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Financial forecasting plays an important role in making informed decisions for financial stakeholders, specifically in the stock exchange market. In a traditional setting, investors commonly rely on the equity research department for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Sahar Arshad , Seemab Latif , Ahmad Salman , Rabia Latif

A common belief is that intrinsically interpretable deep learning models ensure a correct, intuitive understanding of their behavior and offer greater robustness against accidental errors or intentional manipulation. However, these beliefs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Hubert Baniecki , Przemyslaw Biecek

Deep Learning is evolving fast and integrates into various domains. Finance is a challenging field for deep learning, especially in the case of interpretable artificial intelligence (AI). Although classical approaches perform very well with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov , Irina Podlipnova , Dinara Khubieva

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

In order for machine learning to be deployed and trusted in many applications, it is crucial to be able to reliably explain why the machine learning algorithm makes certain predictions. For example, if an algorithm classifies a given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-07 Amirata Ghorbani , Abubakar Abid , James Zou

Deep neural networks use multiple layers of functions to map an object represented by an input vector progressively to different representations, and with sufficient training, eventually to a single score for each class that is the output…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Tin Kam Ho

The increasing use of complex machine learning models in education has led to concerns about their interpretability, which in turn has spurred interest in developing explainability techniques that are both faithful to the model's inner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Juan D. Pinto , Luc Paquette

Machine learning and deep learning have become increasingly prevalent in financial prediction and forecasting tasks, offering advantages such as enhanced customer experience, democratising financial services, improving consumer protection,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Branka Hadji Misheva , Joerg Osterrieder

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

Deep Neural Networks are powerful tools to understand complex patterns and making decisions. However, their black-box nature impedes a complete understanding of their inner workings. While online saliency-guided training methods try to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Ali Karkehabadi

Volatility for financial assets returns can be used to gauge the risk for financial market. We propose a deep stochastic volatility model (DSVM) based on the framework of deep latent variable models. It uses flexible deep learning models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen

Rough volatility models are known to reproduce the behavior of historical volatility data while at the same time fitting the volatility surface remarkably well, with very few parameters. However, managing the risks of derivatives under…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-16 Omar El Euch , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Deep hedging is a framework for hedging derivatives in the presence of market frictions. In this study, we focus on the problem of hedging a given target option by using multiple options. To extend the deep hedging framework to this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-23 Masanori Hirano , Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Takuya Shimada

Model interpretability is a requirement in many applications in which crucial decisions are made by users relying on a model's outputs. The recent movement for "algorithmic fairness" also stipulates explainability, and therefore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-21 Xuan Liu , Xiaoguang Wang , Stan Matwin

Deep learning is finding its way into the embedded world with applications such as autonomous driving, smart sensors and aug- mented reality. However, the computation of deep neural networks is demanding in energy, compute power and memory.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Dominik Marek Loroch , Franz-Josef Pfreundt , Norbert Wehn , Janis Keuper

Despite the popularisation of machine learning models, more often than not, they still operate as black boxes with no insight into what is happening inside the model. There exist a few methods that allow to visualise and explain why a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Błażej Leporowski , Alexandros Iosifidis

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

The success of deep learning in recent years have led to a significant increase in interest and prevalence for its adoption to tackle financial services tasks. One particular question that often arises as a barrier to adopting deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Alexander Wong , Andrew Hryniowski , Xiao Yu Wang

Although deep learning models perform remarkably well across a range of tasks such as language translation and object recognition, it remains unclear what high-level logic, if any, they follow. Understanding this logic may lead to more…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Thibault Sellam , Kevin Lin , Ian Yiran Huang , Yiru Chen , Michelle Yang , Carl Vondrick , Eugene Wu