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In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach for forecasting hierarchical time series. When dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from generating accurate forecasts, one needs to select a suitable method for producing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Paolo Mancuso , Veronica Piccialli , Antonio M. Sudoso

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

An increasing body of research focuses on using neural networks to model time series. A common assumption in training neural networks via maximum likelihood estimation on time series is that the errors across time steps are uncorrelated.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Fan-Keng Sun , Christopher I. Lang , Duane S. Boning

In this paper we employ economic news within a neural network framework to forecast the Italian 10-year interest rate spread. We use a big, open-source, database known as Global Database of Events, Language and Tone to extract topical and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Sergio Consoli , Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli , Elisa Tosetti

Recent years have witnessed tremendously improved efficiency of Automated Machine Learning (AutoML), especially Automated Deep Learning (AutoDL) systems, but recent work focuses on tabular, image, or NLP tasks. So far, little attention has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Difan Deng , Florian Karl , Frank Hutter , Bernd Bischl , Marius Lindauer

We present a novel recurrent neural network architecture specifically designed for day-ahead electricity price forecasting, aimed at improving short-term decision-making and operational management in energy systems. Our combined forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Souhir Ben Amor , Florian Ziel

The present document delineates the analysis, design, implementation, and benchmarking of various neural network architectures within a short-term frequency prediction system for the foreign exchange market (FOREX). Our aim is to simulate…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-15 Theodoros Zafeiriou , Dimitris Kalles

While machine learning has revolutionized many fields such as natural language processing (NLP) and computer vision, its impact on time-series forecasting is still widely disputed, especially in the finance domain. This paper compares…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Aman Singh , Tokunbo Ogunfunmi , Sanjiv Das

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been the catalyst to numerous advances in a variety of fields and disciplines in recent years. Their impact on economics, however, has been comparatively muted. One type of ANN, the long short-term…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-17 Daniel Hopp

Electricity prices strongly depend on seasonality of different time scales, therefore any forecasting of electricity prices has to account for it. Neural networks have proven successful in short-term price-forecasting, but complicated…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-03 Andreas Wagner , Enislay Ramentol , Florian Schirra , Hendrik Michaeli

Navigating the intricate landscape of financial markets requires adept forecasting of stock price movements. This paper delves into the potential of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for predicting stock dynamics, with a focus on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-29 Nisarg Patel , Harmit Shah , Kishan Mewada

This paper introduces an open-source and reproducible implementation of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) Networks for time series forecasting. We evaluated LSTM and GRU networks because of their performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Gissel Velarde , Pedro Branez , Alejandro Bueno , Rodrigo Heredia , Mateo Lopez-Ledezma

This paper considers improved forecasting in possibly nonlinear dynamic settings, with high-dimension predictors ("big data" environments). To overcome the curse of dimensionality and manage data and model complexity, we examine shrinkage…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-26 Ali Habibnia , Esfandiar Maasoumi

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Tao Ma

This article applies a long short-term memory recurrent neural network to mortality rate forecasting. The model can be trained jointly on the mortality rate history of different countries, ages, and sexes. The RNN-based method seems to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-18 Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Analysis of time-series data allows to identify long-term trends and make predictions that can help to improve our lives. With the rapid development of artificial neural networks, long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network (RNN)…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Kazybek Adam , Kamilya Smagulova , Alex Pappachen James

Precise financial series predicting has long been a difficult problem because of unstableness and many noises within the series. Although Traditional time series models like ARIMA and GARCH have been researched and proved to be effective in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Xin-Yao Qian

Traffic forecasting is a challenging problem due to complex road networks and sudden speed changes caused by various events on roads. A number of models have been proposed to solve this challenging problem with a focus on learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Hyunwook Lee , Seungmin Jin , Hyeshin Chu , Hongkyu Lim , Sungahn Ko