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In the Bayesian approach to sequential decision making, exact calculation of the (subjective) utility is intractable. This extends to most special cases of interest, such as reinforcement learning problems. While utility bounds are known to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-14 Christos Dimitrakakis

Various ways for decision making with imprecise probabilities (admissibility, maximal expected utility, maximality, E-admissibility, $\Gamma$-maximax, $\Gamma$-maximin, all of which are well-known from the literature) are discussed and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-10 Matthias C. M. Troffaes

We consider the problem of decision-making with side information and unbounded loss functions. Inspired by probably approximately correct learning model, we use a slightly different model that incorporates the notion of side information in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Majid Fozunbal , Ton Kalker

This paper studies decision problems where the decision maker's choice of action affects the probability distribution of a payoff relevant random variable. We establish sufficient conditions for the existence of an expected utility…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-29 Ayush Gupta

This paper considers a problem where multiple users make repeated decisions based on their own observed events. The events and decisions at each time step determine the values of a utility function and a collection of penalty functions. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-05-13 Michael J. Neely

Learning is a fundamental characteristic of living systems, enabling them to comprehend their environments and make informed decisions. These decision-making processes are inherently influenced by available information about their…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-04-21 Arnab Barua , Haralampos Hatzikirou , Sumiyoshi Abe

We study belief revision when information is represented by a set of probability distributions, or general information. General information extends the standard event notion while including qualitative information (A is more likely than B),…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Adam Dominiak , Matthew Kovach , Gerelt Tserenjigmid

We study the problem of determining what data is required to solve a decision-making task when only partial information about the state of the world is available. Focusing on linear programs, we introduce a decision-focused notion of data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Omar Bennouna , Amine Bennouna , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

We study a general model on reusable resource allocation under model uncertainty. A heterogeneous population of customers arrive at the decision maker's (DM's) platform sequentially. Upon observing a customer's type, the DM selects an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Xilin Zhang , Wang Chi Cheung

This paper discovers that the neural network with lower decision boundary (DB) variability has better generalizability. Two new notions, algorithm DB variability and $(\epsilon, \eta)$-data DB variability, are proposed to measure the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Shiye Lei , Fengxiang He , Yancheng Yuan , Dacheng Tao

Data-based decisionmaking must account for the manipulation of data by agents who are aware of how decisions are being made and want to affect their allocations. We study a framework in which, due to such manipulation, data becomes less…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-12-29 Alex Frankel , Navin Kartik

In this work we generalize standard Decision Theory by assuming that two outcomes can also be incomparable. Two motivating scenarios show how incomparability may be helpful to represent those situations where, due to lack of information,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-04 Piero A. Bonatti , Marco Faella , Luigi Sauro

We pursue an inverse approach to utility theory and consumption & investment problems. Instead of specifying an agent's utility function and deriving her actions, we assume we observe her actions (i.e. her consumption and investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Alexander M. G. Cox , David Hobson , Jan Obloj

Gambles are random variables that model possible changes in monetary wealth. Classic decision theory transforms money into utility through a utility function and defines the value of a gamble as the expectation value of utility changes.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-03 Ole Peters , Murray Gell-Mann

The main objective of dose finding trials is to find an optimal dose amongst a candidate set for further research. The trial design in oncology proceeds in stages with a decision as to how to treat the next group of patients made at every…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Andrew Hall , Duncan Wilson , Stuart Barber , Sarah R Brown

An agent operating in an unknown dynamical system must learn its dynamics from observations. Active information gathering accelerates this learning, but existing methods derive bespoke costs for specific modeling choices: dynamics models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Fernando Palafox , Jingqi Li , Jesse Milzman , David Fridovich-Keil

Consider a decision maker who is responsible to collect observations so as to enhance his information in a speedy manner about an underlying phenomena of interest. The policies under which the decision maker selects sensing actions can be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-12 Mohammad Naghshvar , Tara Javidi

This technical note considers the sampling of outcomes that provide the greatest amount of information about the structure of underlying world models. This generalisation furnishes a principled approach to structure learning under a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-25 Karl Friston , Lancelot Da Costa , Alexander Tschantz , Conor Heins , Christopher Buckley , Tim Verbelen , Thomas Parr

Recent work has formalized the reward hypothesis through the lens of expected utility theory, by interpreting reward as utility. Hausner's foundational work showed that dropping the continuity axiom leads to a generalization of expected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Mehran Shakerinava , Siamak Ravanbakhsh , Adam Oberman

We consider a general statistical estimation problem involving a finite-dimensional target parameter vector. Beyond an internal data set drawn from the population distribution, external information, such as additional individual data or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-31 Guorong Dai , Lingxuan Shao , Jinbo Chen
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