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We study the problem of modelling high-dimensional, heavy-tailed time series data via a factor-adjusted vector autoregressive (VAR) model, which simultaneously accounts for pervasive co-movements of the variables by a handful of factors, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Dylan Dijk , Haeran Cho

We propose a pseudo-structural framework for analyzing contemporaneous co-movements in reduced-rank matrix autoregressive (RRMAR) models. Unlike conventional vector-autoregressive (VAR) models that would discard the matrix structure, our…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-25 Alain Hecq , Ivan Ricardo , Ines Wilms

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Conjugate priors allow for fast inference in large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models but, at the same time, introduce the restriction that each equation features the same set of explanatory variables. This paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-27 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Luca Onorante

While matrix variate regression models have been studied in many existing works, classical statistical and computational methods for the analysis of the regression coefficient estimation are highly affected by high dimensional and noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-17 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Feng Yu , Xing Fan , Teng Zhang

A comprehensive methodology for inference in vector autoregressions (VARs) using sign and other structural restrictions is developed. The reduced-form VAR disturbances are driven by a few common factors and structural identification…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-15 Dimitris Korobilis

This article focuses on covariance estimation for multi-study data. Popular approaches employ factor-analytic terms with shared and study-specific loadings that decompose the variance into (i) a shared low-rank component, (ii)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Lorenzo Mauri , Niccolò Anceschi , David B. Dunson

We present a re-parameterization of vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models that allows estimation of parameters under the constraints of causality and invertibility. The parameter constraints associated with a causal invertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Anindya Roy , Tucker S. McElroy , Peter Linton

In this paper, we consider the nonstationary matrix-valued time series with common stochastic trends. Unlike the traditional factor analysis which flattens matrix observations into vectors, we adopt a matrix factor model in order to fully…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Degui Li , Yayi Yan , Qiwei Yao

Motivated by Tucker tensor decomposition, this paper imposes low-rank structures to the column and row spaces of coefficient matrices in a multivariate infinite-order vector autoregression (VAR), which leads to a supervised factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-04 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Guodong Li

Optimization problems involving minimization of a rank-one convex function over constraints modeling restrictions on the support of the decision variables emerge in various machine learning applications. These problems are often modeled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Soroosh Shafiee , Fatma Kılınç-Karzan

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is introduced. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex networked system. This new formulation allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

In this article, we propose the fractional lower order covariance method (FLOC) for estimating the parameters of vector autoregressive process (VAR) of order $p$, $p\geq 1$ with symmetric stable noise. Further, we show the efficiency,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-16 Aastha M. Sathe , N. S. Upadhye

Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

Vector autoregressions (VARs) are popular model for analyzing multivariate economic time series. However, VARs can be over-parameterized if the numbers of variables and lags are moderately large. Tensor VAR, a recent solution to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Yiyong Luo , Jim E. Griffin

The reduced-rank regression model is a popular model to deal with multivariate response and multiple predictors, and is widely used in biology, chemometrics, econometrics, engineering, and other fields. In the reduced-rank regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-05 Canhong Wen , Qin Wang , Yuan Jiang

We propose a parametrization of autoregressive unit roots ARMA models (ARUMA) with partial autocorrelation coefficients to specify the autoregressive and integrated part of the model. We obtain the algebraic properties of the partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-11 Jamie Halliday , Georgi N. Boshnakov

Time-varying parameter vector autoregression provides a flexible framework to capture structural changes within time series. However, when applied to high-dimensional data, this model encounters challenges of over-parametrization and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-14 Yiyong Luo , Jim E. Griffin

Graphs and networks are common ways of depicting biological information. In biology, many different biological processes are represented by graphs, such as regulatory networks, metabolic pathways and protein--protein interaction networks.…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-16 Caiyan Li , Hongzhe Li

Consider a linear model $y = X \beta + z$, $z \sim N(0, \sigma^2 I_n)$. The Gram matrix $\Theta = \frac{1}{n} X'X$ is non-sparse, but it is approximately the sum of two components, a low-rank matrix and a sparse matrix, where neither…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-31 Zheng Tracy Ke , Fan Yang