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In recent years, diffusion models, and more generally score-based deep generative models, have achieved remarkable success in various applications, including image and audio generation. In this paper, we view diffusion models as an implicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Hyeok Kyu Kwon , Dongha Kim , Ilsang Ohn , Minwoo Chae

We investigate the optimal design of experimental studies that have pre-treatment outcome data available. The average treatment effect is estimated as the difference between the weighted average outcomes of the treated and control units. A…

Given the unconfoundedness assumption, we propose new nonparametric estimators for the reduced dimensional conditional average treatment effect (CATE) function. In the first stage, the nuisance functions necessary for identifying CATE are…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-26 Qingliang Fan , Yu-Chin Hsu , Robert P. Lieli , Yichong Zhang

We present a Bayesian approach to predict the clustering of opinions for a system of interacting agents from partial observations. The Bayesian formulation overcomes the unobservability of the system and quantifies the uncertainty in the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-12-22 Zehong Zhang , Fei Lu

We often seek to estimate the impact of an exposure naturally occurring or randomly assigned at the cluster-level. For example, the literature on neighborhood determinants of health continues to grow. Likewise, community randomized trials…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Laura B. Balzer , Wenjing Zheng , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

We propose a novel nonparametric Bayesian IRT model in this paper by introducing the clustering effect at question level and further assume heterogeneity at examinee level under each question cluster, characterized by the mixture of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-23 Tianyu Pan , Weining Shen , Clintin P. Davis-Stober , Guanyu Hu

How should researchers conduct causal inference when the outcome of interest is latent and measured imperfectly by multiple indicators? We develop a general nonparametric framework for identifying and estimating average treatment effects on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

This paper establishes asymptotic results for the maximum likelihood and restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimators of the parameters in the nested error regression model for clustered data when both of the number of independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

Generalized causal effect estimands, including the Mann-Whitney parameter and causal net benefit, provide flexible summaries of treatment effects in randomized experiments with non-Gaussian or multivariate outcomes. We develop a unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Xinyuan Chen , Fan Li

This paper presents a new approach to non-parametric cluster analysis called Adaptive Weights Clustering (AWC). The idea is to identify the clustering structure by checking at different points and for different scales on departure from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-27 Kirill Efimov , Larisa Adamyan , Vladimir Spokoiny

The use of brain images as markers for diseases or behavioral differences is challenged by the small effects size and the ensuing lack of power, an issue that has incited researchers to rely more systematically on large cohorts. Coupled…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Bertrand Thirion , Andrés Hoyos-Idrobo , Jonas Kahn , Gael Varoquaux

Air pollution is a major global health hazard, with fine particulate matter (PM10) linked to severe respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. Hence, analyzing and clustering spatio-temporal air quality data is crucial for understanding…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Luca Aiello , Raffaele Argiento , Sirio Legramanti , Lucia Paci

Assessing causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding is challenging. Although auxiliary variables, such as instrumental variables, are commonly used to identify causal effects, they are often unavailable in practice due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Kang Shuai , Shanshan Luo , Yue Zhang , Feng Xie , Yangbo He

In many social, behavioral, and biomedical sciences, treatment effect estimation is a crucial step in understanding the impact of an intervention, policy, or treatment. In recent years, an increasing emphasis has been placed on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Xinhai Zhang , Xingye Qiao

Motivated by the problem of accurately predicting gap times between successive blood donations, we present here a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models for clustering. These models allow for prediction of new recurrences,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-18 Raffaele Argiento , Riccardo Corradin , Alessandra Guglielmi , Ettore Lanzarone

Peer-grouping is used in many sectors for organisational learning, policy implementation, and benchmarking. Clustering provides a statistical, data-driven method for constructing meaningful peer groups, but peer groups must be compatible…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-14 Daniel William Kennedy , Jessica Cameron , Paul Pao-Yen Wu , Kerrie Mengersen

We present a dual-view mixture model to cluster users based on their features and latent behavioral functions. Every component of the mixture model represents a probability density over a feature view for observed user attributes and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-19 Alberto Lumbreras , Julien Velcin , Marie Guégan , Bertrand Jouve

The estimation of the potential impact fraction (including the population attributable fraction) with continuous exposure data frequently relies on strong distributional assumptions. However, these assumptions are often violated if the…

This paper proposes a new non-parametric bootstrap method to quantify the uncertainty of average treatment effect estimate for the treated from matching estimators. More specifically, it seeks to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Jing Li

Matching is one of the most widely used causal inference frameworks in observational studies. However, all the existing matching-based causal inference methods are designed for either a single treatment with general treatment types (e.g.,…

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