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In a day-ahead market, energy buyers and sellers submit their bids for a particular future time, including the amount of energy they wish to buy or sell and the price they are prepared to pay or receive. However, the dynamic for forming the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Luca Di Persio , Matteo Garbelli , Luca M. Giordano

Purpose: Trading on electricity markets occurs such that the price settlement takes place before delivery, often day-ahead. In practice, these prices are highly volatile as they largely depend upon a range of variables such as electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Christof Naumzik , Stefan Feuerriegel

This paper introduces a novel decision-focused framework for energy storage arbitrage bidding. Inspired by the bidding process for energy storage in electricity markets, we propose a predict-then-bid end-to-end method incorporating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-07 Ming Yi , Yiqian Wu , Saud Alghumayjan , James Anderson , Bolun Xu

In this paper, we propose a two-stage electricity market framework to explore the participation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in a day-ahead (DA) market and a real-time (RT) market. The objective is to determine the optimal bidding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Yi Guo , Xuejiao Han , Xinyang Zhou , Gabriela Hug

This paper proposes a novel single-level robust mathematical approach to model the RES-only Virtual Power Plant (RVPP) bidding problem in the simultaneous Day Ahead Market (DAM) and Secondary Reserve Market (SRM). The worst-case profit of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-06 Hadi Nemati , Pedro Sánchez-Martín , Ana Baringo , Álvaro Ortega

In this paper, we propose a machine learning algorithm for time-inconsistent portfolio optimization. The proposed algorithm builds upon neural network based trading schemes, in which the asset allocation at each time point is determined by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Kristoffer Andersson , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

This paper considers an aggregator of Electric Vehicles (EVs) who aims to learn the aggregate power of his/her fleet while also participating in the electricity market. The proposed approach is based on a data-driven inverse optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-08 Ricardo Fernández-Blanco , Juan Miguel Morales , Salvador Pineda , Álvaro Porras

Electricity markets are experiencing a rapid increase in energy storage unit participation. Unlike conventional generation resources, quantifying the competitive operation and identifying if a storage unit is exercising market power is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-16 Yiqian Wu , Bolun Xu , James Anderson

Recognizing that asset markets generally exhibit shared informational characteristics, we develop a portfolio strategy based on transfer learning that leverages cross-market information to enhance the investment performance in the market of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-27 Kexin Wang , Xiaomeng Zhang , Xinyu Zhang

Peer-to-peer(P2P) energy trading may increase efficiency and reduce costs, but introduces significant challenges for network operators such as maintaining grid reliability, accounting for network losses, and redistributing costs equitably.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-01 Varsha N. Behrunani , Philipp Heer , Roy S. Smith , John Lygeros

Electric power generation, transmission, and distribution systems are attracting a large amount of interest from researchers with the development of the smart grid technologies. A smart grid aims at effective control and conditioning of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-01 Abhishek Tyagi , Ram Bhagat

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

This paper proposes a novel energy storage price arbitrage algorithm combining supervised learning with dynamic programming. The proposed approach uses a neural network to directly predicts the opportunity cost at different energy storage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-22 Ningkun Zheng , Xiaoxiang Liu , Bolun Xu , Yuanyuan Shi

Peer-to-peer energy trading offers a promising solution for enhancing renewable energy utilization and economic benefits within interconnected microgrids. However, existing real-time P2P markets face two key challenges: high computational…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Kaidi Huang , Lin Cheng , Yue Zhou , Fashun Shi , Yufei Xi , Yingrui Zhuang , Ning Qi

Power grids are moving towards 100% renewable energy source bulk power grids, and the overall dynamics of power system operations and electricity markets are changing. The electricity markets are not only dispatching resources economically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Milan Jain , Xueqing Sun , Sohom Datta , Abhishek Somani

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning techniques for pricing high-dimensional options within the framework of the Uncertain Volatility Model (UVM). The UVM is a robust framework that accounts for the inherent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Ludovic Goudenege , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

With the growing penetration of renewable energy resource, electricity market prices have exhibited greater volatility. Therefore, it is important for Energy Storage Systems(ESSs) to leverage the multidimensional nature of energy market…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-07 Jinyu Liu , Hongye Guo , Qinghu Tang , En Lu , Qiuna Cai , Qixin Chen

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-08 Jesus Lago , Fjo De Ridder , Peter Vrancx , Bart De Schutter

The participants of the electricity market concern very much the market price evolution. Various technologies have been developed for price forecast. SVM (Support Vector Machine) has shown its good performance in market price forecast. Two…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 C. Gao , E. Bompard , R. Napoli , Q. Wan