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Unemployment insurance provides temporary cash benefits to eligible unemployed workers. Benefits are sometimes extended by discretion during economic slumps. In a model that features temporary benefits and sequential job opportunities, a…

General Economics · Economics 2023-12-22 Rich Ryan

This study explores the impact of unemployment benefits on employment quality, job stability, and tenure within complex labour market dynamics. Given the macroeconomic consequences of changes in unemployment benefits, including their impact…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-31 Jessica Reale , Frederik Banning , Michael Roos

We study how job search behavior evolves over the unemployment spell and the extent to which job seekers experience duration dependence in callbacks. Leveraging data on 2.4 million monthly activity reports containing detailed information on…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-06 Jonas Cederlöf , Sara Roman

This article proposes inference procedures for distribution regression models in duration analysis using randomly right-censored data. This generalizes classical duration models by allowing situations where explanatory variables' marginal…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-29 Miguel A. Delgado , Andrés García-Suaza , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

Evidence on the effectiveness of retraining U.S. unemployed workers primarily comes from evaluations of training programs, which represent one narrow avenue for skill acquisition. We use high-quality records from Ohio and a matching method…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-30 Pauline Leung , Zhuan Pei

Large Language Models have spread rapidly since the release of ChatGPT in late 2022, accompanied by claims of major productivity gains but also concerns about job displacement. This paper examines the short-run labor market effects of LLM…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-22 Danqing Chen , Carina Kane , Austin Kozlowski , Nadav Kunievsky , James A. Evans

We systematically investigate the effect heterogeneity of job search programmes for unemployed workers. To investigate possibly heterogeneous employment effects, we combine non-experimental causal empirical models with Lasso-type…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-13 Michael Knaus , Michael Lechner , Anthony Strittmatter

We empirically investigate the distributional effects of inflation on workers' unemployment tail risks using instrumental variable quantile regression. We find that supply-driven inflation disproportionately raises unemployment tail risks…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-12 Hie Joo Ahn , Lam Nguyen

This paper presents a novel approach to distinguish the impact of duration-dependent forces and adverse selection on the exit rate from unemployment by leveraging variation in the length of layoff notices. I formulate a Mixed Hazard model…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-08 Div Bhagia

This paper studies the extent to which the cyclicality of occupational mobility shapes that of aggregate unemployment and its duration distribution. We document the relation between workers' occupational mobility and unemployment duration…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-04 Carlos Carrillo-Tudela , Ludo Visschers

Unemployment insurance transfers should balance the provision of consumption to the unemployed with the disincentive effects on the search behavior. Developing countries face the additional challenge of informality. Workers can choose to…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-07 Martin Gonzalez-Rozada , Hernan Ruffo

This study focuses on recurring unemployment, that is people with two or more spells of unemployment during the period of observation (July 1993 - August 1996). First, a classification is obtained which is then used to examine the specific…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marie Cottrell , Patrice Gaubert

We use regression discontinuity design and difference-in-differences methods to estimate the impact of a one-time hiring subsidy for low-educated unemployed youths in Belgium during the recovery from the Great Recession. Within a year of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-13 Andrea Albanese , Bart Cockx , Muriel Dejemeppe

Many recent studies use individual longitudinal data to analyze job search behaviors. Such data allow the use of fixed-effects models, which supposedly address the issue of dynamic selection and make it possible to identify the structural…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-09 Jeremy Zuchuat

Economic models assume that payroll tax burdens fall fully on workers, but where does tax incidence fall when taxes are firm-specific and time-varying? Unemployment insurance in the United States has the key feature of varying both across…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-13 Audrey Guo

We study the consequences of job markets' heavy reliance on referrals. Referrals lead to more opportunities for workers to be hired, which lead to better matches and increased productivity, but also disadvantage job-seekers with few or no…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-10 Lukas Bolte , Nicole Immorlica , Matthew O. Jackson

This paper aims to estimate the impact of economic and financial crises on the unemployment rate in the European Union, taking also into consideration the institutional specificities, since unemployment was the main channel through which…

General Economics · Economics 2020-07-24 Ionut Jianu

Although employment web sites have recently become the main source for re- cruitment and selection process, the relation between those sites and unemploy- ment rates is seldom addressed. Deriving data from 32 countries and 427 web sites,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-11 M. Lutfi Arslan , Sadi Evren Seker

Unemployment is one of the most important issues in every country. Tourism industry is a dynamic sector which is labor augmented and can create jobs, increase consumption expenditures and offer employment opportunities. In the analysis of…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-02 Giotis Georgios

This paper develops a sufficient-statistic formula for the unemployment gap -- the difference between the actual unemployment rate and the efficient unemployment rate. While lowering unemployment puts more people into work, it forces firms…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-03 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez
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