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We present a consistent method to calculate the probability distribution of soliton parameters in systems with additive noise. Even though a weak noise is considered, we are interested in probabilities of large fluctuations (generally…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 G. Falkovich , I. Kolokolov , V. Lebedev , S. Turitsyn

Generalized linear mixed models are useful in studying hierarchical data with possibly non-Gaussian responses. However, the intractability of likelihood functions poses challenges for estimation. We develop a new method suitable for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-26 Zexi Song , Zhiqiang Tan

We propose an open loop methodology based on sample statistics to solve chance constrained stochastic optimal control problems with probabilistic safety guarantees for linear systems where the additive Gaussian noise has unknown mean and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-24 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

We study the problem of parameter estimation using maximum likelihood for fast/slow systems of stochastic differential equations. Our aim is to shed light on the problem of model/data mismatch at small scales. We consider two classes of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-20 A. Papavasiliou , G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart

Uncertainty estimation for unlabeled data is crucial to active learning. With a deep neural network employed as the backbone model, the data selection process is highly challenging due to the potential over-confidence of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Xingjian Li , Pengkun Yang , Yangcheng Gu , Xueying Zhan , Tianyang Wang , Min Xu , Chengzhong Xu

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

Being able to reliably assess not only the \emph{accuracy} but also the \emph{uncertainty} of models' predictions is an important endeavour in modern machine learning. Even if the model generating the data and labels is known, computing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Despite the ubiquity of the Gaussian process regression model, few theoretical results are available that account for the fact that parameters of the covariance kernel typically need to be estimated from the dataset. This article provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Toni Karvonen , George Wynne , Filip Tronarp , Chris J. Oates , Simo Särkkä

Highly robust and efficient estimators for the generalized linear model with a dispersion parameter are proposed. The estimators are based on three steps. In the first step the maximum rank correlation estimator is used to consistently…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-29 Michael Amiguet , Alfio Marazzi , Marina Valdora , Victor Yohai

Mixture models are regularly used in density estimation applications, but the problem of estimating the mixing distribution remains a challenge. Nonparametric maximum likelihood produce estimates of the mixing distribution that are…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-28 Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Scenario reduction algorithms can be an effective means to provide a tractable description of the uncertainty in optimal control problems. However, they might significantly compromise the performance of the controlled system. In this paper,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Francesco Cordiano , Bart De Schutter

The efficacy of robust optimization spans a variety of settings with uncertainties bounded in predetermined sets. In many applications, uncertainties are affected by decisions and cannot be modeled with current frameworks. This paper takes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Omid Nohadani , Kartikey Sharma

Stochastic saddle point (SSP) problems are, in general, less studied compared to stochastic minimization problems. However, SSP problems emerge from machine learning (adversarial training, e.g., GAN, AUC maximization), statistics (robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-14 Vitali Pirau

Consider the standard Gaussian linear regression model $Y=X\theta+\epsilon$, where $Y\in R^n$ is a response vector and $ X\in R^{n*p}$ is a design matrix. Numerous work have been devoted to building efficient estimators of $\theta$ when $p$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-26 Nicolas Verzelen

This paper focuses on random projection operators when the subspace of projection is estimated. We derive non-asymptotic upper bounds on the error between the projection onto the estimated subspace and the projection onto the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Luca Castelli

This paper deals with robust regression and subspace estimation and more precisely with the problem of minimizing a saturated loss function. In particular, we focus on computational complexity issues and show that an exact algorithm with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-22 Fabien Lauer

In compressed sensing one measures sparse signals directly in a compressed form via a linear transform and then reconstructs the original signal. However, it is often the case that the linear transform itself is known only approximately, a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-11-13 Florent Krzakala , Marc Mézard , Lenka Zdeborová

Latent Gaussian models have a rich history in statistics and machine learning, with applications ranging from factor analysis to compressed sensing to time series analysis. The classical method for maximizing the likelihood of these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Alexander Lin , Bahareh Tolooshams , Yves Atchadé , Demba Ba

The article is devoted to the development of numerical methods for solving saddle point problems and variational inequalities with simplified requirements for the smoothness conditions of functionals. Recently there were proposed some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Alexander Titov , Fedor Stonyakin , Mohammad Alkousa , Alexander Gasnikov

Anomaly detection is defined as the problem of finding data points that do not follow the patterns of the majority. Among the various proposed methods for solving this problem, classification-based methods, including one-class Support…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Amir Hossein Noormohammadia , Seyed Ali MirHassania , Farnaz Hooshmand Khaligh