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The increasing availability of spatio-temporal tracking data has created new opportunities for analysing tactical behaviour in football. However, many existing approaches evaluate passes primarily through outcome-based metrics such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Oktay Karakuş , Hasan Arkadaş

Pressing is a fundamental defensive strategy in football, characterized by applying pressure on the ball owning team to regain possession. Despite its significance, existing metrics for measuring pressing often lack precision or…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-01 Joris Bekkers

The objective of this study was to incorporate contextual information into the modelling of player movements. This was achieved by combining the distributions of forthcoming passing contests that players committed to and those they did not.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-26 Bartholomew Spencer , Karl Jackson , Sam Robertson

In recent years, great emphasis has been placed on the prediction of association football. Due to this, several studies have proposed different types of statistical models to predict the outcome of a football match. However, most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-11 Roberto Macrì-Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli

We investigated the temporal distribution of goals in soccer using event-level data from 3,433 matches across 21 leagues and competitions. Contrary to the prevailing notion of randomness, we found that the probability of a goal being scored…

The strategic orchestration of football matchplays profoundly influences game outcomes, motivating a surge in research aimed at uncovering tactical nuances through social network analysis. In this paper, we delve into the microscopic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-16 Ming-Xia Li , Li-Gong Xu , Wei-Xing Zhou

We propose using Network Science as a complementary tool to analyze player and team behavior during a football match. Specifically, we introduce four kinds of networks based on different ways of interaction between players. Our approach's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-13 J. M. Buldu , D. Garrido , D. R. Antequera , J. Busquets , E. Estrada , R. Resta , R. Lopez del Campo

This work presents a microscopic model to describe pedestrian flows based on the social force theory. The aim of this study is twofold: (1) developing a realistic model that can be used as a tool for designing pedestrian-friendly…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Péter Molnár

We present a general theoretical model for the spatio-temporal dynamics of animal contests. Inspired by interactions between physical particles, the model is formulated in terms of effective interaction potentials, which map typical…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-12-01 Amir Haluts , Alex Jordan , Nir S. Gov

A knowledgeable observer of a game of football (soccer) can make a subjective evaluation of the quality of passes made between players during the game. We investigate the problem of producing an automated system to make the same evaluation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Michael Horton , Joachim Gudmundsson , Sanjay Chawla , Joël Estephan

In this study, a temporal graph model is designed to model the behavior of collective sports teams based on the networks of player interactions. The main motivation for the model is to integrate the temporal dimension into the analysis of…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Quentin Bourgeais , Eric Sanlaville , Rodolphe Charrier , Ludovic Seifert

Modeling of crowds of pedestrians has been considered in this paper from different aspects. Based on fractional microscopic model that may be much more close to reality, a fractional macroscopic model has been proposed using conservation…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-02-04 Ke-cai Cao , YangQuan Chen , Dan Stuart

Despite growing interest in quantifying and modeling the scoring dynamics within professional sports games, relative little is known about what patterns or principles, if any, cut across different sports. Using a comprehensive data set of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-24 Sears Merritt , Aaron Clauset

Many intelligent user interfaces employ application and user models to determine the user's preferences, goals and likely future actions. Such models require application analysis, adaptation and expansion. Building and maintaining such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Peter J. Gorniak , David L. Poole

We propose a bottom-up approach to the study of possession and its outcomes for association football, based on probabilistic finite state automata with transition probabilities described by a Markov process. We show how even a very simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Javier López Peña

In multiagent environments, several decision-making individuals interact while adhering to the dynamics constraints imposed by the environment. These interactions, combined with the potential stochasticity of the agents' decision-making…

We consider a broad class of stochastic imitation dynamics over networks, encompassing several well known learning models such as the replicator dynamics. In the considered models, players have no global information about the game…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Lorenzo Zino , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

This paper presents a novel framework for evaluating players in association football (soccer). Our method uses possession sequences, i.e. sequences of consecutive on-ball actions, for deriving estimates for player strengths. On the surface,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-13 Robert Bajons , Kurt Hornik

A new approach in team sports analysis consists in studying positioning and movements of players during the game in relation to team performance. State of the art tracking systems produce spatio-temporal traces of players that have…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-06 Rodolfo Metulini , Marica Manisera , Paola Zuccolotto

Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Matthias Grossglauser