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Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sheng Pan , Ming Jin , Bo Du , Shirui Pan

While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

Time-series forecasting has gained significant attention in machine learning due to its crucial role in various domains. However, most existing forecasting models rely heavily on point-wise loss functions like Mean Square Error, which treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Dilfira Kudrat , Zongxia Xie , Yanru Sun , Tianyu Jia , Qinghua Hu

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various real-world applications. Significant efforts have been made to integrate advanced network architectures and training strategies that enhance the capture of temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Qingyang Mao , Yuze Zhao , Mingyue Cheng , Zhi Li , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Time series foundation models have recently gained a lot of attention due to their ability to model complex time series data encompassing different domains including traffic, energy, and weather. Although they exhibit strong average…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shivani Tomar , Seshu Tirupathi , Elizabeth Daly , Ivana Dusparic

Uncertainty quantification is crucial in time series prediction, and quantile regression offers a valuable mechanism for uncertainty quantification which is useful for extreme value forecasting. Although deep learning models have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Jimmy Cheung , Smruthi Rangarajan , Amelia Maddocks , Xizhe Chen , Rohitash Chandra

Spatio-temporal data are ubiquitous in the agricultural, ecological, and environmental sciences, and their study is important for understanding and predicting a wide variety of processes. One of the difficulties with modeling spatial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-25 Christopher K. Wikle

This thesis tackles the subject of spatio-temporal forecasting with deep learning. The motivating application at Electricity de France (EDF) is short-term solar energy forecasting with fisheye images. We explore two main research directions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-10 Vincent Le Guen

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Xiangjie Kong , Zhenghao Chen , Weiyao Liu , Kaili Ning , Lechao Zhang , Syauqie Muhammad Marier , Yichen Liu , Yuhao Chen , Feng Xia

Deep learning methods are powerful tools in classifying multivariate time series data. Despite their high performance, these methods are hard to interpret, which diminishes their applications in high-risk domains such as healthcare. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Bhavesh Kalisetti , Vincent Wang , Gaurav R. Ghosal , Maryam Bijanzadeh , Reza Abbasi-Asl

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Shapelets are discriminative subsequences (or shapes) with high interpretability in time series classification. Due to the time-intensive nature of shapelet discovery, existing shapelet-based methods mainly focus on selecting discriminative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Zhen Liu , Yicheng Luo , Boyuan Li , Emadeldeen Eldele , Min Wu , Qianli Ma

Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics. This paper proposes CaReTS, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Fulong Yao , Wanqing Zhao , Chao Zheng , Xiaofei Han

Astronomical time series from large-scale surveys like LSST are often irregularly sampled and incomplete, posing challenges for classification and anomaly detection. We introduce a new framework based on Neural Stochastic Delay Differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 YongKyung Oh , Seungsu Kam , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile substantive survey was offered so far. This survey strives to meet this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Recent studies on long-term time series forecasting have shown that simple linear models and MLP-based predictors can achieve strong performance without increasingly complex architectures. However, many competitive baselines still rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Zhenan Yu , Guangxin Jiang , Jin Yang

We propose an efficient fine-tuning method for time series foundation models, termed TRACE: Time Series Parameter Efficient Fine-tuning. While pretrained time series foundation models are gaining popularity, they face the following…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Yuze Li , Wei Zhu