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Related papers: Second quantization approach to COVID-19 epidemic

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We consider the $SEIRS$ epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. Within a compartmental realization of this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Jaroslav Ilnytskyi , Taras Patsahan

In this research, we study the propagation patterns of epidemic diseases such as the COVID-19 coronavirus, from a mathematical modeling perspective. The study is based on an extensions of the well-known susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Reza Sameni

The coronavirus pandemic has rapidly evolved into an unprecedented crisis. The susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) model and its variants have been used for modeling the pandemic. However, time-independent parameters in the classical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-09 Hyokyoung G. Hong , Yi Li

In the recent COVID-19 pandemic we assisted at a sequence of epidemic waves intertwined by anomalous fade-outs with periods of low but persistent epidemic prevalence. These long-living epidemic states complicate epidemic control and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-27 Javier Aguilar , Beatriz Arregui García , Raúl Toral , Sandro Meloni , Jose J. Ramasco

Social distancing has been enacted in order to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. Like many authors, we adopt the classic epidemic SIR model, where the infection rate is the control variable. Its differential flatness property yields ele…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-05 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Alberto d'Onofrio

The 2019 Novel Corona virus infection (COVID 19) is an ongoing public health emergency of international focus. Significant gaps persist in our knowledge of COVID 19 epidemiology, transmission dynamics, investigation tools and management,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Anca Radulescu , Cassandra Williams , Kieran Cavanagh

The COVID-19 pandemic due to the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has directly impacted the public health and economy worldwide. To overcome this problem, countries have adopted different policies and non-pharmaceutical interventions for controlling…

We propose a dynamical model for describing the spread of epidemics. This model is an extension of the SIQR (susceptible-infected-quarantined-recovered) and SIRP (susceptible-infected-recovered-pathogen) models used earlier to describe…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-08 S. P. Lukyanets , I. S. Gandzha , O. V. Kliushnichenko

To reduce the biases of traditional survey-based methods, this paper proposes an epidemic model-based approach to inference the incubation period distribution of COVID-19 utilizing the publicly reported confirmed case number. We construct…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-23 Shiyang Lai , Tianqi Zhao , Ningyuan Fan

We consider the control of the COVID-19 pandemic through a standard SIR compartmental model. This control is induced by the aggregation of individuals' decisions to limit their social interactions: when the epidemic is ongoing, an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Romuald Elie , Emma Hubert , Gabriel Turinici

An epidemiological study of deaths is carried out in a dozen countries by analyzing the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. These countries are among those most affected by the first wave, i.e. where daily-death data series may closely…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-22 J. E. Amaro

Classical epidemiological models assume homogeneous populations. There have been important extensions to model heterogeneous populations, when the identity of the sub-populations is known, such as age group or geographical location. Here,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Roberto Vega , Zehra Shah , Pouria Ramazi , Russell Greiner

The number of confirmed cases of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan has been increasing day by day and has had a serious impact on the society especially after the declaration of the state of emergency on April 7, 2020. This study…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-29 Genya Kobayashi , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiromasa Tamae , Takayuki Ozu

A number of models in mathematical epidemiology have been developed to account for control measures such as vaccination or quarantine. However, COVID-19 has brought unprecedented social distancing measures, with a challenge on how to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-07 Magdalena Djordjevic , Andjela Rodic , Igor Salom , Dusan Zigic , Ognjen Milicevic , Bojana Ilic , Marko Djordjevic

We study the increases of infections and deaths in Sweden caused by COVID-19 with several different models: Firstly an analytical susceptible-infected (SI) model and the standard susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model. Then within the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-06 Chong Qi , Daniel Karlsson , Karl Sallmen , Ramon Wyss

When the novel coronavirus disease SARS-CoV2 (COVID-19) was officially declared a pandemic by the WHO in March 2020, the scientific community had already braced up in the effort of making sense of the fast-growing wealth of data gathered by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 Timoteo Carletti , Duccio Fanelli , Francesco Piazza

This document aims to estimate and describe the effects of the social distancing measures implemented in several countries with the expectancy of controlling the spread of COVID-19. The procedure relies on the classic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-28 Gerardo L. Febres

We have developed a globally applicable diagnostic Covid-19 model by augmenting the classical SIR epidemiological model with a neural network module. Our model does not rely upon previous epidemics like SARS/MERS and all parameters are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 Raj Dandekar , Chris Rackauckas , George Barbastathis

After the breakout of the disease caused by the new virus COVID-19, the mitigation stage has been reached in most of the countries in the world. During this stage, a more accurate data analysis of the daily reported cases and other…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 S. Maltezos

Disease transmission is studied through disciplines like epidemiology, applied mathematics, and statistics. Mathematical simulation models for transmission have implications in solving public and personal health challenges. The SIR model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-04 R. Jayatilaka , R. Patel , M. Brar , Y. Tang , N. M. Jisrawi , F. Chishtie , J. Drozd , S. R. Valluri
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