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By listening to gravity in the low frequency band, between 0.1 mHz and 1 Hz, the future space-based gravitational-wave observatory LISA will be able to detect tens of thousands of astrophysical sources from cosmic dawn to the present. The…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-07-24 Quentin Baghi , Ira Thorpe , Jacob Slutsky , John Baker , Tito Dal Canton , Natalia Korsakova , Nikos Karnesis

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

The detection of gravitational wave usually requires to match the measurement data with a large number of templates, which is computationally very expensive. Compressed sensing methods allow one to match the data with a small number of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-02-26 Yan Wang

Future ground-based and space-borne interferometric gravitational-wave detectors may capture between tens and thousands of binary coalescence events per year. There is a significant and growing body of work on the estimation of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2010-04-23 Ilya Mandel

Gaussian processes provide a promising framework by which to extrapolate the equation of state (EoS) of cold, catalyzed matter beyond $1-2$ times nuclear saturation density. Here we discuss how to extend Gaussian processes to include…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-02-17 Debora Mroczek , M. Coleman Miller , Jacquelyn Noronha-Hostler , Nicolas Yunes

We present a parameter estimation framework for gravitational wave (GW) signals that brings together several ideas to accelerate the inference process. First, we use the relative binning algorithm to evaluate the signal-to-noise-ratio…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-10-31 Tousif Islam , Javier Roulet , Tejaswi Venumadhav

The gravitational waveform of a merging stellar-mass binary is described at leading order by a quadrupolar mode. However, the complete waveform includes higher-order modes, which encode valuable information not accessible from the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-25 Ethan Payne , Colm Talbot , Eric Thrane

We characterize the expected statistical errors with which the parameters of black-hole binaries can be measured from gravitational-wave (GW) observations of their inspiral, merger and ringdown by a network of second-generation ground-based…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-12-07 Archisman Ghosh , Walter Del Pozzo , Parameswaran Ajith

The growing number of gravitational-wave (GW) observations allows for constraints to be placed on the underlying population of black holes; current estimates show that black hole spins are small, with binaries more likely to have comparable…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-28 Charlie Hoy

We develop Bayesian machine learning methods for mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. This involves handling frequency mismatches and specifying functional relationships between many predictors and the dependent variable. We use…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Massimiliano Marcellino , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

We present a class of diffusion-based algorithms to draw samples from high-dimensional probability distributions given their unnormalized densities. Ideally, our methods can transport samples from a Gaussian distribution to a specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Anand Jerry George , Nicolas Macris

We consider the shape of the posterior distribution to be used when fitting cosmological models to power spectra measured from galaxy surveys. At very large scales, Gaussian posterior distributions in the power do not approximate the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-25 Benedict Bahr-Kalus , Will J. Percival , Lado Samushia

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for variable selection using Gaussian process regression, which is crucial for enhancing interpretability and model regularization. Our method employs nearest neighbor Gaussian processes, serving as…

Ground-based gravitational wave laser interferometers (LIGO, GEO-600, Virgo and Tama-300) have now reached high sensitivity and duty cycle. We present a Bayesian evidence-based approach to the search for gravitational waves, in particular…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 John Veitch , Alberto Vecchio

It is well-known that the posterior density of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian likelihood is also Gaussian, hence completely described by its covariance and expectation. Sampling from a Gaussian posterior may be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

We consider estimating the parameters of a Gaussian mixture density with a given number of components best representing a given set of weighted samples. We adopt a density interpretation of the samples by viewing them as a discrete Dirac…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Daniel Frisch , Uwe D. Hanebeck

In this article, we propose a new three parameter distribution by compounding negative binomial with reciprocal inverse Gaussian model called negative binomial-reciprocal inverse Gaussian distribution. This model is tractable with some…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-10 Ishfaq Shah Ahmad , Anwar Hassan , Peer Bilal Ahmad

Gravitational wave (GW) detection is now commonplace and as the sensitivity of the global network of GW detectors improves, we will observe $\mathcal{O}(100)$s of transient GW events per year. The current methods used to estimate their…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-21 Hunter Gabbard , Chris Messenger , Ik Siong Heng , Francesco Tonolini , Roderick Murray-Smith

We consider Bayesian nonparametric density estimation using a Pitman-Yor or a normalized inverse-Gaussian process kernel mixture as the prior distribution for a density. The procedure is studied from a frequentist perspective. Using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-15 Catia Scricciolo

Although gravitational-wave signals from exceptional low-mass compact binary coalescences, like GW170817, may carry matter signatures that differentiate the source from a binary black hole system, only one out of every eight events detected…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2020-12-02 Reed Essick , Philippe Landry