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When employing non-linear methods to characterise complex systems, it is important to determine to what extent they are capturing genuine non-linear phenomena that could not be assessed by simpler spectral methods. Specifically, we are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-22 Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas , Adam B. Barrett , Daniel Bor

One of the fundamental challenges found throughout the data sciences is to explain why things happen in specific ways, or through which mechanisms a certain variable $X$ exerts influences over another variable $Y$. In statistics and machine…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-09 Drago Plecko , Elias Bareinboim

Using observational data to estimate the effect of a treatment is a powerful tool for decision-making when randomized experiments are infeasible or costly. However, observational data often yields biased estimates of treatment effects,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-01 Tobias Hatt , Stefan Feuerriegel

Sampling schemes are fundamental tools in statistics, survey design, and algorithm design. A fundamental result in differential privacy is that a differentially private mechanism run on a simple random sample of a population provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-23 Mark Bun , Jörg Drechsler , Marco Gaboardi , Audra McMillan , Jayshree Sarathy

Inference of causality in time series has been principally based on the prediction paradigm. Nonetheless, the predictive causality approach may overlook the simultaneous and reciprocal nature of causal interactions observed in real world…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-24 Albert C. Yang , Norden E. Huang , Chung-Kang Peng

I address the decomposition of the differences between the distribution of outcomes of two groups when individuals self-select themselves into participation. I differentiate between the decomposition for participants and the entire…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-15 Santiago Pereda-Fernández

One of the fundamental steps toward understanding a complex system is identifying variation at the scale of the system's components that is most relevant to behavior on a macroscopic scale. Mutual information provides a natural means of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Kieran A. Murphy , Dani S. Bassett

Community detection is one of the most important methodological fields of network science, and one which has attracted a significant amount of attention over the past decades. This area deals with the automated division of a network into…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-07 Tiago P. Peixoto

An informative sampling design leads to unit inclusion probabilities that are correlated with the response variable of interest. However, multistage sampling designs may also induce higher order dependencies, which are typically ignored in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-23 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

This work is focussed on the inversion task of inferring the distribution over parameters of interest leading to multiple sets of observations. The potential to solve such distributional inversion problems is driven by increasing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Arnaud Vadeboncoeur , Mark Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart

We elaborate on a deconvolution method, used to estimate the empirical distribution of unknown parameters, as suggested recently by Efron (2013). It is applied to estimating the empirical distribution of the 'sampling probabilities' of m…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-20 Eitan Greenshtein , Theodor Itskov

Convenient access to observational data enables us to learn causal effects without randomized experiments. This research direction draws increasing attention in research areas such as economics, healthcare, and education. For example, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Ruocheng Guo , Jundong Li , Huan Liu

Unobserved confounding is one of the greatest challenges for causal discovery. The case in which unobserved variables have a widespread effect on many of the observed ones is particularly difficult because most pairs of variables are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-26 Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar

We investigate structure for pairs of randomizations that do not follow each other in a chain. These are unrandomized-inclusive, independent, coincident or double randomizations. This involves taking several structures that satisfy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 C. J. Brien , R. A. Bailey

For a family of random intermittent dynamical systems with a superattracting fixed point we prove that a phase transition occurs between the existence of an absolutely continuous invariant probability measure and infinite measure depending…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Charlene Kalle , Benthen Zeegers

Statistical analysis is an important tool to distinguish systematic from chance findings. Current statistical analyses rely on distributional assumptions reflecting the structure of some underlying model, which if not met lead to problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

The idea of intersectionality has become a frequent topic of discussion both in academic sociology, as well as among popular movements for social justice such as Black Lives Matter, intersectional feminism, and LGBT rights.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-26 Thomas F. Varley , Patrick Kaminski

Decomposition analysis is a critical tool for understanding the social and spatial dimensions of segregation and diversity. In this paper, I highlight the conceptual, mathematical, and empirical distinctions between segregation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Elizabeth Roberto

This paper proposes a novel approach for constructing effective personalized policies when the observed data lacks counter-factual information, is biased and possesses many features. The approach is applicable in a wide variety of settings…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-11 Onur Atan , William R. Zame , Qiaojun Feng , Mihaela van der Schaar

Predicting the evolution of diseases is challenging, especially when the data availability is scarce and incomplete. The most popular tools for modelling and predicting infectious disease epidemics are compartmental models. They stratify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Esha Saha , Lam Si Tung Ho , Giang Tran
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