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Related papers: A Fast Evidential Approach for Stock Forecasting

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Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is widely applied to uncertainty modelling and knowledge reasoning because of its advantages in dealing with uncertain information. But some conditions or requirements, such as exclusiveness hypothesis and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-16 Xinyang Deng , Wen Jiang

With the desire to apply the Dempster-Shafer theory to complex real world problems where the evidential strength is often imprecise and vague, several attempts have been made to generalize the theory. However, the important concept in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 John Yen

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

Stock price forecasting is an important issue for investors since extreme accuracy in forecasting can bring about high profits. Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) and Longest Common/Repeated Sub-sequence (LCS/LRS) are two important issues for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-23 He-Wen Chen , Zih-Ci Wang , Shu-Yu Kuo , Yao-Hsin Chou

Density functional theory calculations use a significant fraction of current supercomputing time. The resources required scale with the problem size, internal workings of the code and the number of iterations to convergence, the latter…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-09-22 Laurence Marks

This paper develops a mathematical and computational framework for analyzing the expected performance of Bayesian data fusion, or joint statistical inference, within a sensor network. We use variational techniques to obtain the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Gaurav Thakur

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

The forecasting combination puzzle is a well-known phenomenon in forecasting literature, stressing the challenge of outperforming the simple average when aggregating forecasts from diverse methods. This study proposes a Reinforcement…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-29 Marcelo C. Medeiros , Jeronymo M. Pinro

How to properly fuse information from complex sources is still an open problem. Lots of methods have been put forward to provide a effective solution in fusing intricate information. Among them, Dempster-Shafer evidences theory (DSET) is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Yuanpeng He

We describe a viewpoint on the Dempster/Shafer 'Theory of Evidence', and provide an interpretation which regards the combination formulas as statistics of the opinions of "experts". This is done by introducing spaces with binary operations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Robert Hummel , Michael Landy

Stock trend forecasting, which forecasts stock prices' future trends, plays an essential role in investment. The stocks in a market can share information so that their stock prices are highly correlated. Several methods were recently…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Lewen Wang , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu

In this work, we propose an approach to generalize denoising diffusion probabilistic models for stock market predictions and portfolio management. Present works have demonstrated the efficacy of modeling interstock relations for market…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Divyanshu Daiya , Monika Yadav , Harshit Singh Rao

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song

Financial news contains useful information on public companies and the market. In this paper we apply the popular word embedding methods and deep neural networks to leverage financial news to predict stock price movements in the market.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-25 Yangtuo Peng , Hui Jiang

Single-modality medical images generally do not contain enough information to reach an accurate and reliable diagnosis. For this reason, physicians generally diagnose diseases based on multimodal medical images such as, e.g., PET/CT. The…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-20 Ling Huang , Su Ruan , Pierre Decazes , Thierry Denoeux

Stock prices, as an economic indicator, reflect changes in economic development and market conditions. Traditional stock price prediction models often only consider time-series data and are limited by the mechanisms of the models…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Fengting Mo , Shanshan Yan , Yinhao Xiao

Accurate forecasting in financial markets requires integrating diverse data sources, from historical prices to macroeconomic indicators and financial news. However, existing models often fail to align these modalities effectively, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yunhua Pei , John Cartlidge , Anandadeep Mandal , Daniel Gold , Enrique Marcilio , Riccardo Mazzon

The theory of belief functions manages uncertainty and also proposes a set of combination rules to aggregate opinions of several sources. Some combination rules mix evidential information where sources are independent; other rules are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-18 Mouna Chebbah , Arnaud Martin , Boutheina Ben Yaghlane

We study the effectiveness of consensus formation in multi-agent systems where there is both belief updating based on direct evidence and also belief combination between agents. In particular, we consider the scenario in which a population…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Michael Crosscombe , Jonathan Lawry , Palina Bartashevich

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri