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A stochastic hybrid system, also known as a switching diffusion, is a continuous-time Markov process with state space consisting of discrete and continuous parts. We consider parametric estimation of theQmatrix for the discrete state…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Masaaki Fukasawa

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

In this paper, we study a Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)$ with infinitely many types in a random ergodic environment $\bar{\xi}=(\xi_n)_{n\geq 0}$. We focus on the supercritical regime of the process, where the quenched average of the size of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Maxime Ligonnière

This paper introduces stochastic processes that describe the evolution of systems of particles in which particles immigrate according to a Poisson measure and split according to a self-similar fragmentation. Criteria for existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Benedicte Haas

We consider a system consisting of a planar random walk on a square lattice, submitted to stochastic elementary local deformations. Depending on the deformation transition rates, and specifically on a parameter $\eta$ which breaks the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

We introduce a variant of the asymmetric random average process with continuous state variables where the maximal transport is restricted by a cutoff. For periodic boundary conditions, we show the existence of a phase transition between a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Frank Zielen , Andreas Schadschneider

We prove a general fluctuation limit theorem for Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration. The limit is a time-inhomogeneous OU type process driven by a spectrally positive Levy process. As applications of this result, we obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-12 Chunhua Ma

We study stochastic particle systems on a complete graph and derive effective mean-field rate equations in the limit of diverging system size, which are also known from cluster aggregation models. We establish the propagation of chaos under…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Watthanan Jatuviriyapornchai , Stefan Grosskinsky

We present a new algorithm for computing the quasi-stationary distribution of subcritical Galton--Watson branching processes. This algorithm is based on a particular discretization of a well-known functional equation that characterizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-27 Sophie Hautphenne , Stefano Massei

This paper investigates the position (state) distribution of the single step binomial (multi-nomial) process on a discrete state / time grid under the assumption that the velocity process rather than the state process is Markovian. In this…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-03 Johan GB Beumee , Chris Cormack , Peyman Khorsand , Manish Patel

The nonlinear branching process with immigration is constructed as the pathwise unique solution of a stochastic integral equation driven by Poisson ran- dom measures. Some criteria for the regularity, recurrence, ergodicity and strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Pei-Sen Li

We consider a continuous time Markov chain on a countable state space and prove a joint large deviation principle for the empirical measure and the empirical flow, which accounts for the total number of jumps between pairs of states. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Lorenzo Bertini , Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli

We consider the stochastic ranking process with space-time dependent jump rates for the particles. The process is a simplified model of the time evolution of the rankings such as sales ranks at online bookstores. We prove that the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Tetsuya Hattori , Seiichiro Kusuoka

We give constructions of age-structured branching processes without or with immigration as pathwise unique solutions to stochastic integral equations. A necessary and sufficient condition for the ergodicity of the model with immigration is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Lina Ji , Zenghu Li

Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch

We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Niels B. Kammerer , Wolfgang Stummer

Consider a critical Galton--Watson branching process with immigration, where the offspring distribution belongs to the domain of attraction of a $(1 + \alpha)$-stable law with $\alpha \in (0,1)$, and the immigration distribution either (i)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Peter Kevei , Kata Kubatovics

Stochastic systems often exhibit multiple viable metastable states that are long-lived. Over very long timescales, fluctuations may push the system to transition between them, drastically changing its macroscopic configuration. In realistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-14 Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio

This paper studies iterative schemes for measure transfer and approximation problems, which are defined through a slicing-and-matching procedure. Similar to the sliced Wasserstein distance, these schemes benefit from the availability of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Shiying Li , Caroline Moosmueller , Yongzhe Wang

Arguing about the equilibrium distribution of continuous-time Markov chains can be vital for showing properties about the underlying systems. For example in biological systems, bistability of a chemical reaction network can hint at its…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-20 Tugrul Dayar , Holger Hermanns , David Spieler , Verena Wolf