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We propose a method for inference in generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs) and several extensions of these models. First, we extend the GLMM by allowing the distribution of the random components to be non-Gaussian, that is, assuming an…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-27 Jeanett S. Pelck , Rodrigo Labouriau

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

Copulas are popular as models for multivariate dependence because they allow the marginal densities and the joint dependence to be modeled separately. However, they usually require that the transformation from uniform marginals to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-14 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Paolo Giordani , Xiuyan Mun , Robert Kohn , Mike Pitt

Modeling of high order multivariate probability distribution is a difficult problem which occurs in many fields. Copula approach is a good choice for this purpose, but the curse of dimensionality still remains a problem. In this paper we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-16 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

In this paper, we revisit the notion of partial copula, originally introduced to test conditional independence, highlighting its capability to represent the dependence between two random variables after removing their dependence with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Vinícius Litvinoff Justus , Felipe Fontana Vieira

We are studying the problems of modeling and inference for multivariate count time series data with Poisson marginals. The focus is on linear and log-linear models. For studying the properties of such processes we develop a novel conceptual…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Paul Doukhan , Konstantinos Fokianos , Bård Støve , Dag Tjøstheim

Following our previous work on copula-based nonsymmetric bivariate dependence measures, we propose a new set of conditions on nonsymmetric multivariate dependence measures which characterize both independence and complete dependence of one…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-04 Hui Li

Differential sensitivity measures provide valuable tools for interpreting complex computational models used in applications ranging from simulation to algorithmic prediction. Taking the derivative of the model output in direction of a model…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-03 Silvana M. Pesenti , Pietro Millossovich , Andreas Tsanakas

This article proposes copula-based dependence quantification between multiple groups of random variables of possibly different sizes via the family of $Phi$-divergences. An axiomatic framework for this purpose is provided, after which we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Steven De Keyser , Irène Gijbels

We develop factor copula models for analysing the dependence among mixed continuous and discrete responses. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas that involve both observed and latent variables, hence they allow tail, asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Sayed H. Kadhem , Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

When analyzing data from multiple sources, it is often convenient to strike a careful balance between two goals: capturing the heterogeneity of the samples and sharing information across them. We introduce a novel framework to model a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Laura D'Angelo , Bernardo Nipoti , Andrea Ongaro

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter

This paper addresses sensitivity analysis for dynamic models, linking dependent inputs to observed outputs. The usual method to estimate Sobol indices are based on the independence of input variables. We present a method to overpass this…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-15 Mathilde Grandjacques , Alexandre Janon , Benoit Delinchant , Olivier Adrot

In some areas of knowledge there are data representing directions restricted to a specific range of values. Consequently, it is useful to have models for describing variables defined in subsets of the k-dimensional unit sphere. This need…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Joel Montesinos-Vazquez , Gabriel Núñez-Antonio

Stochastic models are necessary for the realistic description of an increasing number of applications. The ability to identify influential parameters and variables is critical to a thorough analysis and understanding of the underlying…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-29 Joseph L. Hart , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

Building higher-dimensional copulas is generally recognized as a difficult problem. Regular-vines using bivariate copulas provide a flexible class of high-dimensional dependency models. In large dimensions, the drawback of the model is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-07 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

The analysis of practical probabilistic models on the computer demands a convenient representation for the available knowledge and an efficient algorithm to perform inference. An appealing representation is the influence diagram, a network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ross D. Shachter

Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence, offer a great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. In statistics, a copula is used as a general way of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-01 Abhik Ghosh , Aritra Chakravorty

We address an important yet challenging problem - modeling high-dimensional dependencies across multivariates such as financial indicators in heterogeneous markets. In reality, a market couples and influences others over time, and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Jia Xu , Longbing Cao

In this paper we propose an extension of the classical Sobol' estimator for the estimation of variance based sensitivity indices. The approach assumes a linear correlation model between the input variables which is used to decompose the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-12 Thomas Most