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Convective self-aggregation is a modelling paradigm for thunderstorm organisation over a constant-temperature tropical sea surface. This setup can give rise to cloud clusters over timescales of weeks. In reality, sea surface temperatures do…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-04 Jan O. Haerter , Bettina Meyer , Silas Boye Nissen

Convective self-aggregation is when thunderstorm clouds cluster over a constant temperature surface in radiative convective equilibrium. Self-aggregation was implicated in the Madden-Julian Oscillation and hurricanes. Yet, numerical…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-02-11 Jan O. Haerter

In radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE) simulations, convective self-aggregation (CSA) is the spontaneous organization into segregated cloudy and cloud-free regions. Evidence exists for how CSA is stabilized, but how it arises favorably…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-14 Silas Boye Nissen , Jan O. Haerter

Self-aggregation of tropical convection is a universal feature observed in a diverse range of atmospheric environments. Several preceding models conceptualized the self-aggregation of convection as a phase transition driven by collisions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-23 Takuya Jinno , Hiroaki Miura

In contrast to prevailing knowledge, Ram\'irez Reyes and Yang (2021) showed that tropical cyclones (TCs) can form spontaneously without moisture-radiation and surface-flux feedbacks in a cloud-resolving model (CRM) simulation. Here we ask,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-01 Argel Ramírez Reyes , Da Yang

Cloud-aerosol interactions remain a major obstacle to understanding climate and severe weather. Observations suggest that aerosols enhance tropical thunderstorm activity; past research, motivated by the importance of understanding aerosol…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-02 Tristan H. Abbott , Timothy W. Cronin

The intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) is a central component of tropical climate, but the conditions under which a tropical rain belt remains zonally extended or becomes unstable to zonal organization are not well understood. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Tomoro Yanase , Cathy Hohenegger

Clouds play a central role in climate physics by interacting with precipitation, radiation, and circulation. Despite being a fundamental issue in convective organization, the self-aggregation of clouds lacks a theoretical explanation due to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Tomoro Yanase , Shin-ichiro Shima , Seiya Nishizawa , Hirofumi Tomita

Tropical convective clouds evolve over a wide range of temporal and spatial scales, and this makes them difficult to simulate numerically. Here, we propose that their statistical properties can be derived within a simplified…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-01-09 Timothy J. Garrett , Ian B. Glenn , Steven K. Krueger

Tropical precipitation clusters exhibit power-law frequency distributions in area and volume (integrated precipitation), implying a lack of characteristic scale in tropical convective organization. However, it remains unknown what gives…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-16 Ziwei Li , Paul A. O'Gorman , Daniel H. Rothman

In a changing climate, a key role may be played by the response of convective-type cloud and precipitation to temperature changes. Yet, it is unclear if precipitation intensities will increase mainly due to modified thermodynamic forcing or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-10-12 Christopher Moseley , Cathy Hohenegger , Peter Berg , Jan O. Haerter

Convective self-aggregation refers to a phenomenon in which random convection can self-organize into large-scale clusters over an ocean surface with uniform temperature in cloud-resolving models. Previous literature studies convective…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-26 Lin Yao , Da Yang , Zhe-Min Tan

Idealized convection-permitting simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE) have become a popular tool for understanding the physical processes leading to horizontal variability of tropical water vapor and rainfall. However, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-19 Tom Beucler , Tristan Abbott , Timothy Cronin , Michael Pritchard

The diurnal cycle of tropical cyclones (TCs) is a daily cycle in clouds that appears in satellite images and may have implications for TC structure and intensity. The diurnal pattern can be seen in infrared (IR) satellite imagery as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Sarah Tymochko , Elizabeth Munch , Jason Dunion , Kristen Corbosiero , Ryan Torn

Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasts are issued by human forecasters who evaluate spatio-temporal observations (e.g., satellite imagery) and model output (e.g., numerical weather prediction, statistical models) to produce forecasts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-01 Trey McNeely , Galen Vincent , Rafael Izbicki , Kimberly M. Wood , Ann B. Lee

Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) short-term intensity forecasting with a 24-hour lead time is essential for disaster mitigation in the Atlantic TC basin. Since most TCs evolve far from land-based observing networks, satellite imagery is…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-24 Elizabeth Cucuzzella , Tria McNeely , Kimberly Wood , Ann B. Lee

Clouds' efficiency at reflecting solar radiation and trapping the terrestrial one is strongly modulated by their diurnal cycle. Much attention has been paid to mean cloud properties due to their critical role in climate projections;…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-03-06 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato

The diurnal variability of sea surface temperature (SST) may play an important role for cloud organization above the tropical ocean, with implications for precipitation extremes, storminess, and climate sensitivity. Recent cloud-resolving…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Reyk Börner , Jan O. Haerter , Romain Fiévet

An extremely broad and important class of phenomena in nature involves the settling and aggregation of matter under gravitation in fluid systems. Some examples include: sedimenting marine snow particles in lakes and oceans (central to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-05-21 Roberto Camassa , Daniel M. Harris , Robert Hunt , Zeliha Kilic , Richard M. McLaughlin

Tropical regions may experience periodic extreme precipitation and suffer from associated periodic deluges in a warmer climate. Recent studies conducted small-domain (around 100 km x 100 km) atmospheric model simulations and found that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-26 Heng Quan , Yi Zhang , Guy Dagan , Stephan Fueglistaler
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