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Related papers: A Fast Evidential Approach for Stock Forecasting

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Time series forecasting is widely used in a multitude of domains. In this paper, we present four models to predict the stock price using the SPX index as input time series data. The martingale and ordinary linear models require the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-23 Aaron Elliot , Cheng Hua Hsu

In various data settings, it is necessary to compare observations from disparate data sources. We assume the data is in the dissimilarity representation and investigate a joint embedding method that results in a commensurate representation…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-05 Sancar Adali , Carey E. Priebe

The computational complexity of reasoning within the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is one of the main points of criticism this formalism has to face. To overcome this difficulty various approximation algorithms have been suggested that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Mathias Bauer

The Efficient Market Hypothesis has been a staple of economics research for decades. In particular, weak-form market efficiency -- the notion that past prices cannot predict future performance -- is strongly supported by econometric…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-12 Samuel Showalter , Jeffrey Gropp

Dempster-Shafer structure is effective in classical settings for connecting set-valued hypotheses and representing structured ignorance, yet its practical use is limited by combination growth over focal sets and high conflict management. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Qianli Zhou , Hao Luo , Lipeng Pan , Yong Deng , Eloi Bosse

Facing an unknown situation, a person may not be able to firmly elicit his/her preferences over different alternatives, so he/she tends to express uncertain preferences. Given a community of different persons expressing their preferences…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-08-11 Yiru Zhang , Tassadit Bouadi , Arnaud Martin

Stock price prediction is of significant importance in quantitative investment. Existing approaches encounter two primary issues: First, they often overlook the crucial role of capturing short-term stock fluctuations for predicting…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Chengqi Dong , Zhiyuan Cao , S Kevin Zhou , Jia Liu

Machine learning is an increasingly popular tool with some success in predicting stock prices. One promising method is the Trader-Company~(TC) method, which takes into account the dynamism of the stock market and has both high predictive…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Yugo Fujimoto , Kei Nakagawa , Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami

We aim to make inferences about a smooth, finite-dimensional parameter by fusing data from multiple sources together. Previous works have studied the estimation of a variety of parameters in similar data fusion settings, including in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-03 Sijia Li , Alex Luedtke

Data Mining is being actively applied to stock market since 1980s. It has been used to predict stock prices, stock indexes, for portfolio management, trend detection and for developing recommender systems. The various algorithms which have…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-02-06 Savinderjit Kaur , Veenu Mangat

Predicting fund performance is beneficial to both investors and fund managers, and yet is a challenging task. In this paper, we have tested whether deep learning models can predict fund performance more accurately than traditional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-01 Nghia Chu , Binh Dao , Nga Pham , Huy Nguyen , Hien Tran

Accurate stock price prediction is crucial for investors and financial institutions, yet the complexity of the stock market makes it highly challenging. This study aims to construct an effective model to enhance the prediction ability of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Zi-xi Hu , Bao Shen , Yiwen Hu , Chen Zhao

Investors try to predict returns of financial assets to make successful investment. Many quantitative analysts have used machine learning-based methods to find unknown profitable market rules from large amounts of market data. However,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 Katsuya Ito , Kentaro Minami , Kentaro Imajo , Kei Nakagawa

Selection of proper stocks, before allocating investment ratios, is always a crucial task for the investors. Presence of many influencing factors in stock performance have motivated researchers to adopt various Artificial Intelligence (AI)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Gour Sundar Mitra Thakur , Rupak Bhattacharyya , Seema Sarkar

We revisit Zadeh's notion of "evidence of the second kind" and show that it provides the foundation for a general theory of epistemic random fuzzy sets, which generalizes both the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions and possibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Thierry Denoeux

One of the pillars to build a country's economy is the stock market. Over the years, people are investing in stock markets to earn as much profit as possible from the amount of money that they possess. Hence, it is vital to have a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Ishu Gupta , Tarun Kumar Madan , Sukhman Singh , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

Forecast combination integrates information from various sources by consolidating multiple forecast results from the target time series. Instead of the need to select a single optimal forecasting model, this paper introduces a deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Yinuo Ren , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang , Jue Wang

In practical scenarios, time series forecasting necessitates not only accuracy but also efficiency. Consequently, the exploration of model architectures remains a perennially trending topic in research. To address these challenges, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Tianxiang Zhan , Yuanpeng He , Yong Deng , Zhen Li , Wenjie Du , Qingsong Wen

A comparative analysis of deep learning models and traditional statistical methods for stock price prediction uses data from the Nigerian stock exchange. Historical data, including daily prices and trading volumes, are employed to implement…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Opeyemi Sheu Alamu , Md Kamrul Siam

The integration of semantic information in a map allows robots to understand better their environment and make high-level decisions. In the last few years, neural networks have shown enormous progress in their perception capabilities.…