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The state of the art for physical hazard prediction from weather and climate requires expensive km-scale numerical simulations driven by coarser resolution global inputs. Here, a generative diffusion architecture is explored for downscaling…

Verification of global high-resolution precipitation forecasts is challenging. Spatial verification techniques address some shortcomings of traditional verification. However most existing methods do not account for the non-planar geometry…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-28 Gregor Skok , Llorenç Lledó

This paper aims to predict the traffic flow at one road segment based on nearby traffic volume and weather conditions. Our team also discover the impact of weather conditions and nearby traffic volume on the traffic flow at a target point.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Anh Thi-Hoang Nguyen , Dung Ha Nguyen , Trong-Hop Do

Accurate and timely rainfall nowcasting is crucial for disaster mitigation and water resource management. Despite recent advances in deep learning, precipitation prediction remains challenging due to limitations in effectively leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Sanjeev Panta , Rhett M Morvant , Xu Yuan , Li Chen , Nian-Feng Tzeng

Machine vision is an important sensing technology used in mobile robotic systems. Advancing the autonomy of such systems requires accurate characterisation of sensor uncertainty. Vision includes intrinsic uncertainty due to the camera…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Timothy Farnworth , Christopher Renton , Reuben Strydom , Adrian Wills , Tristan Perez

In this work, we propose a simulation-based estimation approach using generative neural networks to determine dependencies of precipitation maxima and their underlying uncertainty in time and space. Within the common framework of max-stable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Christopher Bülte , Lisa Leimenstoll , Melanie Schienle

Drought is a serious natural disaster that has a long duration and a wide range of influence. To decrease the drought-caused losses, drought prediction is the basis of making the corresponding drought prevention and disaster reduction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Weiwei Jiang , Jiayun Luo

Deep learning models have achieved remarkable progress in precipitation prediction. However, they still face significant challenges in accurately capturing spatial details of radar images, particularly in regions of high precipitation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Li Chaorong , Ling Xudong , Yang Qiang , Qin Fengqing , Huang Yuanyuan

This paper proposes a method for estimating a surface that contains a given set of points from noisy measurements. More precisely, by assuming that the surface is described by the zero set of a function in the span of a given set of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Omar M. Sleem , Sahand Kiani , Constantino M. Lagoa

This paper presents a localization algorithm for autonomous urban vehicles under rain weather conditions. In adverse weather, human drivers anticipate the location of the ego-vehicle based on the control inputs they provide and surrounding…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Yu Xiang Tan , Malika Meghjani , Marcel Bartholomeus Prasetyo

The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

In recent years, machine learning has established itself as a powerful tool for high-resolution weather forecasting. While most current machine learning models focus on deterministic forecasts, accurately capturing the uncertainty in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Fredrik Lindsten

Atmospheric predictability research has long held that the limit of skillful deterministic weather forecasts is about 14 days. We challenge this limit using GraphCast, a machine-learning weather model, by optimizing forecast initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 P. Trent Vonich , Gregory J. Hakim

The primary focus of autonomous driving research is to improve driving accuracy. While great progress has been made, state-of-the-art algorithms still fail at times. Such failures may have catastrophic consequences. It therefore is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-07 Simon Hecker , Dengxin Dai , Luc Van Gool

We investigate joint direction-of-arrival (DoA) and rain-rate estimation for a uniform linear array operating under rain-induced multiplicative distortions. Building on a wavefront fluctuation model whose spatial correlation is governed by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-03 Chenyang Yan , Ruonan Yang , Shunqiao Sun , Mats Bengtsson

Coastal flooding drives considerable risks to many communities, but projections of future flood risks are deeply uncertain. The paucity of observations of extreme events often motivates the use of statistical approaches to model the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-01 Tony E. Wong , Alexandra Klufas , Vivek Srikrishnan , Klaus Keller

LiDAR scenes constitute a fundamental source for several autonomous driving applications. Despite the existence of several datasets, scenes from adverse weather conditions are rarely available. This limits the robustness of downstream…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Andrea Matteazzi , Pascal Colling , Michael Arnold , Dietmar Tutsch

Long-term rainfall prediction is a challenging task especially in the modern world where we are facing the major environmental problem of global warming. In general, climate and rainfall are highly non-linear phenomena in nature exhibiting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ajith Abraham , Dan Steinberg

Flooding is one of the most destructive and costly natural disasters, and climate changes would further increase risks globally. This work presents a novel multimodal machine learning approach for multi-year global flood risk prediction,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Cynthia Zeng , Dimitris Bertsimas