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Related papers: Skillful Precipitation Nowcasting using Deep Gener…

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This study develops a neural network-based approach for emulating high-resolution modeled precipitation data with comparable statistical properties but at greatly reduced computational cost. The key idea is to use combination of low- and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Jiali Wang , Zhengchun Liu , Ian Foster , Won Chang , Rajkumar Kettimuthu , Rao Kotamarthi

Short-term precipitation nowcasting is essential for flood management, transportation, energy system operations, and emergency response. However, many existing models fail to fully exploit the extensive atmospheric information available,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Jie Shi , Aleksej Cornelissen , Siamak Mehrkanoon

This work presents an autoregressive generative diffusion model (DiffObs) to predict the global evolution of daily precipitation, trained on a satellite observational product, and assessed with domain-specific diagnostics. The model is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-04-11 Jason Stock , Jaideep Pathak , Yair Cohen , Mike Pritchard , Piyush Garg , Dale Durran , Morteza Mardani , Noah Brenowitz

The accuracy and explainability of data-driven nowcasting models are of great importance in many socio-economic sectors reliant on weather-dependent decision making. This paper proposes a novel architecture called Small Attention Residual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Mathieu Renault , Siamak Mehrkanoon

With the expansion of renewables in the electricity mix, power grid variability will increase, hence a need to robustify the system to guarantee its security. Therefore, Transport System Operators (TSOs) must conduct analyses to simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Nathan Weill , Jonathan Dumas

Prompt and accurate precipitation forecast is very important for development management of regional water resource, flood disaster prevention and people's daily activity and production plan; however, non-linear and nonstationary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-06-24 Hongya Li , Yuzhong Peng , Chuyan Deng , Yonghua Pan , Daoqing Gong , Hao Zhang

Line of sight satellite systems, unmanned aerial vehicles, high-altitude platforms, and microwave links that operate on frequency bands such as Ka-band or higher are extremely susceptible to rain. Thus, rain fade forecasting for these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Aidin Ferdowsi , David Whitefield

Future climate change scenarios are usually hypothesized using simulations from weather generators. However, there only a few works comparing and evaluating promising deep learning models for weather generation against classical approaches.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Jorge Guevara , Dario Borges , Campbell Watson , Bianca Zadrozny

Machine learning models have shown great success in predicting weather up to two weeks ahead, outperforming process-based benchmarks. However, existing approaches mostly focus on the prediction task, and do not incorporate the necessary…

This study explores the application of deep learning for rainfall prediction, leveraging the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) High rate information transmission (HRIT) data as input and the Operational Program on the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Atharva Deshpande , Kaushik Gopalan , Jeet Shah , Hrishikesh Simu

Precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in modern agriculture and industry. However, it poses significant challenges due to the diverse patterns and dynamics in time and space, as well as the scarcity of high precipitation events. To…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-19 Xinzhe Li , Sun Rui , Yiming Niu , Yao Liu

Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruiqi Shu , Huanshuo Dong , Fan Xu , Rui Ray Chen , Yibo Yan , Qingsong Wen , Xuming Hu , Kun Wang , Jiahao Wu , Qing Li , Hui Xiong , Xiaomeng Huang

With the deterioration of climate, the phenomenon of rain-induced flooding has become frequent. To mitigate its impact, recent works adopt convolutional neural network or its variants to predict the floods. However, these methods directly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Feifei Wang , Yong Wang , Bing Li , Qidong Huang , Shaoqing Chen

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial for mitigating the impacts of severe weather events and supporting daily activities. Conventional models predominantly relying on radar data have limited performance in predicting cases with complex…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-17 Çağlar Küçük , Aitor Atencia , Markus Dabernig

Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Muhammed Sit , Ibrahim Demir

Precipitation data collected at sub-hourly resolution represents specific challenges for missing data recovery by being largely stochastic in nature and highly unbalanced in the duration of rain vs non-rain. Here we present a two-step…

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) centers around the world operate a variety of NWP models. In addition, recent advances in AI-driven NWP models have further increased the availability of NWP outputs. While this expansion holds the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Atsushi Kudo

A generative diffusion model is used to produce probabilistic ensembles of precipitation intensity maps at the 1-hour 5-km resolution. The generation is conditioned on infrared and microwave radiometric measurements from the GOES and DMSP…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-26 Clement Guilloteau , Gavin Kerrigan , Kai Nelson , Giosue Migliorini , Padhraic Smyth , Runze Li , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

Convection (thunderstorm) develops rapidly within hours and is highly destructive, posing a significant challenge for nowcasting and resulting in substantial losses to infrastructure and society. After the emergence of artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Kuai Dai , Xutao Li , Junying Fang , Yunming Ye , Demin Yu , Hui Su , Di Xian , Danyu Qin , Jingsong Wang

Regional rainfall forecasting is an important issue in hydrology and meteorology. This paper aims to design an integrated tool by applying various machine learning algorithms, especially the state-of-the-art deep learning algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Ning Yu , Timothy Haskins