Related papers: Lower tails via relative entropy

Let $\mathbf{R}$ be the sample correlation matrix constructed from $\mathbf{X}\in \mathbb{R}^{p\times n}$, whose entries are independent and identically distributed random variables with mean zero and tail probability condition…

Let $H_d(n,p)$ signify a random $d$-uniform hypergraph with $n$ vertices in which each of the ${n}\choose{d}$ possible edges is present with probability $p=p(n)$ independently, and let $H_d(n,m)$ denote a uniformly distributed with $n$…

We consider classes of pseudo-random graphs on $n$ vertices for which the degree of every vertex and the co-degree between every pair of vertices are in the intervals $(np - Cn^\delta,np+Cn^\delta)$ and $(np^2- C n^\delta, np^2 +C…

Cramer's theorem provides an estimate for the tail probability of the maximum of a random walk with negative drift and increments having a moment generating function finite in a neighborhood of the origin. The class of (g,F)-processes…

Let the random variable $X\, :=\, e(\mathcal{H}[B])$ count the number of edges of a hypergraph $\mathcal{H}$ induced by a random $m$ element subset $B$ of its vertex set. Focussing on the case that $\mathcal{H}$ satisfies some regularity…

The log-density method is a powerful algorithmic framework which in recent years has given rise to the best-known approximations for a variety of problems, including Densest-$k$-Subgraph and Bipartite Small Set Vertex Expansion. These…

The paper presents an efficient method for simulating the tails of a target variable Z=h(X) which depends on a set of basic variables X=(X_1, ..., X_n). To this aim, variables X_i, i=1, ..., n are sequentially simulated in such a manner…

We suggest a simple Gaussian mixture model for data generation that complies with Feldman's long tail theory (2020). We demonstrate that a linear classifier cannot decrease the generalization error below a certain level in the proposed…

Consider the binomial model $G^{d+1}(n,p)$ of the random $(d+1)$-uniform hypergraph on $n$ vertices, where each edge is present, independently of one another, with probability $p:\mathbb{N}\to[0,1]$. We prove that, for all…

We discuss the quenched tail estimates for the random walk in random scenery. The random walk is the symmetric nearest neighbor walk and the random scenery is assumed to be independent and identically distributed, non-negative, and has a…

The minimax risk is often considered as a gold standard against which we can compare specific statistical procedures. Nevertheless, as has been observed recently in robust and heavy-tailed estimation problems, the inherent reduction of the…

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

We develop an unsupervised mixture model for non-negative, skewed and heavy-tailed data, such as losses in actuarial and risk management applications. The mixture has a lognormal component, which is usually appropriate for the body of the…

In this paper we show under weak assumptions that for $R\stackrel{d}{=}1+M_1+M_1M_2+\ldots$, where $P(M\in[0,1])=1$ and $M_i$ are independent copies of $M$, we have $\ln P(R>x)\sim C\, x\ln P(M>1-\frac1x)$ as $x\to\infty$. The constant $C$…

Consider a `dense' Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph model $G=G_{n,M}$ with $n$ vertices and $M$ edges, where we assume the edge density $M/\binom{n}{2}$ is bounded away from 0 and 1. Fix $k=k(n)$ with $k/n$ bounded away from 0 and~1, and let…

The sum of Log-normal variates is encountered in many challenging applications such as in performance analysis of wireless communication systems and in financial engineering. Several approximation methods have been developed in the…

We consider the tail probabilities of stock returns for a general class of stochastic volatility models. In these models, the stochastic differential equation for volatility is autonomous, time-homogeneous and dependent on only a finite…

We establish the large deviation probabilities for the height of random recursive trees, revealing polynomial upper-tail decay and stretched-exponential lower-tail decay. Remarkably, the lower tail features an atypical prefactor that grows…

We study probability inequalities leading to tail estimates in a general semigroup $\mathscr{G}$ with a translation-invariant metric $d_{\mathscr{G}}$. (An important and central example of this in the functional analysis literature is that…

We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…