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We present a proof-of-concept of a novel and fully Bayesian methodology designed to detect halos of different masses in cosmological observations subject to noise and systematic uncertainties. Our methodology combines the previously…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-08 Alexander I. Merson , Jens Jasche , Filipe B. Abdalla , Ofer Lahav , Benjamin Wandelt , D. Heath Jones , Matthew Colless

Many statistical models in cosmology can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihood functions. Likelihood-free inference methods allow us to perform Bayesian inference from these models using only forward simulations, free from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-11 Justin Alsing , Benjamin Wandelt , Stephen Feeney

Understanding how galaxies trace the underlying matter density field is essential for characterizing the influence of the large-scale structure on galaxy formation, being therefore a key ingredient in observational cosmology. This…

We present a Bayesian reconstruction algorithm to generate unbiased samples of the underlying dark matter field from halo catalogues. Our new contribution consists of implementing a non-Poisson likelihood including a deterministic…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Metin Ata , Francisco-Shu Kitaura , Volker Müller

Conventional approaches to cosmology inference from galaxy redshift surveys are based on n-point functions, which are under rigorous perturbative control on sufficiently large scales. Here, we present an alternative approach, which employs…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-23 Fabian Schmidt , Franz Elsner , Jens Jasche , Nhat Minh Nguyen , Guilhem Lavaux

We present a new method that simultaneously solves for cosmology and galaxy bias on non-linear scales. The method uses the halo model to analytically describe the (non-linear) matter distribution, and the conditional luminosity function…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Frank van den Bosch , Surhud More , Marcello Cacciato , Houjun Mo , Xiaohu Yang

Cosmological inference becomes increasingly difficult when complex data-generating processes cannot be modeled by simple probability distributions. With the ever-increasing size of data sets in cosmology, there is increasing burden placed…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Anja Weyant , Chad Schafer , W. Michael Wood-Vasey

A method is presented for performing joint analyses of cosmological datasets, in which the weight assigned to each dataset is determined directly by it own statistical properties. The weights are considered in a Bayesian context as a set of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. P. Hobson , S. L. Bridle , O. Lahav

In this paper, we describe a procedure for modelling strong lensing galaxy clusters with parametric methods, and to rank models quantitatively using the Bayesian evidence. We use a publicly available Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampler…

Extracting accurate cosmological information from galaxy-galaxy and galaxy-matter correlation functions on non-linear scales ($\lesssim 10 h^{-1} \mathrm{Mpc}$) requires cosmological simulations. Additionally, one has to marginalise over…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-10-02 Johannes U. Lange , Frank C. van den Bosch , Andrew R. Zentner , Kuan Wang , Andrew P. Hearin , Hong Guo

We introduce the notion of a Bayesian analysis motivated `reliability' that gives a truer distinction of cusp-core and other halo-parameters (like mass-concentration) in an ensemble of observed galaxies. Our approach goes beyond the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-01 Manush Manju , Subhabrata Majumdar

The Bayesian evidence is a key tool in model selection, allowing a comparison of models with different numbers of parameters. Its use in analysis of cosmological models has been limited by difficulties in calculating it, with current…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Juan Garcia-Bellido

We present a new approach for modelling galaxy/halo bias that utilizes the full non-linear information contained in the moments of the matter density field, which we derive using a set of numerical simulations. Although our method is…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Jennifer E. Pollack , Robert E. Smith , Cristiano Porciani

Standard approaches to Bayesian parameter inference in large scale structure assume a Gaussian functional form (chi-squared form) for the likelihood. This assumption, in detail, cannot be correct. Likelihood free inferences such as…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-21 ChangHoon Hahn , Mohammadjavad Vakili , Kilian Walsh , Andrew P. Hearin , David W. Hogg , Duncan Campbell

Cosmic shear estimation is an essential scientific goal for large galaxy surveys. It refers to the coherent distortion of distant galaxy images due to weak gravitational lensing along the line of sight. It can be used as a tracer of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Claire Theobald , Bastien Arcelin , Frédéric Pennerath , Brieuc Conan-Guez , Miguel Couceiro , Amedeo Napoli

We propose a novel approach to perform approximate Bayesian inference in complex models such as Bayesian neural networks. The approach is more scalable to large data than Markov Chain Monte Carlo, it embraces more expressive models than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-07 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Daniel Edward Pagendam

Many cosmological models have only a finite number of parameters of interest, but a very expensive data-generating process and an intractable likelihood function. We address the problem of performing likelihood-free Bayesian inference from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-14 Florent Leclercq

Likelihood-free inference provides a rigorous approach to preform Bayesian analysis using forward simulations only. The main advantage of likelihood-free methods is its ability to account for complex physical processes and observational…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-09 Sut-Ieng Tam , Keiichi Umetsu , Adam Amara

We present a Bayesian hierarchical inference formalism to study the relation between the properties of dark matter halos and those of their central galaxies using weak gravitational lensing. Unlike traditional methods, this technique does…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-11 Alessandro Sonnenfeld , Alexie Leauthaud

One of the main unsolved problems of cosmology is how to maximize the extraction of information from nonlinear data. If the data are nonlinear the usual approach is to employ a sequence of statistics (N-point statistics, counting statistics…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-07 Uros Seljak , Grigor Aslanyan , Yu Feng , Chirag Modi
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