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An important problem in time series analysis is the discrimination between non-stationarity and longrange dependence. Most of the literature considers the problem of testing specific parametric hypotheses of non-stationarity (such as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Philip Preuß , Kemal Sen , Holger Dette

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

We study the limiting behavior of continuous time trawl processes which are defined using an infinitely divisible random measure of a time dependent set. In this way one is able to define separately the marginal distribution and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-10 Danijel Grahovac , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Murad S. Taqqu

Words are fundamental linguistic units that connect thoughts and things through meaning. However, words do not appear independently in a text sequence. The existence of syntactic rules induces correlations among neighboring words. Using an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-03-15 David Sanchez , Luciano Zunino , Juan De Gregorio , Raul Toral , Claudio Mirasso

M-dependence is a commonly used assumption in the study of dependent sequences. In this paper, central limit theorems for m-dependent random variables under the sub-linear expectations are established based mainly on the conditions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Wang-Yun Gu , Li-Xin Zhang

Multivariate time series data that capture the temporal evolution of interconnected systems are ubiquitous in diverse areas. Understanding the complex relationships and potential dependencies among co-observed variables is crucial for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Zhaolu Liu , Robert L. Peach , Felix Laumann , Sara Vallejo Mengod , Mauricio Barahona

Long Range Dependence (LRD) in functional sequences is characterized in the spectral domain under suitable conditions. Particularly, multifractionally integrated functional autoregressive moving averages processes can be introduced in this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-13 M. Dolores Ruiz-Medina

Discrete time trawl processes constitute a large class of time series parameterized by a trawl sequence (a j) j$\in$N and defined though a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) copies of a continuous time process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Paul Doukhan , François Roueff , Joseph Rynkiewicz

Linear causal analysis is central to a wide range of important application spanning finance, the physical sciences, and engineering. Much of the existing literature in linear causal analysis operates in the time domain. Unfortunately, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-11 Francois W. Belletti , Evan R. Sparks , Michael J. Franklin , Alexandre M. Bayen , Joseph E. Gonzalez

In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba

Order patterns apply well to many fields, because of minimal stationarity assumptions. Here we fix the methodology of patterns of length 3 by introducing an orthogonal system of four pattern contrasts. These contrasts are statistically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Christoph Bandt

A regression model is proposed for the analysis of an ordinal response variable depending on a set of multiple covariates containing ordinal and potentially other variables. The proportional odds model (McCullagh (1980)) is used for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-25 Javier Espinosa , Christian Hennig

Empirical detection of long range dependence (LRD) of a time series often consists of deciding whether an estimate of the memory parameter $d$ corresponds to LRD. Surprisingly, the literature offers numerous spectral domain estimators for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-27 Marco Oesting , Albert Rapp , Evgeny Spodarev

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

Binomial time series in which the logit of the probability of success is modelled as a linear function of observed regressors and a stationary latent Gaussian process are considered. Score tests are developed to first test for the existence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He

This paper describes a model for generating time series which exhibit the statistical phenomenon known as long-range dependence (LRD). A Markov Modulated Process based upon an infinite Markov chain is described. The work described is…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2011-11-10 Richard G. Clegg , Maurice Dodson

For temporal regularly spaced datasets, a lot of methods are available and the properties of these methods are extensively investigated. Less research has been performed on irregular temporal datasets subject to measurement error with…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-15 Haiyan Liu , Jeanine Houwing-Duistermaat

The goal of this paper is two-fold: 1. We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. 2. We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao

Tests of independence are an important tool in applications, specifically in connection with the detection of a relationship between variables; they also have initiated many developments in statistical theory. In the present paper we build…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 L. Baringhaus , R. Grübel