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Since model bias and associated initialization shock are serious shortcomings that reduce prediction skills in state-of-the-art decadal climate prediction efforts, we pursue a complementary machine-learning-based approach to climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Xihaier Luo , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Yihui Ren , Ji Hwan Park , Wei Xu , Shinjae Yoo

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in image and video generation. In this work, we demonstrate that diffusion models can also \textit{generate high-performing neural network parameters}. Our approach is simple, utilizing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Kai Wang , Dongwen Tang , Boya Zeng , Yida Yin , Zhaopan Xu , Yukun Zhou , Zelin Zang , Trevor Darrell , Zhuang Liu , Yang You

We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Aodong Li , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth , Stephan Mandt

In this paper, we consider the problem of jointly performing online parameter estimation and optimal sensor placement for a partially observed infinite dimensional linear diffusion process. We present a novel solution to this problem in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-12 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas

Machine learning is now used in many areas of astrophysics, from detecting exoplanets in Kepler transit signals to removing telescope systematics. Recent work demonstrated the potential of using machine learning algorithms for atmospheric…

In this study, a novel physics-data-driven Bayesian method named Heat Conduction Equation assisted Bayesian Neural Network (HCE-BNN) is proposed. The HCE-BNN is constructed based on the Bayesian neural network, it is a physics-informed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Xinchao Jiang , Hu Wang , Yu li

We develop, discuss, and compare several inference techniques to constrain theory parameters in collider experiments. By harnessing the latent-space structure of particle physics processes, we extract extra information from the simulator.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-09-19 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez

Accurate determination of fuel properties of complex mixtures over a wide range of pressure and temperature conditions is essential to utilizing alternative fuels. The present work aims to construct cheap-to-compute machine learning (ML)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rodolfo S. M. Freitas , Ágatha P. F. Lima , Cheng Chen , Fernando A. Rochinha , Daniel Mira , Xi Jiang

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

The Bayesian neural network (BNN) method is used to construct a predictive model for fragment prediction of proton induced spallation reactions with the guidance of a simplified EPAX formula. Compared to the experimental data, it is found…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2022-11-17 Peng Dan , Hui-Ling Wei , Xi-Xi Chen , Xiao-Bao Wei , Yu-Ting Wang , Jie Pu , Kai-Xuan Cheng , Chun-Wang Ma

This paper addresses the classic problem of parameter estimation (PE) in multimachine power system models. Such models are typically described by a set of nonlinear differential-algebraic equations (DAE), where generator physics and network…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-20 Abdallah Alalem Albustami , Ahmad F. Taha , Sankaran Mahadevan

In many practical applications, regression models are employed to uncover relationships between predictors and a response variable, yet the common assumption of constant error variance is frequently violated. This issue is further…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-05 Masanari Kimura

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

High-fidelity experimental characterization of turbulent premixed flames remains limited by the cost and complexity of advanced diagnostics, particularly under elevated pressures and intense turbulence where measurements of coupled flame…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Saghar Zolfaghari , Yu Xie , Junfeng Yang , Safa Jamali

Traditional numerical simulation methods require substantial computational resources to accurately determine the complete nonlinear thermoacoustic response of flames to various perturbation frequencies and amplitudes. In this paper, we have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Jiawei Wu , Teng Wang , Jiaqi Nan , Lijun Yang , Jingxuan Li

This work deals with an inverse two-dimensional nonlinear heat conduction problem to determine the top and lateral surface transfer coefficients. For this, the \textsc{B}ayesian framework with the \textsc{M}arkov Chain \textsc{M}onte…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Julien Berger , Clemence Legros

Parameter estimation is a major challenge in computational modeling of biological processes. This is especially the case in image-based modeling where the inherently quantitative output of the model is measured against image data, which is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-27 Diana Barac , Michael D. Multerer , Dagmar Iber

Fluorescent and luminescent gene reporters allow us to dynamically quantify changes in molecular species concentration over time on the single cell level. The mathematical modeling of their interaction through multivariate dynamical models…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-07 Michal Komorowski , Barbel Finkenstadt , Claire V. Harper , David A. Rand

Within the scope of reacting flow simulations, the real-time direct integration (DI) of stiff ordinary differential equations (ODE) for the computation of chemical kinetics stands as the primary demand on computational resources. Meanwhile,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-03-01 Min Zhang , Runze Mao , Han Li , Zhenhua An , Zhi X. Chen

While Bayesian inference is the gold standard for uncertainty quantification and propagation, its use within physical chemistry encounters formidable computational barriers. These bottlenecks are magnified for modeling data with many…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 B. L. Shanks , H. W. Sullivan , A. R. Shazed , M. P. Hoepfner
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