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For practical model-based demands, such as design space exploration and uncertainty quantification (UQ), a high-fidelity model that produces accurate outputs often has high computational cost, while a low-fidelity model with less accurate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Jerrad Hampton , Hillary Fairbanks , Akil Narayan , Alireza Doostan

Two of the most significant challenges in uncertainty quantification pertain to the high computational cost for simulating complex physical models and the high dimension of the random inputs. In applications of practical interest, both of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Jonas Nitzler , Jonas Biehler , Niklas Fehn , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Wolfgang A. Wall

In system analysis and design optimization, multiple computational models are typically available to represent a given physical system. These models can be broadly classified as high-fidelity models, which provide highly accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Ruda Zhang , Negin Alemazkoor

The polynomial chaos (PC) expansion has been widely used as a surrogate model in the Bayesian inference to speed up the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) calculations. However, the use of a PC surrogate introduces the modeling error, that may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Liang Yan , Tao Zhou

The presence of uncertainty in material properties and geometry of a structure is ubiquitous. The design of robust engineering structures, therefore, needs to incorporate uncertainty in the optimization process. Stochastic gradient descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Subhayan De , Kurt Maute , Alireza Doostan

This work presents the application of a recently developed parametric, non-intrusive, and multi-fidelity reduced-order modeling method on high-dimensional displacement and stress fields arising from the structural analysis of geometries…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Christian Perron , Darshan Sarojini , Dushhyanth Rajaram , Jason Corman , Dimitri Mavris

Efficient optimization remains a fundamental challenge across numerous scientific and engineering domains, especially when objective function and gradient evaluations are computationally expensive. While zeroth-order optimization methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Nuojin Cheng , Alireza Doostan , Stephen Becker

Mathematical modeling and simulation of complex physical systems based on partial differential equations (PDEs) have been widely used in engineering and industrial applications. To enable reliable predictions, it is crucial yet challenging…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Han Gao , Jian-Xun Wang

Stochastic optimization of engineering systems is often infeasible due to repeated evaluations of a computationally expensive, high-fidelity simulation. Bi-fidelity methods mitigate this challenge by leveraging a cheaper, approximate model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Thomas O. Dixon , Geoffrey F. Bomarito , James E. Warner , Alex A. Gorodetsky

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Proper quantification and propagation of uncertainties in computational simulations are of critical importance. This issue is especially challenging for CFD applications. A particular obstacle for uncertainty quantifications in CFD problems…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-04-10 Jian-xun Wang , Christopher J. Roy , Heng Xiao

Multifidelity uncertainty quantification (MF UQ) sampling approaches have been shown to significantly reduce the variance of statistical estimators while preserving the bias of the highest-fidelity model, provided that the low-fidelity…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-08-16 Xiaoshu Zeng , Gianluca Geraci , Michael S. Eldred , John D. Jakeman , Alex A. Gorodetsky , Roger Ghanem

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

The construction of efficient methods for uncertainty quantification in kinetic equations represents a challenge due to the high dimensionality of the models: often the computational costs involved become prohibitive. On the other hand,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Giacomo Dimarco , Liu Liu , Lorenzo Pareschi , Xueyu Zhu

This article deals with the sequential design of experiments for (deterministic or stochastic) multi-fidelity numerical simulators, that is, simulators that offer control over the accuracy of simulation of the physical phenomenon or system…

In the early stages of aerospace design, reduced order models (ROMs) are crucial for minimizing computational costs associated with using physics-rich field information in many-query scenarios requiring multiple evaluations. The intricacy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Bilal Mufti , Christian Perron , Dimitri N. Mavris

Probabilistic variants of Model Order Reduction (MOR) methods have recently emerged for improving stability and computational performance of classical approaches. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic Reduced Basis Method (RBM) for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Marie Billaud-Friess , Arthur Macherey , Anthony Nouy , Clémentine Prieur

Least squares regression is a ubiquitous tool for building emulators (a.k.a. surrogate models) of problems across science and engineering for purposes such as design space exploration and uncertainty quantification. When the regression data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Nuojin Cheng , Osman Asif Malik , Yiming Xu , Stephen Becker , Alireza Doostan , Akil Narayan

A radial basis function (RBF) based sequential surrogate reliability method (SSRM) is proposed, in which a special optimization problem is solved to update the surrogate model of the limit state function (LSF) iteratively. The objective of…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-27 Xu Li , Chunlin Gong , Liangxian Gu , Wenkun Gao , Zhao Jing , Hua Su

Multi-fidelity simulation is a widely used strategy to reduce the computational cost of many-query numerical simulation tasks such as uncertainty quantification, design space exploration, and design optimization. The reduced basis approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Murray Cutforth , Tiffany Fan , Tony Zahtila , Alireza Doostan , Eric Darve
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