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Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

Modern online advertising systems inevitably rely on personalization methods, such as click-through rate (CTR) prediction. Recent progress in CTR prediction enjoys the rich representation capabilities of deep learning and achieves great…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Chao Du , Zhifeng Gao , Shuo Yuan , Lining Gao , Ziyan Li , Yifan Zeng , Xiaoqiang Zhu , Jian Xu , Kun Gai , Kuang-chih Lee

Cardiac digital twins (CDTs) have the potential to offer individualized evaluation of cardiac function in a non-invasive manner, making them a promising approach for personalized diagnosis and treatment planning of my-ocardial infarction…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-16 Lei Li , Julia Camps , Zhinuo , Wang , Abhirup Banerjee , Marcel Beetz , Blanca Rodriguez , Vicente Grau

Accurately estimating treatment effects over time is crucial in fields such as precision medicine, epidemiology, economics, and marketing. Many current methods for estimating treatment effects over time assume that all confounders are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Mouad El Bouchattaoui , Myriam Tami , Benoit Lepetit , Paul-Henry Cournède

Causal discovery seeks to uncover causal relations from data, typically represented as causal graphs, and is essential for predicting the effects of interventions. While expert knowledge is required to construct principled causal graphs,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Zihao Li , Fabrizio Russo

This paper introduces a new framework for recovering causal graphs from observational data, leveraging the observation that the distribution of an effect, conditioned on its causes, remains invariant to changes in the prior distribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Nang Hung Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang , Masashi Sugiyama

Information technology (IT) systems are vital for modern businesses, handling data storage, communication, and process automation. Monitoring these systems is crucial for their proper functioning and efficiency, as it allows collecting…

Digital Twins (DTs) are computational models that simulate the states and temporal dynamics of real-world systems, playing a crucial role in prediction, understanding, and decision-making across diverse domains. However, existing approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Samuel Holt , Tennison Liu , Mihaela van der Schaar

Deep learning models exhibit a preference for statistical fitting over logical reasoning. Spurious correlations might be memorized when there exists statistical bias in training data, which severely limits the model performance especially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Wei Wang , Boxin Wang , Ning Shi , Jinfeng Li , Bingyu Zhu , Xiangyu Liu , Rong Zhang

Causal discovery aims to infer causal relationships among variables from observational data, typically represented by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Most existing methods assume independent and identically distributed observations, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Alex Chen , Qing Zhou

Estimation of causal effects is critical to a range of scientific disciplines. Existing methods for this task either require interventional data, knowledge about the ground truth causal graph, or rely on assumptions such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Jake Robertson , Arik Reuter , Siyuan Guo , Noah Hollmann , Frank Hutter , Bernhard Schölkopf

Data-Enabled Predictive Control (DeePC) bypasses the need for system identification by directly leveraging raw data to formulate optimal control policies. However, the size of the optimization problem in DeePC grows linearly with respect to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Yihan Zhou , Yiwen Lu , Zishuo Li , Jiaqi Yan , Yilin Mo

Current AI-driven educational systems primarily rely on behavioural analytics, performance metrics, and content-level interactions to model learning. While these approaches provide useful indicators of learner activity, they are…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Annie Yuan

Empirical Dynamic Modeling (EDM) is a nonlinear time series causal inference framework. The latest implementation of EDM, cppEDM, has only been used for small datasets due to computational cost. With the growth of data collection…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Wassapon Watanakeesuntorn , Keichi Takahashi , Kohei Ichikawa , Joseph Park , George Sugihara , Ryousei Takano , Jason Haga , Gerald M. Pao

Event causality identification (ECI), a process that extracts causal relations between events from text, is crucial for distinguishing causation from correlation. Traditional approaches to ECI have primarily utilized linguistic patterns and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Haoyu Wang , Fengze Liu , Jiayao Zhang , Dan Roth , Kyle Richardson

Robotic systems operating at the edge require efficient online learning algorithms that can continuously adapt to changing environments while processing streaming sensory data. Traditional backpropagation, while effective, conflicts with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Darius Masoum Zadeh-Jousdani , Elvin Hajizada , Eyke Hüllermeier

In many real world problems, control decisions have to be made with limited information. The controller may have no a priori (or even posteriori) data on the nonlinear system, except from a limited number of points that are obtained over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Tansu Alpcan

Fair machine learning aims to avoid treating individuals or sub-populations unfavourably based on \textit{sensitive attributes}, such as gender and race. Those methods in fair machine learning that are built on causal inference ascertain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Aoqi Zuo , Susan Wei , Tongliang Liu , Bo Han , Kun Zhang , Mingming Gong

This study proposes Evolutionary Causal Discovery (ECD) for causal discovery that tailors response variables, predictor variables, and corresponding operators to research datasets. Utilizing genetic programming for variable relationship…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-26 Ou Deng , Shoji Nishimura , Atsushi Ogihara , Qun Jin

Tailoring persuasive conversations to users leads to more effective persuasion. However, existing dialogue systems often struggle to adapt to dynamically evolving user states. This paper presents a novel method that leverages causal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Donghuo Zeng , Roberto Legaspi , Yuewen Sun , Xinshuai Dong , Kazushi Ikeda , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang