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Meta learning is a promising technique for solving few-shot fault prediction problems, which have attracted the attention of many researchers in recent years. Existing meta-learning methods for time series prediction, which predominantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Hai Su , Jiajun Hu , Songsen Yu

Bias mitigators can improve algorithmic fairness in machine learning models, but their effect on fairness is often not stable across data splits. A popular approach to train more stable models is ensemble learning, but unfortunately, it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Michael Feffer , Martin Hirzel , Samuel C. Hoffman , Kiran Kate , Parikshit Ram , Avraham Shinnar

Aggregating multiple learners through an ensemble of models aim to make better predictions by capturing the underlying distribution of the data more accurately. Different ensembling methods, such as bagging, boosting, and stacking/blending,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu , Hieu Pham

We enhance the accuracy and generalization of univariate time series point prediction by an explainable ensemble on the fly. We propose an Interpretable Dynamic Ensemble Architecture (IDEA), in which interpretable base learners give…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-17 Mengyue Zha , Kani Chen , Tong Zhang

Multivariate time series (MTS) prediction plays a key role in many fields such as finance, energy and transport, where each individual time series corresponds to the data collected from a certain data source, so-called channel. A typical…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Hui Song , A. K. Qin , Flora D. Salim

There is a long history in machine learning of model ensembling, beginning with boosting and bagging and continuing to the present day. Much of this history has focused on combining models for classification and regression, but recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Ira Globus-Harris , Varun Gupta , Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth

Recent years have seen a shift towards learning-based methods for trajectory prediction, with challenges remaining in addressing uncertainty and capturing multi-modal distributions. This paper introduces Temporal Ensembling with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Kai-Yin Hong , Chieh-Chih Wang , Wen-Chieh Lin

Federated learning allows us to run machine learning algorithms on decentralized data when data sharing is not permitted due to privacy concerns. Ensemble-based learning works by training multiple (weak) classifiers whose output is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Florian van Daalen , Lianne Ippel , Andre Dekker , Inigo Bermejo

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

This article describes the methods that achieved 4th and 6th place in the forecasting and investment challenges, respectively, of the M6 competition, ultimately securing the 1st place in the overall duathlon ranking. In the forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Filip Staněk

Model ensembling is a well-established technique for improving the performance of machine learning models. Conventionally, this involves averaging the output distributions of multiple models and selecting the most probable label. This idea…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jiale Fu , Yuchu Jiang , Peijun Wu , Chonghan Liu , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Xu Yang

Deep learning models are widely used across computer vision and other domains. When working on the model induction, selecting the right architecture for a given dataset often relies on repetitive trial-and-error procedures. This procedure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Yen-Chia Chen , Hsing-Kuo Pao , Hanjuan Huang

Ensemble forecasting is a technique devised to palliate sensitivity to initial conditions in nonlinear dynamical systems. The basic idea to avoid this sensitivity is to run the model many times under several slightly-different initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 F J Tapiador , R Verdejo

We present a detailed description of our submission for the M4 forecasting competition, in which it ranked 3rd overall. Our solution utilizes several commonly used statistical models, which are weighted according to their performance on…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-11 Maciej Pawlikowski , Agata Chorowska

Ensemble Learning methods combine multiple algorithms performing the same task to build a group with superior quality. These systems are well adapted to the distributed setup, where each peer or machine of the network hosts one algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Gaëlle Candel , David Naccache

An empirical study was carried out to compare different implementations of ensemble models aimed at improving prediction in spectroscopic data. A wide range of candidate models were fitted to benchmark datasets from regression and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Katarina Domijan

Few-shot learning aims to train efficient predictive models with a few examples. The lack of training data leads to poor models that perform high-variance or low-confidence predictions. In this paper, we propose to meta-learn the ensemble…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Yaoyao Liu , Bernt Schiele , Qianru Sun

Automating machine learning has achieved remarkable technological developments in recent years, and building an automated machine learning pipeline is now an essential task. The model ensemble is the technique of combining multiple models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Yunpu Zhao , Rui Zhang , Xiaqing Li

In this study, we delve into the realm of meta-learning to combine point base forecasts for probabilistic short-term electricity demand forecasting. Our approach encompasses the utilization of quantile linear regression, quantile regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Grzegorz Dudek

Ensemble techniques are powerful approaches that combine several weak learners to build a stronger one. As a meta-learning framework, ensemble techniques can easily be applied to many machine learning methods. Inspired by ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Hamideh Hajiabadi , Reza Monsefi , Hadi Sadoghi Yazdi