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Detection heterogeneity is inherent to ecological data, arising from factors such as varied terrain or weather conditions, inconsistent sampling effort, or heterogeneity of individuals themselves. Incorporating additional covariates into a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Daniel Turek , Claudia Wehrhahn , Olivier Gimenez

Given a population of interconnected input-output agents repeatedly exposed to independent random inputs, we talk of correlated variability when agents' outputs are variable (i.e., they change randomly at each input repetition) but…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-15 Marcela Ordorica Arango , Alessio Franci

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

Estimating time-varying correlation matrices is challenging because existing methods may adapt slowly to structural changes, impose insufficient regularization, or produce diffuse posterior uncertainty. In moderate dimensions, an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Daniel Andrew Coulson , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

User growth is a major strategy for consumer internet companies. To optimize costly marketing campaigns and maximize user engagement, we propose a novel treatment effect optimization methodology to enhance user growth marketing. By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Shuyang Du , Jennifer Zhang , Will Y. Zou

We develop a game-theoretic framework for the study of competition between firms who have budgets to "seed" the initial adoption of their products by consumers located in a social network. The payoffs to the firms are the eventual number of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-24 Sanjeev Goyal , Michael Kearns

In sales and marketing, customer segmentation is an important tool for formulating strategies for customer treatment and supply chain management. Most segmentation implementations rely on limited criteria, such as recency, frequency, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Muhammad Raees , Konstantinos Papangelis , Vassilis Javed Khan

In a recent paper [P. Mayer et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 93, 115701 (2004)] it was shown, by means of experiments, theory and simulations, that coarsening systems display dynamic heterogeneity analogous to that of glass formers. Here, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Mayer , Peter Sollich , Ludovic Berthier , Juan P. Garrahan

Color is the most important intrinsic sensory feature that has a powerful impact on product sales. Color is even responsible for raising the aesthetic senses in our brains. Account for individual differences is crucial in color aesthetics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Pakizar Shamoi , Atsushi Inoue , Hiroharu Kawanaka

Recommender system research has oftentimes focused on approaches that operate on large-scale datasets containing millions of user interactions. However, many small businesses struggle to apply state-of-the-art models due to their very…

The emergence and wide-spread use of online social networks has led to a dramatic increase on the availability of social activity data. Importantly, this data can be exploited to investigate, at a microscopic level, some of the problems…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-12 Isabel Valera , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

We study the consumption behaviour of an asymmetric network of heterogeneous agents in the framework of discrete choice models with stochastic decision rules. We assume that the interactions among agents are uniquely specified by their…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Giulia Iori , Vassilis Koulovassilopoulos

Simulating a recommendation system in a controlled environment, to identify specific behaviors and user preferences, requires highly flexible synthetic data generation models capable of mimicking the patterns and trends of real datasets. In…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Simone Mungari , Erica Coppolillo , Ettore Ritacco , Giuseppe Manco

Presented is an analytic microeconomic model of the temporal price dispersion of homogeneous goods in polypoly markets. This new approach is based on the idea that the price dispersion has its origin in the dynamics of the purchase process.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-04 Joachim Kaldasch

We propose a novel approach to sentiment data filtering for a portfolio of assets. In our framework, a dynamic factor model drives the evolution of the observed sentiment and allows to identify two distinct components: a long-term…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Danilo Vassallo , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

The estimation of static parameters in dynamical systems and control theory has been extensively studied, with significant progress made in estimating varying parameters in specific system types. Suppose, in the general case, we have data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jamiree Harrison , Enoch Yeung

We study the robustness of system estimation to parametric perturbations in system dynamics and initial conditions. We define the problem of sensitivity-based parametric uncertainty quantification in dynamical system estimation. The main…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Ayush Pandey

Marketing is an important mechanism to increase user engagement and improve platform revenue, and heterogeneous causal learning can help develop more effective strategies. Most decision-making problems in marketing can be formulated as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Hao Zhou , Shaoming Li , Guibin Jiang , Jiaqi Zheng , Dong Wang

We provide an efficient method to approximate the covariance between decision variables and uncertain parameters in solutions to a general class of stochastic nonlinear complementarity problems. We also develop a sensitivity metric to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-10 Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Felipe Feijoo , Sauleh Siddiqui

The analysis of the intraday dynamics of correlations among high-frequency returns is challenging due to the presence of asynchronous trading and market microstructure noise. Both effects may lead to significant data reduction and may…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-06 Giuseppe Buccheri , Giacomo Bormetti , Fulvio Corsi , Fabrizio Lillo
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