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This paper proposes a semidefinite programming based method for estimating moments of a stochastic hybrid system (SHS). For polynomial SHSs -- which consist of polynomial continuous vector fields, reset maps, and transition intensities --…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-02 Khem Raj Ghusinga , Andrew Lamperski , Abhyudai Singh

Moment estimation for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) is fundamental to the formal reasoning and verification of stochastic dynamical systems, yet remains challenging and is rarely available in closed form. In this paper, we study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Shenghua Feng , Jie An , Naijun Zhan , Fanjiang Xu

This paper develops a unified methodology for probabilistic analysis and optimal control design for jump diffusion processes defined by polynomials. For such systems, the evolution of the moments of the state can be described via a system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

In this paper, we propose a method for bounding the probability that a stochastic differential equation (SDE) system violates a safety specification over the infinite time horizon. SDEs are mathematical models of stochastic processes that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Shenghua Feng , Mingshuai Chen , Bai Xue , Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Naijun Zhan

Stochastic dynamical systems often contain nonlinearities which make it hard to compute probability density functions or statistical moments of these systems. For the moment computations, nonlinearities in the dynamics lead to unclosed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-28 Khem Raj Ghusinga , Mohammad Soltani , Andrew Lamperski , Sairaj Dhople , Abhyudai Singh

We propose a methodology to address two analysis problems concerning complex systems, namely bounding state functionals of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and verifying set avoidance of systems described by partial differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-30 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Giorgio Valmorbida , Antonis Papachristodoulou

Simulating stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in bounded domains, presents significant computational challenges due to particle exit phenomena, which requires accurate modeling of interior stochastic dynamics and boundary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Minglei Yang , Yanfang Liu , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

Stochastic mathematical models are essential tools for understanding and predicting complex phenomena. The purpose of this work is to study the exit times of a stochastic dynamical system-specifically, the mean exit time and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Eric José Ávila-Vales , José Villa-Morales

This paper presents a method to approximately solve stochastic optimal control problems in which the cost function and the system dynamics are polynomial. For stochastic systems with polynomial dynamics, the moments of the state can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) studies enable the collection of high-frequency self-reports of suicidal thoughts and behaviors (STBs) via smartphones. Latent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a promising model class for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Malinda Lu , Yue-Jane Liu , Matthew K. Nock , Yaniv Yacoby

We develop a method to approximate the moments of a discrete-time stochastic polynomial system. Our method is built upon Carleman linearization with truncation. Specifically, we take a stochastic polynomial system with finitely many states…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-11 Sasinee Pruekprasert , Jérémy Dubut , Toru Takisaka , Clovis Eberhart , Ahmet Cetinkaya

Stochastic differential equations have proved to be a valuable governing framework for many real-world systems which exhibit ``noise'' or randomness in their evolution. One quality of interest in such systems is the shape of their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-02-04 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

This paper tackles the problem of generating safe exit controllers for continuous-time systems described by stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The primary aim is to develop controllers that maximize the lower bounds of the exit…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-10 Bai Xue

Minimax optimization problems have attracted a lot of attention over the past few years, with applications ranging from economics to machine learning. While advanced optimization methods exist for such problems, characterizing their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Enea Monzio Compagnoni , Antonio Orvieto , Hans Kersting , Frank Norbert Proske , Aurelien Lucchi

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with stochastic momentum is popular in nonconvex stochastic optimization and particularly for the training of deep neural networks. In standard SGD, parameters are updated by improving along the path of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Jun-Kun Wang , Chi-Heng Lin , Jacob Abernethy

Accurate risk assessment is essential for safety-critical autonomous and control systems under uncertainty. In many real-world settings, stochastic dynamics exhibit asymmetric jumps and long-range memory, making long-term risk probabilities…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Yimeng Sun , Zhuoyuan Wang , Xiaole Zhang , Heng Ping , Jintang Xue , Paul Bogdan , Yorie Nakahira

Applying the method of moments to the chemical master equation (CME) appearing in stochastic chemical kinetics often leads to the so-called closure problem. Recently, several authors showed that this problem can be partially overcome using…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-24 Garrett R. Dowdy , Paul I. Barton

Correlated with the trend of increasing degrees of freedom in robotic systems is a similar trend of rising interest in Spatio-Temporal systems described by Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) among the robotics and control communities.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Ethan N. Evans , Andrew P. Kendall , Evangelos A. Theodorou

This work presents a convex-optimization-based framework for analysis and control of nonlinear partial differential equations. The approach uses a particular weak embedding of the nonlinear PDE, resulting in a linear equation in the space…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-23 Milan Korda , Didier Henrion , Jean-Bernard Lasserre

We propose a method to compute an approximation of the moments of a discrete-time stochastic polynomial system. We use the Carleman linearization technique to transform this finite-dimensional polynomial system into an infinite-dimensional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-25 Sasinee Pruekprasert , Toru Takisaka , Clovis Eberhart , Ahmet Cetinkaya , Jérémy Dubut
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