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Employing Bayesian inference to calibrate constitutive model parameters has grown substantially in recent years. Among the available techniques, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling remains one of the most widely used approaches for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Aricia Rinkens , Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Erik Quaeghebeur , Nick Jaensson , Clemens Verhoosel

Fractured metal fragments with rough and irregular surfaces are often found at crime scenes. Current forensic practice visually inspects the complex jagged trajectory of fractured surfaces to recognize a ``match'' using comparative…

This paper studies a two-phase material with a microstructure composed of a hard brittle reinforcement phase embedded in a soft ductile matrix. It addresses the full three-dimensional nature of the microstructure and macroscopic…

Materials Science · Physics 2016-04-14 T. W. J. de Geus , M. Cottura , B. Appolaire , R. H. J. Peerlings , M. G. D. Geers

We present a Bayesian inference methodology for the estimation of orbital parameters on single-line spectroscopic binaries with astrometric data, based on the No-U-Turn sampler Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Our approach is designed to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-27 Miguel Videla , Rene A. Mendez , Ruben M. Claveria , Jorge F. Silva , Marcos E. Orchard

Predicting the process of porosity-based ductile damage in polycrystalline metallic materials is an essential practical topic. Ductile damage and its precursors are represented by extreme values in stress and material state quantities, the…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-08-09 Yinling Zhang , Nan Chen , Curt A. Bronkhorst , Hansohl Cho , Robert Argus

Topic models are Bayesian models that are frequently used to capture the latent structure of certain corpora of documents or images. Each data element in such a corpus (for instance each item in a collection of scientific articles) is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-05 Behrooz Ghorbani , Hamid Javadi , Andrea Montanari

To improve the theoretical prediction power for synthesizing superheavy elements beyond Og, a Bayesian uncertainty quantification method is employed to evaluate the uncertainty of the calculated evaporation residue cross sections (ERCS) for…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-10-24 Yueping Fang , Zepeng Gao , Yinu Zhang , Zehong Liao , Yu Yang , Jun Su , Long Zhu

We propose a variational phase-field model of fracture capable of accounting for arbitrary closed convex strength domains. Unlike traditional models based on Ambrosio and Tortorelli regularization, the phase-field variable does not affect…

Applied Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Blaise Bourdin , Jean-Jacques Marigo , Corrado Maurini , Camilla Zolesi

We study the Bayesian inverse problem of inferring the permeability of a porous medium within the context of a moving boundary framework motivated by Resin Transfer Molding (RTM), one of the most commonly used processes for manufacturing…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-15 Marco Iglesias , Minho Park , M. V. Tretyakov

The swift progression of machine learning (ML) has not gone unnoticed in the realm of statistical mechanics. ML techniques have attracted attention by the classical density-functional theory (DFT) community, as they enable discovery of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-15 Antonio Malpica-Morales , Peter Yatsyshin , Miguel A. Duran-Olivencia , Serafim Kalliadasis

Fracture is a fundamental mechanism of materials failure. Propagating cracks can exhibit a rich dynamical behavior controlled by a subtle interplay between microscopic failure processes in the crack tip region and macroscopic elasticity. We…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-05-18 R. Spatschek , E. Brener , A. Karma

This study introduces a computationally efficient algorithm, delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo (DA-MCMC), designed to improve posterior simulation in quasi-Bayesian inference. Quasi-Bayesian methods, which do not require fully…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-16 Masahiro Tanaka

Continuum-scale material deformation models, such as crystal plasticity, can significantly enhance their predictive accuracy by incorporating input from lower-scale (i.e., mesoscale) models. The procedure to generate and extract the…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-01-06 Nicholas Huebner Julian , Giacomo Po , Enrique Martinez , Nithin Mathew , Danny Perez

We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-14 Georgios Papageorgiou

Flow and transport in fractured geological media are strongly controlled by aperture heterogeneity and uncertainty in subsurface characterisation, yet most upscaling approaches rely on deterministic representations of fracture permeability.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-20 Sarah Perez , Florian Doster , Hannah Menke , Ahmed ElSheikh , Andreas Busch

The structure of the nonlinear inverse problem arising from capillarity-driven imbibition in porous media is investigated, considering a degenerate parabolic PDE with compactly supported diffusivity and boundary-driven fluxes as the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Paola Stolfi , Elia Onofri , Gabriella Bretti

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

Bayesian approaches are one of the primary methodologies to tackle an inverse problem in high dimensions. Such an inverse problem arises in hydrology to infer the permeability field given flow data in a porous media. It is common practice…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-02 Navid Shervani-Tabar

Material properties controlled by evolving defect structures, such as mechanical response, often involve processes spanning many length and time scales which cannot be modeled using a single approach. We present a variety of new results…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-06-19 Joel Berry , Nikolas Provatas , Jörg Rottler , Chad W. Sinclair

A rigorous Bayesian formulation of the inverse doping profile problem in infinite dimensions for a stationary linearized unipolar drift-diffusion model for semiconductor devices is given. The goal is to estimate the posterior probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Leila Taghizadeh , Ansgar Jüngel
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