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Effect size indices are useful tools in study design and reporting because they are unitless measures of association strength that do not depend on sample size. Existing effect size indices are developed for particular parametric models or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Simon Vandekar , Ran Tao , Jeffrey Blume

Data plays a pivotal role in the groundbreaking advancements in artificial intelligence. The quantitative analysis of data significantly contributes to model training, enhancing both the efficiency and quality of data utilization. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Haoru Tan , Sitong Wu , Xiuzhe Wu , Wang Wang , Bo Zhao , Zeke Xie , Gui-Song Xia , Xiaojuan Qi

Tyler's and Maronna's M-estimators, as well as their regularized variants, are popular robust methods to estimate the scatter or covariance matrix of a multivariate distribution. In this work, we study the non-asymptotic behavior of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Elad Romanov , Gil Kur , Boaz Nadler

Estimation of causal effects using machine learning methods has become an active research field in econometrics. In this paper, we study the finite sample performance of meta-learners for estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects under…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-01 Gabriel Okasa

Influence diagnostics such as influence functions and approximate maximum influence perturbations are popular in machine learning and in AI domain applications. Influence diagnostics are powerful statistical tools to identify influential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-21 Jillian Fisher , Lang Liu , Krishna Pillutla , Yejin Choi , Zaid Harchaoui

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector based on $N$ independent, identically distributed observations. We prove the existence of an estimator that has a near-optimal error in all directions in which the variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-15 Nishanth Dikkala , Greg Lewis , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Model selection requires repeatedly evaluating models on a given dataset and measuring their relative performances. In modern applications of machine learning, the models being considered are increasingly more expensive to evaluate and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Anant Raj , Cameron Musco , Lester Mackey , Nicolo Fusi

The density ratio is an important metric for evaluating the relative likelihood of two probability distributions, with extensive applications in statistics and machine learning. However, existing estimation theories for density ratios often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Shuntuo Xu , Zhou Yu , Jian Huang

Assessing the impact the training data on machine learning models is crucial for understanding the behavior of the model, enhancing the transparency, and selecting training data. Influence function provides a theoretical framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Yuchen Zhang , Mohammad Mohammadi Amiri

We consider the problem of estimating the mean vector of a p-variate normal $(\theta,\Sigma)$ distribution under invariant quadratic loss, $(\delta-\theta)'\Sigma^{-1}(\delta-\theta)$, when the covariance is unknown. We propose a new class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Didier Chételat , Martin T. Wells

A popular regularized (shrinkage) covariance estimator is the shrinkage sample covariance matrix (SCM) which shares the same set of eigenvectors as the SCM but shrinks its eigenvalues toward its grand mean. In this paper, a more general…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-13 Esa Ollila , Daniel P. Palomar , Frederic Pascal

Method of moment estimators exhibit appealing statistical properties, such as asymptotic unbiasedness, for nonconvex problems. However, they typically require a large number of samples and are extremely sensitive to model misspecification.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-30 Dustin Tran , Minjae Kim , Finale Doshi-Velez

We provide novel theoretical results regarding local optima of regularized $M$-estimators, allowing for nonconvexity in both loss and penalty functions. Under restricted strong convexity on the loss and suitable regularity conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-05 Po-Ling Loh , Martin J. Wainwright

In this paper, we propose a robust method to estimate the average treatment effects in observational studies when the number of potential confounders is possibly much greater than the sample size. We first use a class of penalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-21 Yang Ning , Sida Peng , Kosuke Imai

Study samples often differ from the target populations of inference and policy decisions in non-random ways. Researchers typically believe that such departures from random sampling -- due to changes in the population over time and space, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Tamara Broderick , Ryan Giordano , Rachael Meager

The Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) approach robustly estimates the location and scatter matrix using the subset of given size with lowest sample covariance determinant. Its main drawback is that it cannot be applied when the dimension…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-13 Kris Boudt , Peter J. Rousseeuw , Steven Vanduffel , Tim Verdonck

Methods that rely on proxies, without imposing strong parametric structure, are increasingly used to deal with unobserved variables in causal inference. One influential line of this work reconstructs latent distributions used to identify…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Helen Guo , Ilya Shpitser , Elizabeth L. Ogburn

We introduce a class of Monte Carlo estimators that aim to overcome the rapid growth of variance with dimension often observed for standard estimators by exploiting the target's independence structure. We identify the most basic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Juan Kuntz , Francesca R. Crucinio , Adam M. Johansen