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This paper introduces an analytical formula for the fractional-order conditional moments of nonlinear drift constant elasticity of variance (NLD-CEV) processes under regime switching, governed by continuous-time finite-state irreducible…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-02 Kittisak Chumpong , Khamron Mekchay , Fukiat Nualsri , Phiraphat Sutthimat

Recently, a class of stochastic processes known as piecewise deterministic Markov processes has been used to define continuous-time Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms with a number of attractive properties, including compatibility with…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-03 Alexander Terenin , Daniel Thorngren

In this paper, we present a new data-driven method for learning stable models of nonlinear systems. Our model lifts the original state space to a higher-dimensional linear manifold using Koopman embeddings. Interestingly, we prove that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Fletcher Fan , Bowen Yi , David Rye , Guodong Shi , Ian R. Manchester

Many estimation problems in aerospace navigation and robotics involve measurements that depend on prior states. A prominent example is odometry, which measures the relative change between states over time. Accurately handling these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Tara Mina , Lindsey Marinello , John Christian

In this paper, we propose an efficient data-driven predictive control approach for general nonlinear processes based on a reduced-order Koopman operator. A Kalman-based sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics method is employed to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-02 Xuewen Zhang , Minghao Han , Xunyuan Yin

We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

The unscented Kalman filter (UKF) is a commonly used algorithm capable of estimating the states of nonlinear dynamic systems. It carefully chooses a set of sample points, called sigma points that capture the nonlinear system states…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Amit Levy , Itzik Klein

A *-algebraic indefinite structure of quantum stochastic (QS) calculus is introduced and a continuity property of generalized nonadapted QS integrals is proved under the natural integrability conditions in an infinitely dimensional nuclear…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 V. P. Belavkin

To estimate the smoothing distribution in a nonlinear state space model, we apply the conditional particle filter with ancestor sampling. This gives an iterative algorithm in a Markov chain Monte Carlo fashion, with asymptotic convergence…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-17 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Manon Kok

This article explores the estimation of parameters and states for linear stochastic systems with deterministic control inputs. It introduces a novel Kalman filtering approach called Kalman Filtering with Correlated Noises Recursive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-11 Abd El Mageed Hag Elamin Khalid

The simulation of large nonlinear dynamical systems, including systems generated by discretization of hyperbolic partial differential equations, can be computationally demanding. Such systems are important in both fluid and kinetic…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2021-06-14 Alexander Engel , Graeme Smith , Scott E. Parker

System identification of complex and nonlinear systems is a central problem for model predictive control and model-based reinforcement learning. Despite their complexity, such systems can often be approximated well by a set of linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Philip Becker-Ehmck , Jan Peters , Patrick van der Smagt

Stochastic optimal control of dynamical systems is a crucial challenge in sequential decision-making. Recently, control-as-inference approaches have had considerable success, providing a viable risk-sensitive framework to address the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Hany Abdulsamad , Sahel Iqbal , Adrien Corenflos , Simo Särkkä

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice. This paper…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

Detecting anomalies and discovering driving signals is an essential component of scientific research and industrial practice. Often the underlying mechanism is highly complex, involving hidden evolving nonlinear dynamics and noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Bin Li , Yueheng Lan , Weisi Guo , Chenglin Zhao

Quantum computers have long been expected to efficiently solve complex classical differential equations. Most digital, fault-tolerant approaches use Carleman linearization to map nonlinear systems to linear ones and then apply quantum…

Machine learning methods have proved to be useful for the recognition of patterns in statistical data. The measurement outcomes are intrinsically random in quantum physics, however, they do have a pattern when the measurements are performed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 I. A. Luchnikov , S. V. Vintskevich , D. A. Grigoriev , S. N. Filippov

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

This paper focuses on inverse problems to identify parameters by incorporating information from measurements. These generally ill-posed problems are formulated here in a probabilistic setting based on Bayes's theorem because it leads to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Jaroslav Vondřejc , Hermann G. Matthies

We consider the diffusion process and its approximation by Markov chain with nonlinear increasing trends. The usual parametrix method is not appliable because these models have unbounded trends. We describe a procedure that allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-02 V. Konakov , A. Markova
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