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In this paper, we consider the uncertainty quantification problem for regression models. Specifically, we consider an individual calibration objective for characterizing the quantiles of the prediction model. While such an objective is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Shang Liu , Zhongze Cai , Xiaocheng Li

This paper proposes nonparametric kernel-smoothing estimation for panel data to examine the degree of heterogeneity across cross-sectional units. We first estimate the sample mean, autocovariances, and autocorrelations for each unit and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-28 Ryo Okui , Takahide Yanagi

We consider a flexible semiparametric quantile regression model for analyzing high dimensional heterogeneous data. This model has several appealing features: (1) By considering different conditional quantiles, we may obtain a more complete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-25 Ben Sherwood , Lan Wang

An important step in developing individualized treatment strategies is to correctly identify subgroups of a heterogeneous population, so that specific treatment can be given to each subgroup. In this paper, we consider the situation with…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-31 Shujie Ma , Jian Huang

We provide new results for nonparametric identification, estimation, and inference of causal effects using `proxy controls': observables that are noisy but informative proxies for unobserved confounding factors. Our analysis applies to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-22 Ben Deaner

Regression analysis is commonly conducted in survey sampling. However, existing methods fail when the relationships vary across different areas or domains. In this paper, we propose a unified framework to study the group-wise covariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Mingjun Gang , Xin Wang , Zhonglei Wang , Wei Zhong

Recently, there has been great interest in estimating the conditional average treatment effect using flexible machine learning methods. However, in practice, investigators often have working hypotheses about effect heterogeneity across…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

This paper provides a method to construct simultaneous confidence bands for quantile functions and quantile effects in nonlinear network and panel models with unobserved two-way effects, strictly exogenous covariates, and possibly discrete…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-09 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Martin Weidner

Nonresponse in panel studies can lead to a substantial loss in data quality due to its potential to introduce bias and distort survey estimates. Recent work investigates the usage of machine learning to predict nonresponse in advance, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-05 Christoph Kern , Bernd Weiss , Jan-Philipp Kolb

This paper proposes a model-free approach to analyze panel data with heterogeneous dynamic structures across observational units. We first compute the sample mean, autocovariances, and autocorrelations for each unit, and then estimate the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-16 Ryo Okui , Takahide Yanagi

In this paper, we define an underlying data generating process that allows for different magnitudes of cross-sectional dependence, along with time series autocorrelation. This is achieved via high-dimensional moving average processes of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-22 Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

This paper develops a new model and estimation procedure for panel data that allows us to identify heterogeneous structural breaks. We model individual heterogeneity using a grouped pattern. For each group, we allow common structural breaks…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-27 Ryo Okui , Wendun Wang

This paper proposes a novel framework to test for slope heterogeneity between time-varying coefficients in panel data models. Our test not only allows us to detect whether the coefficient functions are the same across all units or not, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Marina Khismatullina , Bernhard van der Sluis

In this paper, we develop a new and effective approach to nonparametric quantile regression that accommodates ultrahigh-dimensional data arising from spatio-temporal processes. This approach proves advantageous in staving off computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Soudeep Deb , Claudia Neves , Subhrajyoty Roy

In this study, we develop a novel estimation method for quantile treatment effects (QTE) under rank invariance and rank stationarity assumptions. Ishihara (2020) explores identification of the nonseparable panel data model under these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-18 Takuya Ishihara

We investigate the parameter estimation of regression models with fixed group effects, when the group variable is missing while group related variables are available. This problem involves clustering to infer the missing group variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-29 Matthieu Marbac , Mohammed Sedki , Christophe Biernacki , Vincent Vandewalle

We provide a comprehensive examination of the predictive performance of panel forecasting methods based on individual, pooling, fixed effects, and empirical Bayes estimation, and propose optimal weights for forecast combination schemes. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-30 M. Hashem Pesaran , Andreas Pick , Allan Timmermann

This paper considers the quantile regression model with both individual fixed effect and time period effect for general spatial panel data. Instrumental variable quantile regression estimators will be proposed. Asymptotic properties of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-08 Xiaowen Dai , Zhen Yan , Maozai Tian , Manlai Tang

High-dimensional data pose challenges in statistical learning and modeling. Sometimes the predictors can be naturally grouped where pursuing the between-group sparsity is desired. Collinearity may occur in real-world high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-11 Yiyuan She

We consider identification, inference and validation of linear panel data models when both factors and factor loadings are accounted for by a nonparametric function. This general specification encompasses rather popular models such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-13 Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo , Alexandra Soberon , Stefan Sperlich