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In an era where scientific experiments can be very costly, multi-fidelity emulators provide a useful tool for cost-efficient predictive scientific computing. For scientific applications, the experimenter is often limited by a tight…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-30 Chih-Li Sung , Yi Ji , Simon Mak , Wenjia Wang , Tao Tang

Multi-fidelity Gaussian process is a common approach to address the extensive computationally demanding algorithms such as optimization, calibration and uncertainty quantification. Adaptive sampling for multi-fidelity Gaussian process is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-30 Sayan Ghosh , Jesper Kristensen , Yiming Zhang , Waad Subber , Liping Wang

Gaussian processes are widely used for accurate emulation of unknown surfaces in sequential design of expensive simulation experiments. Integrated mean squared error (IMSE) is an effective acquisition function for sequential designs based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Huanyan Zhu , Cheng Li

Generating simulated training data needed for constructing sufficiently accurate surrogate models to be used for efficient optimization or parameter identification can incur a huge computational effort in the offline phase. We consider a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

Computer models are used as replacements for physical experiments in a large variety of applications. Nevertheless, direct use of the computer model for the ultimate scientific objective is often limited by the complexity and cost of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-03 Sonja Surjanovic , William J. Welch

The computational burden of running a complex computer model can make optimization impractical. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are statistical surrogates (also known as emulators) that alleviate this issue since they cheaply replace the computer…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-11 Theodoros Mathikolonis , Serge Guillas

Many fields of science and engineering rely on running simulations with complex and computationally expensive models to understand the involved processes in the system of interest. Nevertheless, the high cost involved hamper reliable and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-16 Daniel Heestermans Svendsen , Luca Martino , Gustau Camps-Valls

Computer simulators can be computationally intensive to run over a large number of input values, as required for optimization and various uncertainty quantification tasks. The standard paradigm for the design and analysis of computer…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-11 Joakim Beck , Serge Guillas

Scalable surrogate models enable efficient emulation of computer models (or simulators), particularly when dealing with large ensembles of runs. While Gaussian process (GP) models are commonly employed for emulation, they face limitations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Grant Hutchings , Derek Bingham , Kellin Rumsey , Earl Lawrence

Estimating probability of failure in aerospace systems is a critical requirement for flight certification and qualification. Failure probability estimation involves resolving tails of probability distribution, and Monte Carlo sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-22 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Vishwas Rao , Ionel M. Navon

This article deals with the sequential design of experiments for (deterministic or stochastic) multi-fidelity numerical simulators, that is, simulators that offer control over the accuracy of simulation of the physical phenomenon or system…

We present methods for emulating the matter power spectrum by combining information from cosmological $N$-body simulations at different resolutions. An emulator allows estimation of simulation output by interpolating across the parameter…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-17 Ming-Feng Ho , Simeon Bird , Christian R. Shelton

Quantifying uncertainties in physical or engineering systems often requires a large number of simulations of the underlying computer models that are computationally intensive. Emulators or surrogate models are often used to accelerate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Junda Xiong , Xin Cai , Jinglai Li

Multi-fidelity modeling and calibration are data fusion tasks that ubiquitously arise in engineering design. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach based on latent-map Gaussian processes (LMGPs) that enables efficient and accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-17 Nicholas Oune , Jonathan Tammer Eweis-Labolle , Ramin Bostanabad

In a task where many similar inverse problems must be solved, evaluating costly simulations is impractical. Therefore, replacing the model $y$ with a surrogate model $y_s$ that can be evaluated quickly leads to a significant speedup. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

In engineering design and scientific computing, computational cost and predictive accuracy are intrinsically coupled. High-fidelity simulations provide accurate predictions but at substantial computational costs, while lower-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Ahmed Mohamed Eisa Nasr , Ali Elham , Haris Moazam Sheikh

High-resolution simulation models are essential for representing complex physical systems, yet their substantial computational cost severely limits the number of feasible high-fidelity (HF) evaluations. This problem is often addressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Hossein Mohammadi

With advances in scientific computing and mathematical modeling, complex scientific phenomena such as galaxy formations and rocket propulsion can now be reliably simulated. Such simulations can however be very time-intensive, requiring…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Yi Ji , Simon Mak , Derek Soeder , J-F Paquet , Steffen A. Bass

Challenges in multi-fidelity modeling relate to accuracy, uncertainty estimation and high-dimensionality. A novel additive structure is introduced in which the highest fidelity solution is written as a sum of the lowest fidelity solution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Wei W. Xing , Akeel A. Shah , Peng Wang , Shandian Zhe Qian Fu , Robert. M. Kirby

We tackle the problem of quantifying failure probabilities for expensive deterministic computer experiments with stochastic inputs under a fixed budget. The computational cost of the computer simulation prohibits direct Monte Carlo (MC) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Annie S. Booth , S. Ashwin Renganathan
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