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Traditional logic-based belief revision research focuses on designing rules to constrain the behavior of revision operators. Frameworks have been proposed to characterize iterated revision rules, but they are often too loose, leading to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Hua Meng , Zhiguo Long , Michael Sioutis , Zhengchun Zhou

We propose a new approach for solving a class of discrete decision making problems under uncertainty with positive cost. This issue concerns multiple and diverse fields such as engineering, economics, artificial intelligence, cognitive…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Steve N'Guyen , Clément Moulin-Frier , Jacques Droulez

Geometry constitutes a core set of intuitions present in all humans, regardless of their language or schooling [1]. Could brain's built in machinery for processing geometric information take part in uncertainty representation? For decades…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-12 Felix Polyakov

This article deals with plausible reasoning from incomplete knowledge about large-scale spatial properties. The availableinformation, consisting of a set of pointwise observations,is extrapolated to neighbour points. We make use of belief…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Jerome Lang , Philippe Muller

It is known that statistical model selection as well as identification of dynamical equations from available data are both very challenging tasks. Physical systems behave according to their underlying dynamical equations which, in turn, can…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 Sean Alan Ali , Carlo Cafaro

Belief systems are often treated as globally consistent sets of propositions or as scalar-valued probability distributions. Such representations tend to obscure the internal structure of belief, conflate external credibility with internal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Saleh Nikooroo

Probabilistic graphical models are a powerful concept for modeling high-dimensional distributions. Besides modeling distributions, probabilistic graphical models also provide an elegant framework for performing statistical inference;…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Christian Knoll

We study quantum statistical inference tasks of hypothesis testing and their canonical variations, in order to review relations between their corresponding figures of merit---measures of statistical distance---and demonstrate the crucial…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-09-25 Marcin Jarzyna , Jan Kolodynski

We propose a way to construct fiducial distributions for a multidimensional parameter using a step-by-step conditional procedure related to the inferential importance of the components of the parameter. For discrete models, in which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Piero Veronese , Eugenio Melilli

This paper presents a plausible reasoning system to illustrate some broad issues in knowledge representation: dualities between different reasoning forms, the difficulty of unifying complementary reasoning styles, and the approximate nature…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Wray L. Buntine

Belief function theory provides a flexible way to combine information provided by different sources. This combination is usually followed by a decision making which can be handled by a range of decision rules. Some rules help to choose the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-29 Amira Essaid , Arnaud Martin , Grégory Smits , Boutheina Ben Yaghlane

We first show that there are practical situations in for instance forensic and gambling settings, in which applying classical probability theory, that is, based on the axioms of Kolmogorov, is problematic. We then introduce and discuss…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 Timber Kerkvliet , Ronald Meester

Our previous work on classifying complex ship images [1,2] has evolved into an effort to develop software tools for building and solving generic classification problems. Managing the uncertainty associated with feature data and other…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Lashon B. Booker , Naveen Hota , Gavin Hemphill

In machine learning, accurately predicting the probability that a specific input is correct is crucial for risk management. This process, known as uncertainty (or confidence) estimation, is particularly important in mission-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

This paper lays the foundations for a unified framework for numerically and computationally applying methods drawn from a range of currently distinct geometrical approaches to statistical modelling. In so doing, it extends information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-11 Karim Anaya-Izquierdo , Frank Critchley , Paul Marriott , Paul W. Vos

This paper examines the concept of a combination rule for belief functions. It is shown that two fairly simple and apparently reasonable assumptions determine Dempster's rule, giving a new justification for it.

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Nic Wilson

The goal of this note is to provide a geometric setting in which generalized arithmetic means are best predictors in an appropriate metric. This characterization provides a geometric interpretation to the concept of certainty equivalent.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Henryk Gzyl

In the data mining field many clustering methods have been proposed, yet standard versions do not take into account uncertain databases. This paper deals with a new approach to cluster uncertain data by using a hierarchical clustering…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-13 Wiem Maalel , Kuang Zhou , Arnaud Martin , Zied Elouedi

The AGM theory of belief revision has become an important paradigm for investigating rational belief changes. Unfortunately, researchers working in this paradigm have restricted much of their attention to rather simple representations of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Frans Voorbraak

Considerable attention has been given to the problem of non-monotonic reasoning in a belief function framework. Earlier work (M. Ginsberg) proposed solutions introducing meta-rules which recognized conditional independencies in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Mary McLeish