Related papers: Bubbles in discrete time models
This note continues investigation of randomness-type properties emerging in idealized financial markets with continuous price processes. It is shown, without making any probabilistic assumptions, that the strong variation exponent of…
Many results in stochastic analysis and mathematical finance involve local martingales. However, specific examples of strict local martingales are rare and analytically often rather unhandy. We study local martingales that follow a given…
We consider a constructive model for asset price bubbles, where the market price $W$ is endogenously determined by the trading activity on the market and the fundamental price $W^F$ is exogenously given, as in the work of Jarrow, Protter…
We consider the problem of defining conditional objects (a|b), which would allow one to regard the conditional probability Pr(a|b) as a probability of a well-defined event rather than as a shorthand for Pr(ab)/Pr(b). The next issue is to…
This paper studies the equilibrium price of a continuous time asset traded in a market with heterogeneous investors. We consider a positive mean reverting asset and two groups of investors who have different beliefs on the speed of mean…
We give an explicit formula for the probability distribution based on a relativistic extension of Brownian motion. The distribution 1) is properly normalized and 2) obeys the tower law (semigroup property), so we can construct martingales…
We study discretizations of polynomial processes using finite state Markov processes satisfying suitable moment matching conditions. The states of these Markov processes together with their transition probabilities can be interpreted as…
This paper examines the impact of discrete marginal distributions on copula-based Markov chains. We present results on mixing and parameter estimation for a copula-based Markov chain model with Bernoulli($p$) marginal distribution and…
We study Euler-type discrete-time schemes for the rough Heston model, which can be described by a stochastic Volterra equation (with non-Lipschtiz coefficient functions), or by an equivalent integrated variance formulation. Using weak…
We propose a novel time discretization for the log-normal SABR model which is a popular stochastic volatility model that is widely used in financial practice. Our time discretization is a variant of the Euler-Maruyama scheme. We study its…
In this paper a finite discrete time market with an arbitrary state space and bid-ask spreads is considered. The notion of an equivalent bid-ask martingale measure (EBAMM) is introduced and the fundamental theorem of asset pricing is proved…
Weak convergence of the empirical copula process is shown to hold under the assumption that the first-order partial derivatives of the copula exist and are continuous on certain subsets of the unit hypercube. The assumption is…
A new concept called biased derivative is proposed. It has a potential to better understand and model some aspects of dynamical systems associated with creating bubbles.
The challenging problem of conducting fully Bayesian inference for the reaction rate constants governing stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) is considered. Given the challenges underlying this problem, the Markov jump process representation is…
Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…
This work is about the existence of martingale solutions and weak solutions for a stochastic nonlocal Burgers equation on bounded intervals. The existence of a martingale solution is shown by using a Galerkin approximation, Prokhorov's…
We consider an infinite system of non overlapping globules undergoing Brownian motions in R^3. The term globules means that the objects we are dealing with are spherical, but with a radius which is random and time-dependent. The dynamics is…
We show that our generalization of the Black-Scholes partial differential equation (pde) for nontrivial diffusion coefficients is equivalent to a Martingale in the risk neutral discounted stock price. Previously, this was proven for the…
The concept of conditional expectation is important in applications of probability and statistics in many areas such as reliability engineering, economy, finance, and actuarial sciences due to its property of being the best predictor of a…
We consider a Markov jump process on a general state space to which we apply a time-dependent weak perturbation over a finite time interval. By martingale-based stochastic calculus, under a suitable exponential moment bound for the…