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This paper investigates how the conditional quantiles of future returns and volatility of financial assets vary with various measures of ex-post variation in asset prices as well as option-implied volatility. We work in the flexible…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-21 Filip Zikes , Jozef Barunik

In this paper we study the volatility and its probability distribution function for the cumulative production based on the experience curve hypothesis. This work presents a generalization of the study of volatility in [1], which addressed…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Rubina Zadourian , Andreas Klümper

We develop a variant of rough path theory tailor-made for analyzing a class of financial asset price models known as rough volatility models. As an application, we prove a pathwise large deviation principle (LDP) for a certain class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Masaaki Fukasawa , Ryoji Takano

Simulation of rough volatility models involves discretization of stochastic integrals where the integrand is a function of a (correlated) fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index $H \in (0,1/2)$. We obtain results on the rate of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-07 Paul Gassiat

Based on empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is proposed with volatility driven by fractional noise. The model is used to obtain a risk-neutrality option pricing formula and an option pricing equation.

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rui Vilela Mendes , Maria Joao Oliveira

Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is constructed, the volatility process being driven by fractional noise. Price return statistics and asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Rui Vilela Mendes , M. J. Oliveira

In this paper, we price European Call three different option pricing models, where the volatility is dynamically changing i.e. non constant. In stochastic volatility (SV) models for option pricing a closed form approximation technique is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Natasha Latif , Shafqat Ali Shad , Muhammad Usman , Chandan Kumar , Bahman B Motii , MD Mahfuzer Rahman , Khuram Shafi , Zahra Idrees

This study delves into the intricate realm of risk evaluation within the domain of specific financial derivatives, notably options. Unlike other financial instruments, like bonds, options are susceptible to broader risks. A distinctive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-28 Shiva Zamani , Alireza Moslemi Haghighi , Hamid Arian

Accurate estimation such as cost estimation, quality estimation and risk analysis is a major issue in management. We propose a patent pending soft computing framework to tackle this challenging problem. Our generic framework is independent…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-08-04 Danny Ho , Luiz Fernando Capretz , Xishi Huang , Jing Ren

Volatility prediction in the financial market helps to understand the profit and involved risks in investment. However, due to irregularities, high fluctuations, and noise in the time series, predicting volatility poses a challenging task.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-02 Suchetana Sadhukhan , Shiv Manjaree Gopaliya , Pushpdant Jain

We introduce a new identification strategy for uncertainty shocks to explain macroeconomic volatility in financial markets. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) measures market expectations of future volatility, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-06 Ayush Jha , Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

We develop a theoretical foundation for robust model comparison in a class of non-ergodic continuous volatility regression models contaminated by finite-activity jumps. Using the density-power weighting and the H\"{o}lder(-inequality)-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

The instrumental variable quantile regression (IVQR) model (Chernozhukov and Hansen, 2005) is a popular tool for estimating causal quantile effects with endogenous covariates. However, estimation is complicated by the non-smoothness and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-14 Hiroaki Kaido , Kaspar Wuthrich

Many fractional processes can be represented as an integral over a family of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. This representation naturally lends itself to numerical discretizations, which are shown in this paper to have strong convergence…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-06 Philipp Harms

A volatility surface is an important tool for pricing and hedging derivatives. The surface shows the volatility that is implied by the market price of an option on an asset as a function of the option's strike price and maturity. Often,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-09 Maxime Bergeron , Nicholas Fung , John Hull , Zissis Poulos

Recent mathematical advances in the context of rough volatility have highlighted interesting and intricate connections between path-dependent partial differential equations and backward stochastic partial differential equations. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Ofelia Bonesini , Antoine Jacquier

We develop quantum algorithms for pricing Asian and barrier options under the Heston model, a popular stochastic volatility model, and estimate their costs, in terms of T-count, T-depth and number of logical qubits, on instances under…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-23 Guoming Wang , Angus Kan

New concepts of rough natural number systems are introduced in this research paper from both formal and less formal perspectives. These are used to improve most rough set-theoretical measures in general Rough Set theory (\textsf{RST}) and…

Logic · Mathematics 2014-08-07 A. Mani

We price European options in a class of models in which the volatility of the underlying risky asset depends on the short rate of interest. Our study results in an explicit pricing formula that depends on knowledge of a characteristic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig

This paper studies the pricing problem in which the underlying asset follows a non-Markovian stochastic volatility model. Classical partial differential equation methods face significant challenges in this context, as the option prices…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Jingtang Ma , Xianglin Wu , Wenyuan Li