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A version of the second order phase transition theory, in which the Nernst theorem holds automatically, is proposed. The theory is constructed in terms of the order parameter and the (configurational) entropy. It faithfully reproduces the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-15 Metlov S. Leonid

In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the point process of exceedances in a spatio-temporal setting whose points are given by the rescaled occurrence times, the sites and the rescaled values of exceedances. Here, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Carolin Forster , Marco Oesting

Based on empirical financial time-series, we show that the "silence-breaking" probability follows a super-universal power law: the probability of observing a large movement is inversely proportional to the length of the on-going…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-06 Robert Kitt , Maksim Sakki , Jaan Kalda

The study of discrete-time stochastic processes on the half-line with mean drift at $x$ given by $\mu_1 (x) \to 0$ as $x \to \infty$ is known as Lamperti's problem. We give sharp almost-sure bounds for processes of this type in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-11 Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

Complex systems are often characterized by the interplay of multiple interconnected dynamical processes operating across a range of temporal scales. This phenomenon is widespread in both biological and artificial scenarios, making it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-08 Giorgio Nicoletti , Daniel M. Busiello

A superprocess limit for an interacting birth-death particle system modelling a population with trait and physical age-structures is established. Traits of newborn offspring are inherited from the parents except when mutations occur, while…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-29 Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Fluctuations from a hydrodynamic limit of a one-dimensional asymmetric system come at two levels. On the central limit scale n^{1/2} one sees initial fluctuations transported along characteristics and no dynamical noise. The second order of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Timo Seppalainen

We establish general sufficient conditions for a sequence of controlled branching processes to converge weakly on the Skorokhod space. We focus on a class of controlled random variables that extends previous results by considering them as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Miguel González , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Inés del Puerto

Complex systems consist of many interacting elements which participate in some dynamical process. The activity of various elements is often different and the fluctuation in the activity of an element grows monotonically with the average…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-04-24 Zoltan Eisler , Imre Bartos , Janos Kertesz

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. Interestingly there is the possibility that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-07 V. I. Afanasyev , C. Boeinghoff , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

It is shown that the description of anomalous scaling in turbulent systems requires the simultaneous use of two normalization scales. This phenomenon stems from the existence of two independent (infinite) sets of anomalous scaling exponents…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 Victor L'vov , Evgenii Podivilov , Itamar Procaccia

We study the statistics of turbulent velocity fluctuations in the neighbourhood of a strong large scale vortex at very large Reynolds number. At each distance from the vortex core, we observe that the velocity spectrum has a power law…

chao-dyn · Physics 2016-08-31 C. Simand , F. Chilla , J. -F. Pinton

Fluctuation scaling has been observed universally in a wide variety of phenomena. In time series that describe sequences of events, fluctuation scaling is expressed as power function relationships between the mean and variance of either…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-03 Shinsuke Koyama , Ryota Kobayashi

We reanalyze high resolution data from the New York Stock Exchange and find a monotonic (but not power law) variation of the mean value per trade, the mean number of trades per minute and the mean trading activity with company…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

In this work we present a reduction result for discrete time systems with two time scales. In order to be valid, previous results in the field require some strong hypotheses that are difficult to check in practical applications. Roughly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Luis Sanz , Rafael Bravo de la Parra , Marcos Marvá , Eva Sánchez

For a generalized step reinforced random walk, starting from the origin, the first step is taken according to the first element of an innovation sequence. Then in subsequent epochs, it recalls a past epoch with probability proportional to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-12 Aritra Majumdar , Krishanu Maulik

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes (i.e., large jump discontinuities) in the rate function of a point process. The rate function is assumed to be fully unknown, non-stationary, and may itself be a random process that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Anna Brandenberger , Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

In this paper we characterize the limiting behavior of sums of extreme values of long range dependent sequences defined as functionals of linear processes with finite variance. The extremal sums behave completely different by compared to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

Effects of randomness on non-integer power law tails in multiplicatively interacting stochastic processes are investigated theoretically. Generally, randomness causes decrease of the exponent of tails and the growth rate of processes.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Toshiya Ohtsuki , Akihiro Fujihara , Hiroshi Yamamoto

Oftentimes in practice, the observed process changes statistical properties at an unknown point in time and the duration of a change is substantially finite, in which case one says that the change is intermittent or transient. We provide an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-11 Grigory Sokolov , Valentin S. Spivak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky
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