English
Related papers

Related papers: The Malliavin-Stein method for Hawkes functionals

200 papers

We consider a sequence of systems of Hawkes processes having mean field interactions in a diffusive regime. The stochastic intensity of each process is a solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by N independent Poisson random…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Xavier Erny , Eva Löcherbach , Dasha Loukianova

Following a strategy recently developed by Ivan Nourdin and Giovanni Peccati, we provide a general technique to compare the tail of a given random variable to that of a reference distribution. This enables us to give concrete conditions to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-06 Richard Eden , Frederi Viens

In this paper we introduce a Hilbert space-valued Malliavin calculus for Poisson random measures. It is solely based on elementary principles from the theory of point processes and basic moment estimates, and thus allows for a simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Adam Andersson , Felix Lindner

In this paper we introduce some recent progresses on the convergence rate in Wasserstein distance for empirical measures of Markov processes. For diffusion processes on compact manifolds possibly with reflecting or killing boundary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Feng-Yu Wang

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

Leveraging the Wasserstein distance -- a summation of sample-wise transport distances in data space -- is advantageous in many applications for measuring support differences between two underlying density functions. However, when supports…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Cheongjae Jang , Jonghyun Won , Soyeon Jun , Chun Kee Chung , Keehyoung Joo , Yung-Kyun Noh

The framework of Stein's method for Poisson process approximation is presented from the point of view of Palm theory, which is used to construct Stein identities and define local dependence. A general result (Theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

We establish uniform bounds on the low-order derivatives of Stein equation solutions for a broad class of multivariate, strongly log-concave target distributions. These "Stein factor" bounds deliver control over Wasserstein and related…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-24 Lester Mackey , Jackson Gorham

An upper bound for the Wasserstein distance is provided in the general framework of the Wiener-Poisson space. Is obtained from this bound a second order Poincar\'e-type inequality which is useful in terms of computations. For completeness…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-27 Juan Víquez

In a seminal paper of 2005, Nualart and Peccati discovered a surprising central limit theorem (called the "Fourth Moment Theorem" in the sequel) for sequences of multiple stochastic integrals of a fixed order: in this context, convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-29 Ivan Nourdin

Stein's method provides a way of bounding the distance of a probability distribution to a target distribution $\mu$. Here we develop Stein's method for the class of discrete Gibbs measures with a density $e^V$, where $V$ is the energy…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-22 Peter Eichelsbacher , Gesine Reinert

In this paper, we establish sharp upper and lower bounds on the convergence rate of the empirical measures of point processes under the Wasserstein distance. To this end, we first introduce a new metric on the space of counting measures…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Dongzhou Huang , Tianyi Jiang , Haonan Wang

The paper establishes a functional version of the Hoeffding combinatorial central limit theorem. First, a pre-limiting Gaussian process approximation is defined, and is shown to be at a distance of the order of the Lyapounov ratio from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-03 A. D. Barbour , Svante Janson

In this paper, we develop an efficient nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the kernel function of Hawkes processes. The non-parametric Bayesian approach is important because it provides flexible Hawkes kernels and quantifies their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Rui Zhang , Christian Walder , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

In classical Hawkes process, the baseline intensity and triggering kernel are assumed to be a constant and parametric function respectively, which limits the model flexibility. To generalize it, we present a fully Bayesian nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Xuhui Fan , Yang Wang , Arcot Sowmya , Fang Chen

We study one-dimensional nonlinear stochastic cable equations driven by a multiplicative space-time white noise. Using the Malliavin-Stein method, we prove a central limit theorem for the spatial average of the solution. The convergence is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Soma Nishino

In this paper, we establish explicit quantitative Berry-Esseen bounds in the hyper-rectangle distance $d_R$, the convex distance $d_{\mathscr{C}}$ and the $1$-Wasserstein distance $d_W$ for high-dimensional, non-linear functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , David Kramer-Bang

We provide a general result for bounding the difference between point probabilities of integer supported distributions and the translated Poisson distribution, a convenient alternative to the discretized normal. We illustrate our theorem in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 A. D. Barbour , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

We derive explicit Berry-Esseen bounds in the total variation distance for the Breuer-Major central limit theorem, in the case of a subordinating function $\varphi$ satisfying minimal regularity assumptions. Our approach is based on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-09 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati , Xiaochuan Yang

We construct surface measures in a Hilbert space endowed with a probability measure $\nu$. The theory fits for invariant measures of some stochastic partial differential equations such as Burgers and reaction--diffusion equations. Other…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-23 Giuseppe Da Prato , Alessandra Lunardi , Luciano Tubaro