating the expected causal effect $E[Y|do(X)]$ for a target variable $Y$ when treatment $X$ is set by intervention, focusing on continuous random variables. In settings without selection bias or confounding,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-27 Marlies Hafer , Alexander Marx

We observe $n$ pairs of independent (but not necessarily i.i.d.) random variables $X_{1}=(W_{1},Y_{1}),\ldots,X_{n}=(W_{n},Y_{n})$ and tackle the problem of estimating the conditional distributions $Q_{i}^{\star}(w_{i})$ of $Y_{i}$ given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-07 Yannick Baraud , Juntong Chen

Covariate shift, a widely used assumption in tackling {\it distributional shift} (when training and test distributions differ), focuses on scenarios where the distribution of the labels conditioned on the feature vector is the same, but the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Deeksha Adil , Jarosław Błasiok

We introduce a dynamic distribution regression panel data model with heterogeneous coefficients across units. The objects of primary interest are functionals of these coefficients, including predicted one-step-ahead and stationary…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Ivan Fernandez-Val , Wayne Yuan Gao , Yuan Liao , Francis Vella

In this article, we present a nonparametric method for the general two-sample problem involving functional random variables modelled as elements of a separable Hilbert space ${\cal H}$. First, we present a general recipe based on linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Bilol Banerjee

The estimation of an f-divergence between two probability distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Most works study this problem under very weak assumptions, in which case it is provably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Paul K. Rubenstein , Olivier Bousquet , Josip Djolonga , Carlos Riquelme , Ilya Tolstikhin

We provide a unified approach to a method of estimation of the regression parameter in balanced linear models with a structured covariance matrix that combines a high breakdown point and bounded influence with high asymptotic efficiency at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Hendrik Paul Lopuhaä

In a regression analysis, suppose we suspect that there are several heterogeneous groups in the population that a sample represents. Mixture regression models have been applied to address such problems. By modeling the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-02 Toshiya Hoshikawa

The paper considers the problem of estimating a $p\geq2$\ dimensional mean vector of a multivariate conditionally normal distribution under quadratic loss. The problem of this type arises when estimating the parameters in a continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-27 Evgeny Pchelintsev

We consider problems in which a system receives external \emph{perturbations} from time to time. For instance, the system can be a train network in which particular lines are repeatedly disrupted without warning, having an effect on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Nicolo Colombo , Ricardo Silva , Soong M Kang , Arthur Gretton

We tackle the natural question of whether it is possible to estimate conditional distributions via Sklar's theorem by separately estimating the conditional distributions of the underlying copula and the marginals. Working with so-called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Kai Schärer , Wolfgang Trutschnig

Triangular systems with nonadditively separable unobserved heterogeneity provide a theoretically appealing framework for the modelling of complex structural relationships. However, they are not commonly used in practice due to the need for…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Whitney Newey , Sami Stouli , Francis Vella

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Till Massing

We develop a model-free theory of general types of parametric regression for iid observations. The theory replaces the parameters of parametric models with statistical functionals, to be called "regression functionals'', defined on large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Andreas Buja , Lawrence Brown , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Richard Berk , Ed George , Linda Zhao

Distribution-on-distribution regression considers the problem of formulating and estimating a regression relationship where both covariate and response are probability distributions. The optimal transport distributional regression model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

We propose a nonlinear function-on-function regression model where both the covariate and the response are random functions. The nonlinear regression is carried out in two steps: we first construct Hilbert spaces to accommodate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Peijun Sang , Bing Li

Generalized linear models are a popular tool in applied statistics, with their maximum likelihood estimators enjoying asymptotic Gaussianity and efficiency. As all models are wrong, it is desirable to understand these estimators' behaviours…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah

Conditional density estimation generalizes regression by modeling a full density f(yjx) rather than only the expected value E(yjx). This is important for many tasks, including handling multi-modality and generating prediction intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Michael P. Holmes , Alexander G. Gray , Charles Lee Isbell

We develop a new approximative estimation method for conditional Shapley values obtained using a linear regression model. We develop a new estimation method and outperform existing methodology and implementations. Compared to the sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Fredrik Lohne Aanes

In this paper, a nonparametric estimator is proposed for estimating the L1-median for multivariate conditional distribution when the covariates take values in an infinite dimensional space. The multivariate case is more appropriate to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Mohamed Chaouch , Naâmane Laïb
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