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Discrete diffusion models have gained increasing attention for their ability to model complex distributions with tractable sampling and inference. However, the error analysis for discrete diffusion models remains less well-understood. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yinuo Ren , Haoxuan Chen , Grant M. Rotskoff , Lexing Ying

We describe and analyze a broad class of mixture models for real-valued multivariate data in which the probability density of observations within each component of the model is represented as an arbitrary combination of basis functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 M. E. J. Newman

We study mixture of linear regression (random coefficient) models, which capture population heterogeneity by allowing the regression coefficients to follow an unknown distribution $G^*$. In contrast to common parametric methods that fix the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Hansheng Jiang , Adityanand Guntuboyina

Mixture transition distribution time series models build high-order dependence through a weighted combination of first-order transition densities for each one of a specified number of lags. We present a framework to construct stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

Fields like public health, public policy, and social science often want to quantify the degree of dependence between variables whose relationships take on unknown functional forms. Typically, in fact, researchers in these fields are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Octavio César Mesner , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

We propose an algorithm to estimate the common density $s$ of a stationary process $X_1,...,X_n$. We suppose that the process is either $\beta$ or $\tau$-mixing. We provide a model selection procedure based on a generalization of Mallows'…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-08 Matthieu Lerasle

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby

We explain how effective automatic probability density function estimates can be constructed using contemporary Bayesian inference engines such as those based on no-U-turn sampling and expectation propagation. Extensive simulation studies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-28 M. P. Wand , J. C. F. Yu

Robust estimators, like the median of a point set, are important for data analysis in the presence of outliers. We study robust estimators for locationally uncertain points with discrete distributions. That is, each point in a data set has…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Kevin Buchin , Jeff M. Phillips , Pingfan Tang

We propose boundary conditions for the diffusion equation that maintain the initial mean and the total mass of a discrete data sample in the density estimation process. A complete study of this framework with numerical experiments using the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Keith Y. Patarroyo

Computations of incompressible flows with velocity boundary conditions require solution of a Poisson equation for pressure with all Neumann boundary conditions. Discretization of such a Poisson equation results in a rank-deficient matrix of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Shantanu Shahane , Surya Pratap Vanka

Given sufficiently many components, it is often cited that finite mixture models can approximate any other probability density function (pdf) to an arbitrary degree of accuracy. Unfortunately, the nature of this approximation result is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-24 T Tin Nguyen , Hien D Nguyen , Faicel Chamroukhi , Geoffrey J McLachlan

Mixture of experts (MoE) models are widely applied for conditional probability density estimation problems. We demonstrate the richness of the class of MoE models by proving denseness results in Lebesgue spaces, when inputs and outputs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Hien Duy Nguyen , TrungTin Nguyen , Faicel Chamroukhi , Geoffrey McLachlan

When do nonparametric Bayesian procedures ``overfit''? To shed light on this question, we consider a binary regression problem in detail and establish frequentist consistency for a certain class of Bayes procedures based on hierarchical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc Coram , Steven P. Lalley

We propose a data-driven Fourier-trained neural-network method for estimating fixed-horizon probability densities from empirical characteristic-function (CF) information. The estimator is a positive Gaussian--Laplace mixture with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Duy-Minh Dang , Volter Entoma

We show that density models describing multiple observables with (i) hard boundaries and (ii) dependence on external parameters may be created using an auto-regressive Gaussian mixture model. The model is designed to capture how observable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-01 Stephen B. Menary , Darren D. Price

The prevailing statistical approach to analyzing persistence diagrams is concerned with filtering out topological noise. In this paper, we adopt a different viewpoint and aim at estimating the actual distribution of a random persistence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Weichen Wu , Jisu Kim , Alessandro Rinaldo

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating $f$, the conditional density of $Y$ given $X$, by using an independent sample distributed as $(X,Y)$ in the multivariate setting. We consider the estimation of $f(x,.)$ where $x$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Karine Bertin , Claire Lacour , Vincent Rivoirard

Let $\textbf{X} = (X_1,\ldots, X_p)$ be a stochastic vector having joint density function $f_{\textbf{X}}(x)$ with partitions $\textbf{X}_1 = (X_1,\ldots, X_k)$ and $\textbf{X}_2 = (X_{k+1},\ldots, X_p)$. A new method for estimating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-28 Håkon Otneim , Dag Tjøstheim

We study the problem of estimating the joint probability mass function (pmf) over two random variables. In particular, the estimation is based on the observation of $m$ samples containing both variables and $n$ samples missing one fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Hasan Sabri Melihcan Erol , Lizhong Zheng